Super Bowl LIV is just over a week away, and the excitement in the air is palpable. One would’ve been hard-pressed to deliver a more intriguing matchup for this year’s edition of the big game. Patrick Mahomes leads the high-flying offensive attack of the Kansas City Chiefs against the loaded defense and run-heavy offense of the San Francisco 49ers. The lure of having betting action on the Super Bowl has been around forever, but with sports gambling becoming increasingly available thanks to nationwide legalization, there will likely be even more action this year.
Read on for a basic betting preview of the big game, including current odds, early action, key trends to consider and analysis of each team.
All Super Bowl LIV odds and bets can be found on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Super Bowl LIV
San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, Feb. 2, 2020
Time: 6:30 p.m. EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, FL
Coverage: FOX
49ers vs Chiefs Game Odds
All Super Bowl LIV odds and bets can be found on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Moneyline: SF: (+100) | KC: (-125)
Spread: SF: +1.5 (-105) | KC: -1.5 (-115)
Total: 54.5 — Over (-115) | Under (-105)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via oddsFire: SF: 31% | KC: 69%
Super Bowl LIV Opening Lines and Early Betting Action
The Westgate Las Vegas Superbook was the first book to post odds for Super Bowl LIV, opening the game as a pick’em at halftime of the NFC Championship. The Chiefs very quickly became the one-point favorites. While nearly all of the prominent Vegas shops remain at a one-point spread, there are several 1.5’s and even the rare 2.0 in the market at online and offshore books. The Westgate opened the total for the game at 51.5. This number was quickly bet up to 52.5 and continued to take money on the over.
Team Overviews
49ers Outlook
While Kansas City has called on Patrick Mahomes to throw 70 passes in the two playoff games, 49ers’ Jimmy Garoppolo has only thrown the ball 27 times in the postseason. That number includes a total of eight passes attempted in the NFC Championship, a game that the 49ers led 27-0 at halftime. Such an occurrence might seem unfathomable in today’s NFL, but the running game has really been the bread and butter of this San Francisco team all season. What did change over the course of the season was the guy getting the majority of the carries. That designation now belongs to Raheem Mostert, who ripped off 220 yards on 29 carries (7.6 yards/carry average) and scored four touchdowns in the NFC title game. He has shown no signs of surrendering his lead role to Tevin Coleman or Matt Breida behind him, but all three could potentially see work in the Super Bowl.
While he wasn’t asked to do too much in either playoff victory, Garoppolo did prove that he can sling it with the best of them on numerous occasions this season, most notably in a shootout win over the New Orleans Saints, a game that saw him throw for 349 yards and four scores on 35 attempts. With an arsenal of weapons that includes unstoppable tight end George Kittle, emerging rookie Deebo Samuel and veteran Emmanuel Sanders, it’s unfair to say that San Francisco is a one-dimensional offense. Kyle Shanahan must pull out all the stops going up against the aggressive blitz packages of Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo in what could be a chess match for the ages.
Chiefs Outlook
The cat is long out of the bag when it comes to the Kansas City Chiefs and their offense. The unit is easily one of, if not the best in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes has been everything the Chiefs drafted him to be and then some. Now, in just his third professional season, he will get the first (of perhaps multiple) shots at glory on football’s biggest stage. With playmaking receivers all over the field in wideouts, Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins and Mecole Hardman, along with tight end Travis Kelce, it’s no wonder that Andy Reid kept his foot on the gas in the second half of the AFC Championship against the Tennessee Titans. After starting out with early deficits in both of their playoff games thus far, the Chiefs have put their quick-strike offensive abilities on full display.
If there is an area on defense where the 49ers are most vulnerable, it probably stands to be the secondary. So long as he has time to throw, it is hard to imagine Mahomes not finding some big plays down the field eventually. And for Kansas City to win a championship, they will almost certainly need another heroic effort from their young quarterback. A ground game that has been handled by committee all season long has been relatively ineffective in the postseason. Despite the presence of veteran Damien Williams and rookie Darwin Thompson, it was Mahomes who led the Chiefs in rushing yards last week with 53. Fellow back LeSean McCoy will likely be back in the fold for the Super Bowl, and the Chiefs would undoubtedly love to have some semblance of a ground attack in an effort to wear down the imposing Niners defensive front.
Super Bowl LIV Team Statistics
San Francisco 49ers
- Averaging 30.2 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 2 in NFL) and 27.5 away from home (No. 5 in NFL).
- Averaging 29.2 PPG over their last five games.
- Allowing 18.9 PPG (No. 5 in NFL) and 19.1 away from home (No. 7 in NFL)
- Allowing 22.2 PPG over their last five games.
- Are 15-3 straight up and 11-6-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season (7-1, 6-2 ATS away from home).
- Have had nine of their 18 games go over the total, but just three of eight away from home
Kansas City Chiefs
- Averaging 29.8 PPG this season (No. 3 in NFL) and 29.6 away from home (No. 3 in NFL).
- Averaging 33.2 PPG over their last five games.
- Allowing 20.2 PPG (No. 10 in NFL) and 17.9 away from home (No. 4 in NFL).
- Allowing 16.4 PPG over their last five games.
- Are 14-4 straight up and 12-5-1 ATS on the season (7-1, 6-2 ATS away from home).
- Have had 10 of their 18 games go over the total, but just three of eight away from home.
49ers vs Chiefs Trends
- 49ers are 7-1 ATS when facing an excellent offense (averaging at least 24 PPG) this season.
- 49ers are 19-35 in road games when coming off a win of 14 points or more over the last 20 seasons.
- Chiefs are 7-0 ATS when facing an excellent offensive team (averaging 350 yards per game) in the second half of this season.
- Chiefs are 7-1 ATS after a double-digit win this season.
- Chiefs are 4-15-2 straight up following three consecutive games in which they averaged more than six yards per play over the last 20 seasons.
Stay tuned in to FlurrySports for game picks, prop bets, and plenty more coverage as Super Bowl LIV approaches!
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