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kansas city Chiefs playoff chances odds scenario

Chiefs Playoff Chances, Odds, Scenario and Standings Before Week 15

Zach Brunner by Zach Brunner
December 11, 2025
in Betting, NFL
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FlurrySports takes a look at the Kansas City Chiefs’ playoff chances, betting odds and playoff scenario heading into NFL Week 15.


We have one month remaining in the NFL regular season, and time is running out for the teams on the outside of the NFL Playoff Picture looking in. In a surprising twist of fate, the Kansas City Chiefs’ odds to make the playoffs are a long shot, at best, due to the hole they have dug themselves into. Not only will they have to run the table, but they will need a little help as well.

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Let’s discuss the Kansas City Chiefs’ playoff chances, betting odds and the Chiefs’ playoff scenarios heading into NFL Week 15.

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If you believe in Kansas City, now is the time to bet on the Chiefs’ playoff odds. Heading into Week 15, they sit at 6-7. The Chiefs’ odds to make the playoffs are +450. This means a $100 bet would win $450 if Kansas City makes the NFL Playoffs. However, if you think the Chiefs will miss out, the odds for this are sitting at -650.

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NFL Playoff Picture | AFC Playoff Standings

The AFC Playoff picture is a little more convoluted than what we see in the NFC. It is the dawn of a new day; the start of a new era. Or, maybe we are turning back the clock, since it’s the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots atop the NFL Playoff Picture in the AFC.

The other two divisions are a bit more up in the air; the Jacksonville Jaguars currently have hold of the AFC South, at 9-5. However, the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts are both a game behind (8-5), with the Texans having the tiebreaker there. It is a similar situation for the AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6), who have a narrow lead over the Baltimore Ravens (6-7). Notably, these two play in Week 18.

As for the AFC Wild Card race, it’s the Los Angeles Chargers and Buffalo Bills at 9-4, then the Texans are at 8-5. The Chiefs’ playoff chances are looking slim, not only due to the fact that they are 6-7, but they also have losses against the Texans and Bills, and they will face the Chargers this week.

Let’s take a look at the AFC Playoff picture. Remember, the top seven teams in the AFC Playoff standings are in, and winning the division rewards the team with a top-four seed.

  1. Denver Broncos (11-2)
  2. New England Patriots (11-2)
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4)
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6)
  5. Los Angeles Chargers (9-4)
  6. Buffalo Bills (9-4)
  7. Houston Texans (8-5)

Others in Wild Card Race | AFC Wild Card Standings

  • Indianapolis Colts (8-5)
  • Baltimore Ravens (6-7)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (6-7)
  • Miami Dolphins (6-7)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (4-9)
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Chiefs Playoffs Chances | Chiefs Playoff Scenarios

The Kansas City Chiefs’ playoff chances are on life support right now, and that’s because they need to beat everyone in their division, then get some help from others as well. Before Week 15 kicks off, The Athletic NFL Playoff Simulator gives the Chiefs a 12% chance to make the playoffs, given their 6-7 record and the tiebreakers they possess (or don’t). The ESPN Power Index views the Chiefs’ odds to make the playoffs pretty identically, at 11.9%.

In Week 15, the Chiefs will face the Los Angeles Chargers, who currently have a Wild Card spot in the AFC Playoff Standings. A win over the Chargers would raise the Chiefs’ playoff odds to 18%. If the Colts and Texans both lose their games this week as well, the Chiefs’ percentage rises to 23%. So, they are not dead yet.

Looking at the Chiefs’ playoff scenarios, if they win out, their odds to make the NFL Playoffs would sit at 46%. That shows you how much help they need. Added to those wins, a Broncos win over the Chargers in Week 18 would skyrocket the Chiefs’ playoff chances to 72%. If the Texans beat the Chargers as well, the Chiefs would be close to locks to make the playoffs as a Wild Card.

So, if you are wondering how the Kansas City Chiefs can make the playoffs, essentially, the Chiefs need to win all of their games while the Chargers lose them. Of course, there are other playoff scenarios as well, but given the schedule and health factors for LAC, this is their best bet.

Kansas City Chiefs Remaining Schedule | Can the Chiefs Make the Playoffs?

Can the Chiefs make the playoffs? The answer is yes, but they will need many things to go their way for it to happen.

Every game is a must-win situation for the Chiefs now, but this week is an especially big one, as they host the Chargers. Not only is this a divisional rival, but this is a Wild Card team in the NFL Playoff Picture. Following Week 15, the Chiefs have a “trap game” on the road against the Titans before another home game against the AFC-leading Denver Broncos. Kansas City will end the season on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders.

While there are a couple of tough games in there, the Chiefs’ remaining schedule could work in their favor. However, as discussed above, the Chiefs’ playoff chances rely on the help of others as well. You can bet on the Chiefs’ playoff odds in either direction ahead of this weekend’s matchup.


Follow us on all of our social channels! Check out our Twitter, Facebook, YouTube and TikTok for more great FlurrySports content.


 

Tags: Kansas City ChiefsNFLNFL BettingNFL PlayoffsSports Betting
Zach Brunner

Zach Brunner

I am a simple Wisconsin man: I love beer and sports. I decided to create FlurrySports because I was sick of the politics and non-stories that the fat cat corporations put out. When you see football articles from me, just know that I combine my knowledge from playing, coaching, athletic training, and sports management/economic courses to give you a unique, but I feel well-rounded point of view. I am always down to talk about anything, so follow me on Twitter @FantasyFlurry if you decide you want more of me!

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