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Best NBA Player Props and Betting Picks, 4/15

The final two berths into the NBA Playoffs bracket will be handed out tonight as the Play-In Tournament concludes. In the early game, the Atlanta Hawks will face the Cleveland Cavaliers for the rights to be declared the 8-seed in the Eastern Conference. The nightcap out west features the New Orleans Pelicans taking on the Los Angeles Clippers. When it comes to betting on tonight’s doubleheader, there are plenty of worthwhile NBA betting picks and props to consider. The following article offers three of the best NBA player prop bets for the April 15th NBA Play-In Tournament action.

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Clint Capela NBA player props betting picks
Credit: Gary Dineen/NBAE via Getty Images

Best NBA Betting Player Props for Tonight, 4/15

All NBA betting player props odds are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook

Clint Capela UNDER 13.5 Rebounds (-105)

Atlanta Hawks center Clint Capela certainly flexed his rebounding prowess in Wednesday’s contest against Charlotte. The 27-year-old dominated the glass to finish the game with a whopping 17 rebounds. Merely looking at a sample size of the last ten games, Capela has achieved double-digit rebounding totals on nine occasions. When it comes to eclipsing today’s NBA player props total of 13.5 boards, however, there is a bit of a drop-off in terms of reliability. Wednesday’s Play-In Tournament game marked the fifth time over that same recent span in which Capela finished with 14 boards or more.

On the season overall, Capela actually averaged just under 12 rebounds per game. However, personnel factors on both sides of tonight’s matchup figure to influence how one approaches this NBA betting picks prediction. First off, John Collins is set to remain sidelined for the Hawks just as he was on Wednesday. This development figures to bode well for Capela’s playing time and rebounding production.

On the contrary, the fact that the Cleveland Cavaliers are set to welcome back center Jarrett Allen tonight will almost certainly have the opposite effect. In Allen, Capela will have a formidable opponent to contend with when it comes to grabbing rebounds. Allen was a huge reason why the Cavs ranked top-10 in Rebound Rate this season. Expecting Capela to exceed his per-game average by at least 2.1 rebounds in this matchup is a lot to ask.

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Brandon Ingram UNDER 24.5 Points (-120)

By no means is this NBA betting prediction a knock on Brandon Ingram as a player. The urge to bet that the 24-year-old will score less than 24.5 points tonight is more a reflection of the NBA player props line being off than anything. Ingram was notably impressive in the Pelicans’ first NBA Play-In Tournament game on Wednesday. He scored 27 points to help power New Orleans to the win. Let’s just say that the San Antonio team that Ingram achieved that output against is a far cry from the Los Angeles Clippers outfit that he and the Pelicans will face tonight, particularly when it comes to defensive capabilities.

The other key difference in opposition to note concerns pace. The Spurs were actually one of the three fastest teams in the NBA this season. The same cannot be said for the typical pace of the Clippers. To expand on the tempo portion of this handicap, one could argue that the greatest personnel advantage that the Pelicans have in this matchup is center Jonas Valanciunas. He dominated the Clippers on the glass across numerous regular-season meetings. If New Orleans wisely elects to play through their big man down low, this could also inhibit the overall pace of tonight’s game.

On the full season, Ingram averaged 22.7 points per game. While this is a solid scoring average, it also falls nearly two full points below tonight’s prop total. Thus, Ingram would need to exceed his typical production by over two points to achieve the bare minimum needed to go over. Playing on the road against a savvy L.A. defense, that kind of performance figures to be much easier said than done.

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Norman Powell UNDER 3.5 Assists (-150)

Tuesday night’s NBA Play-In Tournament contest marked just the third game back for Norman Powell. The Clippers’ top trade deadline acquisition had been out several weeks with a broken foot. While he has actually been incredibly efficient shooting the basketball since returning, playmaking remains a minimal part of his overall game.

Since joining the Clippers, Powell has averaged only 2.8 assists per game. Thus, he would need to exceed this by over one full dime to achieve the bare minimum necessary for the over to hit on this NBA picks offering. Since coming back from his injury absence, the 28-year-old has failed to go over the NBA player props line of 3.5 in all three games that he has played. In fact, he has not had more than two helpers in any game since returning. Prior to this season, Powell had never averaged more than 1.9 assists per game at any point in his career.

Of course, the other wrinkle that one must consider when exploring NBA picks for this game is the fact that the Clippers will be without Paul George. While the onus will be on players like Powell to pick up the slack offensively, George’s absence will undoubtedly disrupt the flow of things. In addition, both Los Angeles and the opposing Pelicans averaged below-average Pace Factors for the season. One could argue that possessions may be limited in this matchup.

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