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Aces vs Sky Prediction, Picks and Betting Odds for WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 2022

A whole lot of cash will be on the line Tuesday night when the Las Vegas Aces face off with the Chicago Sky in the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup Final. The unique in-season tournament fittingly saw the top two teams in the league standings win their respective conferences. As a result, fans could very well be getting a WNBA Finals preview this evening. The WNBA betting odds initially made the home team a one-point favorite. Lopsided handle disparities on both the side and total are also worth noting when making an Aces vs Sky prediction for the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 2022 Final.

The following game preview includes our official Aces vs Sky prediction, the injury report for both teams, WNBA betting odds, key betting trends and much more! But first, let’s take a look at this special welcome offer from BetOnline Sportsbook.

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Aces vs Sky Prediction, WNBA Betting Odds | WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 2022

WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 2022
Las Vegas Aces (20-8, 10-3 Away) vs. Chicago Sky (21-7, 11-2 Home)
Date: Tuesday, July 26, 2022
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Wintrust Arena — Chicago, IL
Coverage: Amazon Prime

Aces vs Sky WNBA Betting Game Preview

Las Vegas Aces Preview

Quite fittingly, the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 2022 finalists also sit atop their respective conference standings. The Aces clinched their spot in the playoffs by beating Los Angeles in their most recent game on Saturday. After enduring a rough patch in the weeks leading up to the All-Star break, Las Vegas seems to have regrouped. Although they have not faced a team with a winning record, five wins in six games certainly benefit the Aces from the standpoint of momentum.

Of course, the blueprint for Las Vegas is crystal clear: push the pace and score a ton. With three former No. 1 overall picks in Kelsey Plum (20.1 points per game), A’ja Wilson (19.4) and Jackie Young (16.3) leading the way, the Aces continue to be the most potent team offensively in the league. One issue that Coach Becky Hammon must continue to address is the lack of production off the bench. Aside from the five starters, only one other Aces player has averaged more than 14 minutes of playing time this season.

Chicago Sky Preview

Like Las Vegas, the Sky have also already punched their ticket to the 2022 WNBA Playoffs. Chicago did suffer a three-point loss at New York this past weekend. However, that result figures to be merely a blip on the radar based on the team’s overall body of work in the past month. Prior to Saturday’s defeat, the Sky had won six straight and 11 of their last 12 overall. The team’s current 21-7 record becomes all the more impressive when one recalls that they started out the year 4-3.

Compared to the Aces, the Sky implement a much more balanced offensive attack. Kahleah Cooper and Candace Parker lead a half-dozen Chicago players who are averaging in double figures scoring. Parker is also averaging 8.9 rebounds per game. If this is indeed her final season, she is certainly going out with a bang! After she missed Saturday’s game with a concussion, bettors are advised to seek clarity on Courtney Vandersloot’s status when making an Aces vs Sky prediction.

Aces vs Sky Prediction, Picks, Trends, Stats and WNBA Betting Odds Commissioner's Cup 2022 Final
Credit: Steph Chambers/Getty Images

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Aces vs Sky WNBA Betting Odds

All WNBA betting odds for Aces vs Sky can be found at BetOnline Sportsbook.

Moneyline: LV: (+135) | CHI: (-155)
Point Spread: LV: +3 (-110) | CHI: -3 (-110)
Total: 172 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via VSiN: LV: (40%) | CHI: (60%)

Aces vs Sky Betting Trends

  • Aces are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.
  • Four of the Aces’ last five games have gone UNDER the total.
  • Sky are 4-1 ATS and 5-0 straight up in their last five home games.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Sky’s last eight home games.
  • Four of the last five Aces vs Sky head-to-head matchups have gone OVER the total.

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report


Chicago Sky Injury Report

Questionable: Courtney Vandersloot (concussion)

Aces vs Sky Stats

  • Las Vegas is averaging 90.4 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 1 in the WNBA).
  • Las Vegas is surrendering 84.7 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 9 in the WNBA).
  • Chicago is averaging 85.6 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 2 in the WNBA).
  • Chicago is surrendering 79.5 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 4 in the WNBA).

Aces vs Sky Prediction | WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 2022

When the Aces and Sky met for the first time this season in Chicago, they combined to score only 159 total points. Las Vegas shot just 36.9% from the floor as a team and only 20% from three-point distance. The Sky were even worse in defeat at 34.6% and 16.1%, respectively.

To say that those shooting numbers were sub-par for the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 2022 finalists would be an understatement. In fact, the Sky lead the league in shooting percentage at 47.6% on the season. While the Aces are fourth in shooting overall, they lead the league with a 35.9% clip from beyond the arc.

As many likely anticipated, both teams saw their shooting percentages regress to the mean and then some in their head-to-head matchup last month. While it’s unlikely that the Sky will manage to shoot 57% from the floor again on Tuesday, they don’t need to for the game to clear the current WNBA betting total. The fact that both teams are among the five quickest in terms of pace firmly aligns with a handicap that favors the Over.

Oh, and speaking of June’s Aces vs Sky matchup, the game total for that affair closed at 176. In other words, even after the market has shifted the number up from an opening line of 169, Tuesday’s WNBA betting odds are still listing the total four full points lower than the last time these teams got together. Are we really expecting that much regression offensively?

Aces vs Sky Prediction: Over 172 (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

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