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Arkansas vs UConn Prediction and Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks

In a Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament game, the 8-seed Arkansas Razorbacks will face off with the 4-seed UConn Huskies in the West Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, March Madness expert picks, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then share our official Arkansas vs UConn prediction for the regional semifinal matchup. 

Arkansas vs UConn Prediction and Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks

2023 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16
No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13) vs. No. 4 UConn Huskies (27-8)
Date: Thursday, March 23, 2023
Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Arena — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: CBS

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Arkansas vs UConn March Madness Betting Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Arkansas vs UConn can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: ARK: (+165) | CONN: (-195)
Point Spread: ARK: +4 (-110) | CONN: -4 (-110)
Total: 140 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

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KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from

TeamOverall AdjEM (Rk)AdjO (Rk)AdjD (Rk)AdjT (Rk)
Arkansas+18.91 (18)112.3 (51)93.4 (15)69.7 (49)
UConn+26.93 (4)120.3 (3)93.4 (14)66.7 (213)
  • Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.
  • The UNDER is 11-4 in the Razorbacks’ last 15 games following an ATS win.
  • Four of the Razorbacks’ last five games against Big East opponents have gone OVER the total.
  • Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
  • Five of the Huskies’ last six games overall have gone UNDER the total.
  • Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against SEC opponents.

Arkansas vs UConn Prediction | Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks and Bracketology

Arkansas gained substantial respect from the betting public after knocking off top-seeded Kansas in the Second Round of the NCAA Tournament. As a result, the Razorbacks have managed to accumulate nearly half of all ATS tickets for their Sweet 16 showdown against UConn. Perhaps the most interesting part of this matchup is that the 4-seed Huskies are laying roughly the same line as the 1-seed Jayhawks were when they lost to Eric Musselman’s team last weekend.

All season long, Connecticut has been one of the most highly power-rated teams in college basketball. Thus far, the Huskies have done nothing to discredit the betting market’s opinion in the NCAA Tournament. If anything, last Sunday’s second-half blowout of Saint Mary’s just made Dan Hurley’s team look like one capable of winning a national championship.

UConn has the talent and depth to beat any team in the country on a given night. From dominant big man Adama Sanogo to the backcourt tandem of Tristen Newton and Jordan Hawkins, the Huskies can come at teams from all over the floor. In the first weekend of March Madness, UConn’s bench also showed up in a big way. If that continues on Thursday, it could be a long night for Arkansas’ defense.

The Razorbacks will likely try to speed up the pace of this game as opposed to trying to run offensive sets against the wall that is UConn’s defense. However, even if the Hogs are successful in doing so, it’s tough to rely on them to hit shots consistently. Sanogo figures to also be a major problem in the post and on the boards for what is a guard-dominated Arkansas lineup.

Our official college basketball betting Arkansas vs UConn prediction will be UCONN COVERS at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives UConn a 66.0% chance to win.

Bet: UConn -4 (-110 at BetUS Sportsbook)

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