In the second Sweet 16 game in the West region, we have an unexpected Texas Tech vs Arkansas matchup for a spot in the Elite Eight. Both teams came out on top in hard fought games and will have their fans dreaming of a potential Final Four berth.
Below, we will preview this Sweet 16 college basketball game, giving the Texas Tech vs Arkansas overview, trends and our expert pick! Which school will win and keep their hopes of winning the championship trophy alive?
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Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction and Sweet 16 Expert Picks
2025 NCAA Tournament
No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-8) vs. No. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13)
Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
Time: 10:09 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center — San Francisco, CA
Coverage: TBS/TruTV
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Texas Tech vs Arkansas Sweet 16 Odds
All college basketball betting odds for Texas Tech vs Arkansas can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TTU: (-241) | ARK: (+197)
Point Spread: TTU: -5.5 (-110) | ARK: +5.5 (-110)
Total: 148.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
KenPom Rankings | Bracketology
KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com
| Team | Rk | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT |
| Texas Tech | 8 | 125.4 (5) | 97.3 (37) | 66.0 (262) |
| Arkansas | 36 | 114.2 (65) | 95.1 (17) | 69.4 (67) |
Texas Tech vs Arkansas College Basketball Trends
- Texas Tech is 4-1 in its last five games.
- Arkansas is 4-1 in its last five games.
- Texas Tech is 12-3 in non-conference play this season.
- Arkansas is 14-3 in non-conference play this season.
- Texas Tech is 2-6 in the Sweet 16 in school history.
- Arkansas is 7-7 in the Sweet 16 in school history.
Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction | Sweet 16 Expert Picks
The Texas Tech Red Raiders came into this tournament as one of the elite shooting teams in the country, shooting 47% from the field and 37.9% from three-point range. They have plenty of lethal shooters on the team which has made their struggles shooting the ball in the tournament that much more perplexing.
While the sample size is admittedly small, the Red Raiders shot just 28% and 14% respectively from deep in their last two wins. Even with their struggles shooting the ball, they still won both their games by a combined 23 points. Texas Tech is a deep team and sooner or later they are going to break out of their shooting slump. They play a slow tempo game but are incredibly efficient on both sides of the ball. If they can find their three-point touch again, they’ll find themselves in the Elite 8.
Arkansas shocked a lot of fans with their 75-66 win over St. John’s in the second round of the tournament. They used their stifling defense along a fast pace offense that looked to attack in transition to take down the Red Storm. The biggest news for the Razorbacks is that their leading scorer Adou Thiero will be back for this game.
While that news is certainly big, there are still plenty of question marks for Arkansas. If Thiero isn’t at 100%, he could be more of a liability than an asset as he hasn’t played in over a month. On top of that, Arkansas shoots the ball poorly from deep as seen in their 2/19 showing against St. John’s and their team average 33% this season. Arkansas got away with poor shooting once, against a team with the firepower of Texas Tech, they won’t get away with it again.
For our Texas Tech vs Arkansas prediction, we are picking the Texas Tech Red Raiders to win and move on in the NCAA Tournament
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