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    You are at:Home»Betting»Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds and College Football Betting Picks for Guaranteed Rate Bowl

    Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds and College Football Betting Picks for Guaranteed Rate Bowl

    Henry JohnBy Henry JohnDecember 26, 2022Updated:March 28, 2023No Comments6 Mins Read Betting
    Mike Gundy Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State prediction odds college football betting picks Guaranteed Rate Bowl game predictions
    Credit: David K Purdy/Getty Images
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    Tuesday’s college football bowl game action concludes with a late-night contest in Phoenix at the home of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Thanks to a flood of transfer portal entrants at both programs, it’s anyone’s guess as to what will unfold when the Wisconsin Badgers meet the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. Perhaps it is that same unpredictability that will make for a great game! What we do know for certain is that the Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State odds and college football betting picks are favoring the Big Ten Conference representative in this matchup.

    The following game preview provides the college football betting odds, trends and FEI Index ratings before sharing our official Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State prediction for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl matchup.

    Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State Prediction | College Football Betting Picks

    Guaranteed Rate Bowl
    Wisconsin Badgers (6-6, 4-5 Big Ten) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-5, 4-5 Big 12)
    Date: Tuesday, December 27, 2022
    Time: 10:15 p.m. EST
    Venue: Chase Field — Phoenix, AZ
    Coverage: ESPN

    It didn’t take long for Wisconsin fans to realize that their team would fall well short of expectations in 2022. A non-conference loss to Washington State set the panic ball in motion. Wisconsin then opened up Big Ten Conference play with consecutive blowout losses to Ohio State and Illinois. Paul Chryst was fired and Jim Leonard took over on an interim basis. The Badgers weren’t even able to clinch bowl eligibility until the penultimate game of the season when they scored in the final minute to slip past Nebraska by a single point.

    On the contrary, Oklahoma State started the season off strong. The Cowboys avenged their loss in last year’s Big 12 Conference title game by beating Baylor in their league opener. However, a season that got off to a 6-1 start got turned on its head by injuries. An embarrassing 48-0 shutout loss to Kansas State marked the start of a late-season swoon that saw OSU lose four of its final five games. Mike Gundy lost a number of key contributors to the transfer portal at the conclusion of the regular season.

    Mike Gundy Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State prediction odds college football betting picks Guaranteed Rate Bowl game predictions
    Credit: David K Purdy/Getty Images

    Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State College Football Betting Picks and Odds

    All college football betting odds for Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State can be found at BetOnline Sportsbook.

    Moneyline: WIS: (-160) | OSU: (+140)
    Point Spread: WIS: -3.5 (-105) | OSU: +3.5 (-115)
    Total: 45 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

    College Football FEI Ratings

    The following table shares the Fremeau Efficiency Index rankings for both teams involved in this Guaranteed Rate Bowl matchup. The purpose of the FEI ratings is to represent the per-possession scoring advantage that a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. The rankings for offense and defense are out of 131 total FBS-level teams.

    Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) ratings are from Football Outsiders

    TeamOverall FEI (Rk)OFEI (Rk)DFEI (Rk)
    Wisconsin.34 (37).09 (58).69 (18)
    Oklahoma State.23 (45)-.04 (66).43 (30)

    Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State College Football Betting Trends

    • Badgers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning record.
    • Five of the Badgers’ last six games following an ATS loss have gone OVER the total.
    • The UNDER is 6-1 in the Badgers’ last seven games played in the month of December.
    • Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last six bowl games.
    • The UNDER is 12-3 in the Cowboys’ last 15 games played in the month of December.
    • Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against opponents who travel 1000 miles or more to reach the site of the game.
    • Badgers have not faced a Big 12 Conference opponent since the 2002 Alamo Bowl when they beat the Cowboys 31-28.

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    Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State Prediction | College Football Betting Picks

    Out of all the college football bowl games taking place this year, the Guaranteed Rate Bowl may be the toughest to handicap. Given all of the personnel turnover and transfer portal departures, the season-long stats for both teams have to be taken with a grain of salt. This is especially true of the offenses which both lost their respective starting quarterbacks to transfer.

    After a very disappointing career at Wisconsin, Graham Mertz entered the portal and has already committed to making Florida his next destination. His departure means that either Chase Wolff or Myles Burkett will start on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State will be without the services of Spencer Sanders who also made the decision to transfer. Either Garrett Rangel or Gunnar Gundy, the son of head coach Mike Gundy, will start for the Pokes.

    While the quarterback situation is a nightmare on its own, the losses for both teams extend well beyond the position. When one thinks of Wisconsin football, strong interior line play typically comes to mind. Well, the Badgers are poised to be without starters on both the offensive and defensive lines in the bowl game. Linebacker Nick Herbig has also opted out to prepare for the 2023 NFL Draft.

    Oklahoma State lost several other key contributors on both sides of the ball as well. Running back Dominic Richardson and linebacker Mason Cobb are two of the most noteworthy names on the list of Cowboys that went into the transfer portal at the end of the regular season.

    Best active coaches against the spread in Bowl Games since 2005

    Mike Gundy 11-5 ATS
    Dabo Swinney 12-6 ATS
    Huge Freeze 6-1 ATS
    Craig Bohl 4-0 ATS

    Worst coaches ATS

    Mike Norvell 0-4 ATS
    Clay Helton 0-4 ATS
    Brian Kelly 5-9 ATS
    Dana Holgorsen 2-7 ATS

    Data per @Bet_Labs

    — John Ewing (@johnewing) December 15, 2022

    The one thing that Oklahoma State has going for it is coaching continuity. While Gundy isn’t leaving Stillwater anytime soon, this will be Jim Leonard’s final game as the head man for Wisconsin with Luke Fickell waiting in the wings. Coaching certainly matters in the postseason, and Gundy has thrived both in bowl games and as a betting underdog over the years. If points prove hard to come by, bettors will be glad to have a field goal and change in pocket.

    OKLAHOMA STATE COVERS will be our official college football betting Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State prediction for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl.

    For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Wisconsin a 53.8% chance to win this game outright.

    Bet: Oklahoma State +3.5 (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)


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    Henry John
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    Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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