The Utah State Aggies and TCU Horned Frogs face off in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament. Utah State won the regular season conference title but lost in the semifinals of the Mountain West tournament to a solid San Diego State team. On the other side, TCU is coming off a tough loss of their own to a great Houston team. Who will gain the edge on the other in this Utah State vs TCU prediction?
Below, we will preview this NCAA Tournament college basketball game, giving a Utah State vs TCU prediction and other March Madness expert picks. Which school will win and keep their hopes of winning the championship trophy alive?
Utah State vs TCU Prediction and March Madness Expert Picks
2024 NCAA Tournament
No. 8 Utah State Aggies (27-6) vs. No. 9 TCU Horned Frogs (21-12)
Date: Friday, March 22, 2024
Time: 9:55 PM EST
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse — Indianapolis, IN
Coverage: TBS
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Utah State vs TCU March Madness Odds
All college basketball betting odds for Utah State vs TCU can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.
Moneyline: USU: (+135) | TCU: (-160)
Point Spread: USU: +3.5 (-112) | TCU: -3.5 (-108)
Total: 150.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
KenPom Rankings | Bracketology
KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com
| Team | Rk | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT |
| Utah State | 48 | 115.6 (39) | 100.5 (68) | 68.5 (107) |
| TCU | 33 | 115.1 (44) | 97.8 (31) | 69.7 (63) |
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Utah State vs TCU College Basketball Trends
- Utah State is 13-2 in non-conference college basketball games this season.
- TCU is 12-3 in non-conference college basketball games this season.
- The OVER is 19-12 in Utah State basketball games this season.
- The OVER is 18-15 in TCU basketball games this season.
- Utah State is 1-18 in NCAA Tournament games since 1971.
- TCU is 2-3 in NCAA Tournament games since 2018.
Utah State vs TCU Prediction | March Madness Expert Picks
The biggest question in this game is what TCU basketball team shows up. The Horned Frogs have wins over Houston, Texas Tech and Baylor on the road. They also have lost multiple one-possession games to Kansas, Iowa State and on the road against Texas Tech. At the same time, they also have losses to Cincinnati and UCF. The Horned Frogs are led offensively by Emanuel Miller, who averages nearly 16 points per game. Defensively, TCU averages 9.1 steals per game, which is good for 15th in the country.
TCU isn’t the only team that can make their opponent’s life difficult, defensively. Utah State holds their opposition to just 28.6% this season. While the majority of those teams are from the Mountain West and their non-conference schedule was bad, that still shows just how good they are at limiting success on perimeter shots. The Aggies also have an elite scorer of their own with forward Great Osobor averaging 18 points per game.
This game has to be one of the toughest games to predict in the entire NCAA Tournament. Outside of their conference, Utah State is largely unproven. While TCU can be one of the best teams in the nation, they also have shown that their consistency can’t be counted on. With that being said, I’m going with the team that’s more battle-tested every day of the week. For our Utah State vs TCU prediction, we are picking the TCU Horned Frogs to win and move on in the NCAA Tournament.
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