FlurrySports shares NASCAR betting picks and props for the Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway this weekend, including Bubba Wallace.
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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Tricky Triangle this weekend for the Great American Getaway 400. The unique three-cornered layout of Pocono Raceway presents one of the more distinct challenges on the schedule for drivers, teams and handicappers alike. In a race that has the potential to be dictated by fuel mileage strategy and track position, the props and matchup markets become very intriguing.
Let’s take a look at our NASCAR betting picks and props to target for the 2026 Great American Getaway 400. For thoughts on more drivers heading into Pocono, be sure to check out our NASCAR power rankings and stock watch!
Great American Getaway 400 NASCAR Race Info
Great American Getaway 400
Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
Start Time: 3 p.m. EST
Coverage: Amazon Prime Video
Distance: 400 miles (160 laps)
Stages: Three (30 laps, 65 laps, 65 laps)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Chase Briscoe
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions | Great American Getaway 400
The NASCAR betting odds and props discussed below are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
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2026 NASCAR Betting Props Column Results to Date
22-16 record across eight races covered
Units Gained/Lost: +12.95 ($100 bettor is up $1,295)
Note: Calculations assume basic one-unit wagers for all bets.
Head-to-Head Matchup: Bubba Wallace (+110) vs. Chris Buescher
This pick is heavily predicated on the manufacturer disparity in 2026 rather than any knock on Chris Buescher personally. The No. 17 has been the best Ford not named Ryan Blaney this season and enters Pocono eighth in points — a legitimate performer by any measure. His last two Pocono results of 11th and fourth are also encouraging on paper.
However, Wallace has been the better of the two at the Tricky Triangle in both recent and long-term history. Prior to a DNF last year, he posted finishes of fifth, eighth, 11th, and tenth at Pocono from 2021 through 2024. Last week’s third-place run at Michigan served as a reminder that when the No. 23 team manages to avoid on-track carnage, they have plenty of speed.
Wallace’s Brickyard 400 victory last year adds further credence to the case — the long, flat straightaways and minimal banking at Pocono mirror Indianapolis closely enough to suggest a similar setup will translate.
Toyota has been light years ahead of Ford in terms of raw pace all season. Buescher is more than capable of a strong run on any given Sunday, but Wallace at plus money in this NASCAR betting picks head-to-head is a puzzling price that must be jumped on.
Head-to-Head Matchup: Zane Smith (+115) vs. Connor Zilisch
It took exactly eight laps for our Ricky Stenhouse Jr. head-to-head against Connor Zilisch at Michigan to cash last week. Zilisch’s frustrating rookie season in the Cup Series continued with a pair of early spins, the second of which ended his race prematurely. He is bound to have a better result eventually, but this week marks his first-ever Cup start at Pocono.
Zilisch did win the O’Reilly Series race here a year ago after starting ninth, but last season’s brilliance with JR Motorsports has simply not translated to Cup racing with Trackhouse. Meanwhile, Zane Smith has been one of the better Fords in recent weeks. Before suffering terminal damage in a wreck last week at Michigan, he was running in or around the top 10. He also finished ninth at Nashville and tenth at Charlotte.
The No. 38 has been punching above its weight on several occasions this season. At +115 this is actually a better return than what we received on Stenhouse last week, making it one of the more appealing plays on the board. So long as oddsmakers keep dangling these matchups with Zilisch as a mis-priced favorite, there’s no reason to stop playing the other side.
Group F Matchup: Michael McDowell (+350)
Also in Group: Austin Cindric (+175), Daniel Suarez (+175), Daniel Dye (+350)
The four-driver group matchup format is a staple of this NASCAR betting picks column for good reason — betting a driver against three opponents is much more favorable proposition than top-5 or top-10 markets.
This week’s Group F comes with an added benefit. Co-longshot Daniel Dye will be behind the wheel of the No. 78 Live Fast Motorsports entry — a car that is simply not capable of running with the pack. That effectively narrows this to a three-driver group from the jump.
Austin Cindric and Daniel Suarez are properly priced as the short shots and have been more consistent than Michael McDowell in 2026. However, neither has excelled at Pocono over the years. McDowell, meanwhile, has been trending in the right direction recently — a runner-up at Watkins Glen was followed by top-15 finishes at both Charlotte and Nashville before an unfortunate DNF last week at Michigan.
Given that none of the three legitimate competitors truly stand out over the other two at Pocono specifically, taking a swing on McDowell at a significantly greater return is the play. +350 odds to simply beat two other similarly-rated drivers is a price worth backing.
Head-to-Head Matchup: Riley Herbst (+145) vs. Josh Berry
An interesting narrative surrounds this matchup — neither Riley Herbst nor Josh Berry will be back in their current rides after the 2026 season. Whether that relieves pressure or creates a sense of urgency for the remainder of the year remains to be seen. Both drivers enter Pocono mired outside the top 25 in points with room only to improve.
The keystone of this handicap mirror that of the Bubba Wallace head-to-head that led off this week’s NASCAR betting picks column. Herbst drives a Toyota and Berry a Ford. Herbst secured one of his best finishes of the season last week with a 13th at Michigan and has outrun Berry in each of the three races since the All-Star Race. The No. 35 continues to lag behind the other two 23XI Racing cars, but the signs of improvement are there.
Berry has finished 20th and 12th in two prior Cup starts at Pocono, which is respectable. However, trusting those efforts to carry over given Ford’s current form is another matter entirely. At +145, the Toyota advantage makes Herbst too appealing to pass up.
Winning Manufacturer: Chevrolet (+225)
There is no disputing Toyota’s dominance in 2026. Including the All-Star Race, the Camry has won ten of 16 total races contested this season. Denny Hamlin is a demonstrative favorite in the NASCAR betting picks this weekend, and between four Joe Gibbs Racing cars and two formidable threats from 23XI Racing, Toyota is the odds-on favorite to be the winning manufacturer at Pocono.
What that dominance has done, however, is create a significant return on Chevrolet. If a Toyota doesn’t win on Sunday, a Chevy is almost certainly next in line given how far Ford continues to lag behind. The bowties have closed the gap considerably since the beginning of the year when their new car body was still being dialed in. At Michigan last week, Chevrolet actually led more laps than Toyota — a telling sign of the progress being made at both Hendrick Motorsports and Spire Motorsports.
There is a saying in sports betting that the correct play is to bet numbers, not teams. The +225 price on Chevrolet presents exactly that opportunity. Backing the manufacturer rather than HMS as a team returns only 50 cents less per unit while spreading the net across the entire stable.
