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Dream vs Sun Prediction, Trends, Injury Report and WNBA Betting Odds

One of three WNBA games on the schedule for Wednesday is an Eastern Conference matchup between the Atlanta Dream and Connecticut Sun. This game carries with it the heightened stakes of counting towards the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup standings. Both teams will also be looking to right their respective ships after being on the wrong side of their most recent matchups. Despite the fact that both come in with winning records, the WNBA betting odds have favored the home side heavily for tonight’s Dream vs Sun prediction.

The following game preview includes our official Dream vs Sun prediction, the injury report for both teams, WNBA betting odds from BetOnline Sportsbook, key betting trends and much more!

Dream vs Sun Prediction, WNBA Betting Odds and Game Info

WNBA Regular Season Game
Atlanta Dream (7-6, 3-3 Away) vs. Connecticut Sun (10-4, 5-2 Home)
Date: Wednesday, June 15, 2022
Time: 7 PM EST
Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena — Uncasville, CT
Coverage: NESN+, Bally Sports Southeast

Dream vs Sun WNBA Betting Game Preview

Atlanta Dream Preview

The Dream knew they had a potential franchise cornerstone when they selected Rhyne Howard first overall in the 2022 WNBA Draft. Well, Howard has wasted little time in making a huge impact at the professional level. The rookie leads Atlanta in scoring with 16.5 points per game coming into Wednesday’s contest. Thanks to Howard and exceptional defensive play as a team, the Dream have managed to exceed expectations through the first month and a half of the WNBA betting season.

Unfortunately, the Dream are offensively challenged behind Howard. Forward Cheyenne Parker is the only other player averaging in double figures for Atlanta. Meanwhile, Erica Wheeler, the team’s top playmaker, is questionable for Wednesday’s Dream vs Sun matchup with the same foot injury that kept her sidelined last Friday in Phoenix. Atlanta fell behind big before putting together a late rally that just fell short. The resulting loss was the Dream’s third in their last four games.

Connecticut Sun Preview

A four-point home loss to Chicago last Friday snapped what was a four-game winning streak for the Sun. Despite that setback, Connecticut remains atop the Eastern Conference standings. The WNBA betting odds also view the Sun as a massive favorite to win tonight’s Commissioner’s Cup showdown. From a personnel and talent standpoint, it’s hard to argue with the belief that the Sun will have a distinct advantage in Wednesday’s home game.

The Sun have as much or more length than pretty much any other team in the WNBA this season. All four Connecticut players who are averaging in double figures scoring are listed as forwards on the depth chart. In addition, each of DeWanna Bonner, Jonquel Jones, Brionna Jones and Alyssa Thomas are averaging north of 14 points per game. Another factor in today’s Dream vs Sun prediction is the notion that Connecticut will have a decisive advantage on the glass. Jonquel Jones and Thomas enter the day averaging 8.7 and 8.4 rebounds, respectively.

Alyssa Thomas Dream vs Sun prediction WNBA betting odds
Credit: Getty Images

Dream vs Sun WNBA Betting Odds

All WNBA betting odds for Dream vs Sun can be found at BetOnline Sportsbook.

Moneyline: ATL: (-385) | CON: (-475)
Point Spread: ATL: +10 (-105) | CON: -10 (-115)
Total: 157.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via Action Network: ATL: (16%) | CON: (84%)

Dream vs Sun Betting Trends

  • Dream are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record.
  • The total has gone UNDER in each of the Dream’s last four games played on three or more days’ rest.
  • Sun are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.
  • The OVER is 4-0-1 in the Sun’s last five games following an ATS loss.
  • Each of the last four Dream vs Sun head-to-head matchups has gone UNDER the total.

Atlanta Dream Injury Report

Out: Tiffany Hayes (knee)

Questionable: Erica Wheeler (foot)

Connecticut Sun Injury Report

Out: Jasmine Thomas (knee)

Dream vs Sun Stats

  • Atlanta is averaging 75.2 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 12 in the WNBA).
  • Atlanta is surrendering 74.4 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 1 in the WNBA).
  • Connecticut is averaging 87.1 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 2 in the WNBA).
  • Connecticut is surrendering 77.9 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 5 in the WNBA).

Dream vs Sun Prediction

Although 10 points is hardly a small number to lay, the Sun actually shape up as a fairly attractive ATS pick ahead of Wednesday’s home game. Prior to their outright home loss to Chicago last Friday, the Sun had won four straight and six of seven overall. Losing to the Sky figures to only raise the level of focus and preparation that Connecticut will bring into their matchup with the Dream.

From a personnel standpoint, the talent gap between these two teams is night and day. The fact that Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.4 points per game and is merely the fourth-leading scorer says a lot about what the Sun are capable of offensively. Indeed, Connecticut ranks second in scoring offense at 87.1 points per game.

The other mind-blowing detail when it comes to comparing these two teams from an offensive standpoint is that Thomas is averaging over 2.5 more points per game than the second-leading scorer for the Dream. Other than Rhyne Howard, Atlanta packs very little punch offensively. Add in the potential absence of Erica Wheeler (she did miss last Friday’s game with this same foot injury) and the Dream will be hard-pressed to score enough points to keep the final margin in the single digits. 

It’s also worth noting the Dream’s struggles this season when matched up against quality teams. Despite overachieving overall, Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in their last four matchups against opponents with a winning record.

Dream vs Sun Prediction: Sun -10 (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

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