The Duke Blue Devils and Vermont Catamounts face off in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament. The Blue Devils, who finished second in the ACC regular season, fell to NC State in their first game of the ACC Tournament. The Catamounts, on the other hand, marched to their third straight America East Conference Tournament Title. We’re getting a mid-major vs. Power 5 special in the first round with this game, so let’s do a Duke vs Vermont prediction to see if either side has an edge.
Below, we will preview this NCAA Tournament college basketball game, giving a Duke vs Vermont prediction and other March Madness expert picks. Which school will win and keep their hopes of winning the championship trophy alive?
Duke vs Vermont Prediction and March Madness Expert Picks
2024 NCAA Tournament
No. 3 Duke Blue Devils (24-8) vs. No. 13 Vermont Catamounts (28-6)
Date: Friday, March 22, 2024
Time: 7:10 PM
Venue: Barclays Center — Brooklyn, NY
Coverage: CBS
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Duke vs Vermont March Madness Odds
All college basketball betting odds for Duke vs Vermont can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.
Moneyline: DUKE: (-800) | UVM: (+550)
Point Spread: DUKE: -12 (-110) | UVM: +12 (-110)
Total: 132 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
KenPom Rankings | Bracketology
KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com
| Team | Rk | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT |
| Duke | 8 | 121.9 (7th) | 96.9 (25th) | 66.7 (231st) |
| Vermont | 104 | 107.1 (159th) | 100.1 (61st) | 63.2 (349th) |
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Duke vs Vermont College Basketball Trends
- Duke is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in nine of Duke’s last 11 games.
- Vermont is 1-4 ATS in its last five games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Duke’s last 12 games when playing as the favorite.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Vermont’s last 15 games
- The total has gone UNDER in six of Vermont’s last seven games when playing as the underdog.
Duke vs Vermont Prediction | March Madness Expert Picks
Vermont profiles as a team that can pull of an upset in a game like this. Vermont wants to slow the game down (349th in Tempo) and they don’t turn the ball over (11th in the nation). Vermont also loves the three point ball, ranking 35th in the country in three point attempt rate. This game will be played in the half court as Duke also plays at a slow pace, so if the Catamounts have the three ball working there’s plenty of upset potential here.
Vermont also has a strong defensive unit, ranking 61st in the country, and might be able to muddy this game up. If Vermont is able to avoid the long droughts on offense, especially without going cold from beyond the arc, I like them to cover this +12 number. For our Duke vs Vermont prediction, we are picking the Vermont Catamounts to cover the spread but the Duke Blue Devils to win.
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