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MLB Predictions for 2023 AL East Standings

Credit: Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Trends, Starting Pitchers and MLB Betting Odds

Henry John by Henry John
April 14, 2022
in Betting, MLB
0
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The finale of a four-game set between AL East Division foes is scheduled for primetime on Thursday. The Toronto Blue Jays will aim to take three of four from the New York Yankees in this, the first series between the teams this season. Despite MLB betting odds favoring the Bronx Bombers ahead of yesterday’s matchup, Toronto managed to get the best of Yankee ace, Gerrit Cole. Thursday evening’s Blue Jays vs Yankees matchup provides an intriguing starting pitchers matchup as well.

This Blue Jays vs Yankees MLB betting preview includes key game info, projected starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for Thursday’s matchup. But first, let’s take a look at this BetMGM promo that’s giving away free money!

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Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction and MLB Betting Preview

MLB Regular Season Game
Toronto Blue Jays (4-2, 2-1 Away) vs. New York Yankees (3-3, 3-3 Home)
Date: Thursday, Apr. 14, 2022
Start Time: 7:05 p.m. EST
Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, NY
Coverage: MLB Network

Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers

Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (0-0 Record, 5.40 ERA)
Yankees: Luis Severino (0-0, 6.00 ERA)

Toronto Blue Jays Team Preview

While many teams know all too well the struggles of facing the Yankees in the Bronx, the Blue Jays have been turning Yankee Stadium into a second home of late. Of course, thanks to Canada’s silly restrictions, Toronto had to play home games at the opposite end of New York State in each of the past two seasons. Last night’s win marked the sixth victory for the Blue Jays in their last seven games against the Yankees in the Big Apple. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was the star of Wednesday’s MLB betting contest. A three-run homer off of Gerrit Cole headlined a four-hit, four-RBI night for the slugger. Guerrero accounted for exactly half of the Jays’ eight total hits!

https://twitter.com/BlueJays/status/1514442592762892290?s=20&t=JyWZF1jFW60xjP2qqKZr7g

Although Jose Berrios failed to get the win, he successfully navigated five innings after his brutal Opening Day start. In line to start tonight’s MLB betting series finale for Toronto is free-agent acquisition, Kevin Gausman. Many analysts questioned whether the 31-year-old veteran would be able to replicate his incredible 2021 campaign while with San Francisco. Tonight will be his second opportunity to silence the doubters after a mediocre first start. Gausman surrendered three runs on eight hits over five innings last weekend against Texas.

New York Yankees Team Preview

Based on how Gerrit Cole has looked in his first two outings, Yankees fans have every reason to be concerned. The big knock against New York coming into the 2022 MLB betting campaign was their lack of reliable pitching. This concern remains and has arguably only grown more intense considering that the Yankees’ ace has struggled out of the gates. Thanks to a three-run fifth inning, Cole managed to avoid a losing decision yet again last night. The Bronx Bombers lived up to their nickname with three total home runs. Anthony Rizzo crushed his third long-ball of the season while Aaron Judge also went yard for the first time this year. Both players finished with two hits apiece.

Taking the mound for New York in Thursday’s Blue Jays vs Yankees series finale will be righthander, Luis Severino. Injuries have limited him to just seven starts over the last three seasons combined. Severino was shaky in his 2022 MLB betting season debut last weekend. Although he recorded five strikeouts, he also ceded five hits and two runs against Boston. He lasted only three innings in that outing.

Aaron Judge Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction MLB betting odds trends starting pitchers
Credit: Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

Blue Jays vs Yankees MLB Betting Odds

MLB betting odds for Blue Jays vs Yankees are taken from Bovada Sportsbook.

Moneyline: TOR: (+113) | NYY: (-135)
Run Line: TOR: +1.5 (-170) | NYY: -1.5 (+145)
Total: 8.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Public Betting Percentages via Action Network: TOR: (68%) | NYY: (32%)

Blue Jays vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends

  • Blue Jays are 4-0 straight up in their last four games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.
  • The UNDER is 8-1 in the Blue Jays’ last nine road games.
  • Yankees are 5-0 straight up in their last five games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are winless in each of their last five Game 4 series matchups.
  • Blue Jays are 6-1 straight up in their last six head-to-head matchups against the Yankees in New York.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Stats

  • Toronto is averaging 4.83 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 10 in the MLB).
  • Toronto is surrendering 5.17 RPG this season (No. 24 in the MLB).
  • New York is averaging 3.50 RPG this season (T-No. 22 in the MLB).
  • New York is surrendering 3.33 RPG this season (No. 7 in the MLB).

Blue Jays vs Yankees Weather Report

According to Forecast.io

Status: Cloudy/Rain Showers
Temperature: 64℉
Humidity: 78%
Precipitation: 26%
Wind: 14 MPH (blowing out)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction | MLB Betting Picks

Bettors should monitor the weather report closely for this game and expect a potential delay if the forecast for showers is accurate. Assuming that the game will be played tonight as scheduled, conditions could be less than ideal for the Blue Jays vs Yankees starting pitchers. It will be interesting to see how Kevin Gausman and Luis Severino acclimate to a potentially wet evening.

For Gausman, the Yankees are certainly a familiar opponent. The veteran spent several years of his career with the Baltimore Orioles, another AL East team. In 24 starts against New York, Gausman has compiled a 7-6 record with 97 strikeouts and a 3.77 ERA. The MLB betting strikeout total for Gausman tonight is set at 5.5. Although the Yankees have plenty of hitters prone to the K, Gausman is not a pitcher who will necessarily overpower his opponents. With the weather conditions potentially a factor tonight as well, it may be a tough ask for him to record more than five K’s.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction: Kevin Gausman UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts (-110 at Bovada Sportsbook)


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Tags: Aaron JudgeAnthony RizzoGerrit ColeKevin GausmanLuis SeverinoMLBMLB BettingNew York YankeesSports BettingToronto Blue JaysVladimir Guerrero Jr.
Henry John

Henry John

Henry John is a multi-sport analyst specializing in motorsports, football, and betting markets. His work focuses on performance trends, strategy, and data-driven insights to better understand outcomes and identify value. With experience producing content across multiple platforms, Henry has written extensively on NASCAR, college football, the NFL, and other major sports, developing structured analysis that goes beyond surface-level recaps. His approach blends statistical evaluation, betting market awareness, and game-level context to break down how and why results happen. Outside of sports, Henry enjoys strength training, outdoor activities, and continuous learning in analytics and performance.

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