The UConn Huskies and Alabama Crimson Tide will face off in the Final Four of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament. Last round, UConn pulled away from Illinois with a historic 30-0 run on their way to a 77-52 win. Alabama rode a second-half hot streak from beyond the arc to beat Clemson, 89-82. Although UConn has been so dominant, Alabama’s style of play could make a UConn vs Alabama prediction difficult.
Below, we will preview this Final Four NCAA Tournament college basketball game, providing data, trends and analysis. Which school will win and get the opportunity to play for the championship trophy?
UConn vs Alabama Prediction and Final Four March Madness Picks
2024 NCAA Tournament – Final Four
No. 1 UConn Huskies (35-3) vs. No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (25-11)
Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024
Time: 8:49 PM EST
Venue: State Farm Stadium — Glendale, AZ
Coverage: TBS
UConn vs Alabama March Madness Odds
All college basketball betting odds for UConn vs Alabama can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.
Moneyline: CONN: (-750) | BAMA: (+520)
Point Spread: CONN: -11.5 (-110) | BAMA: +11.5 (-110)
Total: 160 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
KenPom Rankings | Bracketology
KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com
| Team | Rk | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT |
| UConn | 1 | 126.7 (1) | 91.5 (4) | 65.0 (315) |
| Alabama | 12 | 125.8 (3) | 102.6 (105) | 72.8 (9) |
UConn vs Alabama College Basketball Trends
- UConn is 14-1 in non-conference college basketball games.
- Alabama is 12-5 in non-conference college basketball games.
- UConn is 26-12 against the spread this year.
- The OVER is 27-9 in Alabama basketball games this season.
- UConn has won its last 13 postseason games, 12 by double digits.
- This is Alabama’s first Final Four in program history.
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UConn vs Alabama Prediction | March Madness Final Four Picks
If you’re reading this article, you are probably well aware of UConn’s dominance. They dominated the month of March for the second straight year and have the chance to win back-to-back titles while winning each game by double digits. So the important question is how can anyone beat this Connecticut team?
On Saturday afternoon, Illinois showed the remaining teams exactly what not to do. They continually tried driving to the basket and finishing over 7-2 center Donovan Clingan who continually denied each attempt. When Clingan was in the game, the Illini shot 5-38 from the floor. So, if taking it inside against UConn won’t work, the answer has to be spraying threes. In the Huskies’ last loss (85-66 vs Creighton), Creighton made 14 of their 28 three-point attempts and was able to seal a comfortable victory. Fortunately for Alabama, this fits right into how they want to play.
The Tide shoot threes at the 19th-highest rate in the country, but they have shown they are willing to “live and die” by the three if necessary. In their December matchup with Purdue, Alabama attempted 25 threes and only 5 twos in the first half. This strategy was a result of their reluctance to attack Zach Edey, a tactic they may want to employ against Clingan for this game. They successfully made 13 of those threes but experienced a cooling down period in the second half, which resulted in Purdue pulling away. As simple as it sounds, Alabama making a high percentage of their three-point shots is key to them making this a competitive game.
Although Alabama has the style and personnel to score against UConn, you would be foolish to pick against the Huskies right now. They are a machine on both ends of the court, and any time they are forced into a bad shot or give up a good look, it comes as a surprise. Even if Alabama is making threes, UConn will be able to match them in points and be dominant on the inside. For our Final Four UConn vs Alabama prediction, we are picking the UConn Huskies to win and move on in the NCAA Tournament.
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