LAR @ NO – GAME TOTAL 57.5 (LAR -2) This Week 9 matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints features the highest implied total on Sunday at a whopping 57.5 points. Over the past several years, the Superdome has held its fair share of high-scoring games. If the Superdome were a race track on the NASCAR circuit, it would be Talladega. Offensive talent is everywhere in this game,and if it lives up to the hype, there should be a ton of fantasy points scored in this contest between these two teams. With so many players offering fantasy…
Author: Josh Harman
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This week, I thought it might be fun to change things up and pick a few games that could be used to create game stacks and provide some data and statistics for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in each of these matchups. If you have never tried daily fantasy and want to give it a shot, FlurrySports and DraftKings are also offering a special promotion this week. If you sign up for a new account on DraftKings using this link, you will receive a $10 bonus on your first deposit of $5 or more. That said, let’s…
This week, I thought it might be fun to change things up and pick a few games that could be used to create game stacks and provide some data and statistics for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in each of these matchups. If you have never tried daily fantasy and want to give it a shot, FlurrySports and DraftKings are also offering a special promotion this week. If you sign up for a new account on DraftKings using this link, you will receive a $10 bonus on your first deposit of $5 or more. That said, let’s…
This week, I thought it might be fun to change things up and pick a few games that could be used to create game stacks and provide some data and statistics for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in each of these matchups. If you have never tried daily fantasy and want to give it a shot, FlurrySports and DraftKings are also offering a special promotion this week. If you sign up for a new account on DraftKings using this link, you will receive a $10 bonus on your first deposit of $5 or more. That said, let’s…
Here are some players that could return above average value on DraftKings in Week 7 for the featured 10-game slate this Sunday. QUARTERBACKS Joe Flacco: $5400 – BAL vs NO – Game Total 50.5 (BAL -2.5) One of only three games featuring a 50-point implied game total on Sunday’s main DraftKings slate, the Ravens get the opportunity to face a porous New Orleans defense that is ranked 25th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA against the pass. On the season, the Saints are allowing the 2nd highest passer rating and the 3rd most DraftKings points to opposing QBs at 26.5 per…
If you are reading this article for the first time, I think it’s important to note that daily fantasy sites like DraftKings adjust their player pricing using an algorithm that accounts for a variety of factors to come up with an implied value for each player. While we don’t know the exact formula that is used on each site, we do know that they take recent performance and weekly matchups into consideration when player pricing is released at the beginning of each week. Often times, they will overcompensate for poor recent production and/or difficult matchups and we can use this…
As I mentioned in the introduction to last week’s article, daily fantasy sites like DraftKings adjust their player pricing using an algorithm that accounts for a variety of factors to come up with an implied value for each player. Again, while don’t know the exact formula on each site, we do know that they take recent performance and weekly matchups into consideration when player pricing is released at the beginning of each week. Often times, they will overcompensate for poor recent production and/or difficult matchups and we can use this to our advantage in guaranteed prize pool (GPP) contests. When…
It’s probably safe to say that most of us remember the story of Goldilocks and the Three Bears. I won’t bore you to death by going through the whole thing, but when she first goes into the bears’ house, the first item she comes across is three bowls of porridge. As she starts to test them out, she discovers that one is too hot, one is too cold, and one is just right. She continues to do this throughout the rest of the house with various items until the Three Bears come home and discover her sleeping in Baby Bear’s…
Today’s article is the final installment in a three part series, which has focused on two cognitive biases that can affect our judgment in fantasy football. These are known as the Hot-Hand Fallacy and Recency Bias. If you missed the initial article (which only included data from 2016 and 2017) or need a refresher on the definitions of each, it can be reviewed here. Part 1 of our follow-up piece examined the quarterback and running back positions from the current 2018 NFL season and can be seen here. In both of the previous write-ups, I also discussed how we can…
Last week, we examined two cognitive biases that can affect our judgment in fantasy football. These are referred to as the Hot-Hand Fallacy and Recency Bias. If you missed it or need a refresher on the definitions of each, you can review it here. In that article, we also discussed how we can exploit these tendencies and use them to our advantage in fantasy football by trying to identify players that might have recently under-performed, but simultaneously have ample opportunities to score fantasy points. This particularly becomes important when entering GPPs, where we need to not only worry about player…