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Alex Bregman Braves vs Astros prediction starting pitchers MLB betting trends

Credit: Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Braves vs Astros Prediction, Trends, Starting Pitchers and Betting Odds for MLB World Series Game 6

Henry John by Henry John
November 2, 2021
in Betting, MLB
0
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The 2021 Fall Classic has made it to deep waters. After the Houston Astros were able to rally and stave off elimination in Game 5, they are now set to host tonight’s MLB World Series Game 6 at their home ballpark. It is another must-win for Houston as they try to force a decisive Game 7. On the opposite side of the diamond, the Atlanta Braves will take another crack at capturing the franchise’s first championship since 1995. Game 6 of the World Series has it all, from high stakes to an intriguing matchup of starting pitchers. The MLB betting odds give the home team a slight edge in tonight’s Braves vs Astros showdown.

This MLB betting preview for Braves vs Astros World Series Game 6 includes game info, projected starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for Tuesday’s matchup.

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Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Betting Preview and Prediction | MLB World Series Game 6

World Series Game 6 (ATL leads series 3-2)
Atlanta Braves (88-73, 46-35 Away) vs. Houston Astros (95-67, 51-30 Home)
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2021
Time: 8:09 p.m. EST
Venue: Minute Maid Park — Houston, TX
Coverage: FOX

Astros vs Braves Starting Pitchers

Braves: Max Fried (14-7, 3.04 ERA)
Astros: Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.80 ERA)

Atlanta Braves Preview

Truist Park was rocking following a first-inning grand slam by Adam Duvall on Sunday night. That blast spotted the Braves a 4-0 lead in a potential World Series-clinching Game 5. A potential Atlanta championship celebration was unfortunately put on hold as the Braves’ pitching faltered over the next few innings. Due to Charlie Morton being knocked out of Game 1 with a broken fibula, Game 5 marked the second straight in which Brian Snitker was forced to cobble together a full nine innings from the bullpen. Even the reliable A.J. Minter got knocked around in the fifth following a Freddie Freeman homer that gave the Braves their second lead of the evening. While Atlanta failed to capture the title in front of their home fans, they are arguably in a much better position as far as pitching goes as the MLB betting series shifts back to Houston.

https://twitter.com/Braves/status/1454972085240008705?s=20

In a nod to the Braves having the upper hand on the mound, left-hander Max Fried will make his second start of the World Series in Game 6 tonight. Snitker and the Braves will hope that he can bounce back after a shaky Game 2 outing. Fried, who was Atlanta’s most reliable starter all season, surrendered six runs on seven hits while pitching five innings. It was the second straight start in which the southpaw got knocked around. He also allowed five runs in Game 5 of the NLCS against the Dodgers. Should he hold steady tonight, Atlanta will have three of their best bullpen weapons rested and ready behind him. Tyler Matzek, Luke Jackson and Will Smith all went unused in Sunday’s loss.

Houston Astros Preview

The Astros certainly displayed plenty of fight and resilience in their Game 5 comeback win on Sunday night. With their backs against the wall after falling down big early, Houston made quick work of erasing the early four-run deficit. Dusty Baker made a few changes to the batting order ahead of the must-win road game and they paid off in a big way. Alex Bregman got the Astros started with an RBI double in the second inning after being dropped to seventh in the order. The two players who moved up, Carlos Correa and Yuli Gurriel, each finished with three hits apiece in Game 5. Correa drove in a pair of runs while catcher Martin Maldonado also came up with a pair of timely at-bats to drive in three total runs on the night. Houston’s offense is simply too good to remain dormant over an entire MLB betting series.

BREGGY.#ForTheH pic.twitter.com/qzpv8QFIt7

— Houston Astros (@astros) November 1, 2021

Baker will turn to Luis Garcia as his Game 6 starting pitcher tonight. Unlike Fried for Atlanta, the right-handed Garcia will be starting on short rest. He worked Game 3 of the World Series, but the Astros were forced to burn Game 2 starter Jose Urquidy on Sunday. Garcia wasn’t too bad last Friday in Atlanta. He allowed just one run and struck out six while pitching into the fourth inning. He did struggle with command, however, and four walks were a big reason why Baker pulled him so early. The Astros are in dire straights when it comes to the bullpen, so a quality start from Garcia tonight would be very much welcomed. Phil Maton and Kendall Graveman each had to work two innings in Game 5. With the day off for travel, both are probably okay to go in tonight’s MLB betting contest.

Alex Bregman Braves vs Astros prediction starting pitchers MLB betting trends
Credit: Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Braves vs Astros MLB Betting Odds

MLB betting odds for Braves vs Astros are taken from BetMGM Sportsbook.

Moneyline: ATL: (+100) | HOU: (-120)
Run Line: ATL: +1.5 (-190) | HOU: -1.5 (+155)
Total: 9 — Over: (+100) | Under: (-120)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via Action Network: ATL: (42%) | HOU: (58%)

Braves vs Astros MLB Betting Trends

  • Braves are 10-4 straight up in their last 14 games.
  • The total has gone under in four of the Braves’ last six games.
  • Astros are 7-2 straight up in their last nine home games.
  • 12 of the Astros’ last 18 games have gone over the total.
  • Ten of the last 15 Braves vs Astros head-to-head matchups have gone under the total.

Signup for BetMGM Sportsbook today for a risk-free bet up to $1,000!


Braves vs Astros Stats

  • Atlanta is averaging 4.82 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 9 in the MLB).
  • Atlanta is surrendering 4.03 RPG this season (No. 5 in the MLB).
  • Houston is averaging 5.37 RPG this season (No. 1 in the MLB).
  • Houston is surrendering 4.08 RPG this season (T-No. 6 in the MLB).

Braves vs Astros Weather Report

Note: This game will be played indoors.

Braves vs Astros Prediction

The Astros vs Braves MLB betting prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Houston a 52.0% chance to win Game 6 of this World Series matchup.


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Tags: 2021 World SeriesAdam DuvallAlex BregmanAtlanta BravesBrian SnitkerCarlos CorreaDusty BakerFreddie FreemanHouston AstrosKendall GravemanLuis GarciaLuke JacksonMax FriedMLBMLB BettingMLB PlayoffsPhil MatonSports BettingTyler MatzekWill SmithYuli Gurriel
Henry John

Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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