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Texas vs Penn State Prediction and NCAA Tournament March Madness Expert Picks

In a Second Round NCAA Tournament game, the (2) Texas Longhorns will face off with the (10) Penn State Nittany Lions in the Midwest Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, March Madness expert picks, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our Texas vs Penn State prediction.

Texas vs Penn State Prediction and March Madness Expert Picks

2023 NCAA Tournament
No. 2 Texas Longhorns (27-8) vs No. 10 Penn State Nittany Lions (23-13)
Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
Time: 7:45 P.M. EST
Venue: Wells Fargo Arena – Des Moines, IA
Coverage: CBS

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Texas vs Penn State March Madness Betting Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Texas vs Penn State can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: PSU: (+200) | UT: (-240)
Point Spread: PSU: +5 (-110) | UT: -5 (-110)
Total: 139 – OVER: (-110) | UNDER: (-110)

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com

TeamAdjEM (Rk)AdjO (Rk)AdjD (Rk)AdjT (Rk)
Texas+24.82 (6)116.8 (17)91.9 (11)68.9 (100)
Penn State+16.41 (33)117.5 (13)101.1 (95)64.4 (319)

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  • Texas is 18-17 against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • Penn State is 21-13-2 ATS this season.
  • The OVER is 16-16-3 for Texas this season.
  • The OVER is 20-15-1 for Penn State this season.

Texas vs Penn State Prediction | March Madness Expert Picks

It’s odd to call a team one of the hottest teams in the country when they lost the game before their last. But, Penn State fits that bill. After needing a strong Big 10 Tournament to make the NCAA Tournament, Penn State proved that they were not just a flash in the pan, beating Texas A&M, 76-59. In that game, Penn State hit 13 of 22 three-point shots. The only problem for Penn State is that Texas possesses the 11th-ranked defense in the country, based on KenPom Rankings. Texas held Colgate to 3/15 shooting from the three-point line, good for 20%.

Texas took care of business in its first-round matchup with Colgate. Winning by 20 and scoring 81 points, Texas shot 53% from the field. What may be more impressive is that the Longhorns shot 56% from the three points line in that game. Texas also dominated on the glass, out-rebounding Colgate by 11.

While Penn State might be “hot”, I think this is where their run comes to end. Texas is just too good of a team to lose to jump shooters.

Our college basketball betting Texas vs Penn State prediction tonight will be Texas covers the spread at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Texas a 78.9% chance to win.


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