Credit: Tony Avelar/AP Photo
With the endless lists of prop bets offered on the Super Bowl, combing through to find the best bang for your buck can be a daunting and tedious task. Why put yourself through that when you can just read this article for a look at some of my favorite prop bets of Super Bowl LIV!
All Super Bowl LIV odds and bets can be found on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Betting against a generational talent like Mahomes is not something I would look to do often, but the Super Bowl is a stage that even he must adjust to. With the league’s second-best pass defense in terms of adjusted efficiency lurking across the line of scrimmage, I like the plus-money value on one Mahomes interception.
How many times do we see scoring drives come down to the offense needing to punch it into the end zone from a yard out? Yet, in a one game sample size, is it really smart to bank on a touchdown coming from inside the 1.5-yard line? Both offenses have the capability to score from anywhere. Plus-money on this prop seems too good to pass up.
While some might lean to the side of caution playing in the Super Bowl, I wouldn’t put it past Kyle Shanahan or Andy Reid to channel their inner John Harbaugh in this game. Every point matters when you’re trying to win a championship and I could easily see either team going for two at any point, let alone coming down the stretch in what I anticipate being a close game.
While perhaps no one has the one-on-one speed to keep up with Tyreek Hill, I am confident that the 49ers’ secondary will be able to contain him through double teams and significant safety help. As a result, I could almost see Hill being more of a decoy than a threat in the Super Bowl. Hill has checked in with five or fewer receptions in five straight games and six of the last seven. He has also gone under the yardage total in seven straight games.
Big time players perform their best on big time stages. He may be just 22 years of age, but Nick Bosa has been wreaking havoc on the opposition throughout the 49ers’ playoff run. He piled up six total tackles and assists in the regular season finale against the Seattle Seahawks and the Divisional Round game against the Minnesota Vikings, and Bosa still would’ve hit the over in the NFC Championship Game, with four. I am highly optimistic that Bosa will leave his mark on the Super Bowl in a big way.
It wouldn’t be a complete Super Bowl betting experience without at least one long odds wager on your ticket. “Kendrick Bourne to score a touchdown” is intriguing given the propensity of Jimmy Garoppolo to look his way down in the red zone. On the season, Bourne averaged a 9.6% target share in the red zone. He caught a touchdown in the Divisional Round playoff game, and I could see him sneaking into pay dirt once again in the Super Bowl.
Why do I like a smaller pool of numbers if we are picking a player to score the Super Bowl’s first touchdown? Consider the jersey numbers of the following players:
Outside of tight ends Travis Kelce and George Kittle and San Francisco running back Raheem Mostert, those are all the most likely scorers, by my estimation, on both teams. Even the kick returners (Hardman, James) are covered. I’d say -130 is a good buy point, considering the odds that are in your favor.
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This post was last modified on February 1, 2020 5:12 PM
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