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Quaker State 400 Race Stats and NASCAR Betting Trends

The NASCAR Cup Series returns to the Peach State this weekend for the annual running of the Quaker State 400. However, in stark contrast to previous years, this is the first time since 2010 that this race will be run at Atlanta Motor Speedway. After spending the entire past decade at Kentucky Speedway, the Quaker State 400 returns to its original track. This is also the first time since 2010 that Atlanta has hosted two NASCAR weekends in the same season. With two tracks and a whole lot of wild changes in its history, it comes as no shock that the Quaker State 400 stats and NASCAR betting trends for this weekend’s race are all over the place.

The following article breaks down several of the noteworthy stats, trends and facts for Sunday afternoon’s Quaker State 400 at Atlanta.

While this NASCAR Cup Series race traces its roots back to the 1960 season at Atlanta Motor Speedway, the Quaker State 400 name and distance itself did not come about until the move to Kentucky Speedway in 2011. Prior to that year, the event was 500 miles in length. Although it returns to Atlanta this season, it will keep the same 400-mile distance.

The following sections break down several different types of trends specific to the Quaker State 400. These trends can be useful when making NASCAR betting picks on this weekend’s race.

Brad Keselowski NASCAR betting trends Cup Series Atlanta Motor Speedway Quaker State 400 stats
Credit: GERRY BROOME | AP

Concerning the last ten years of the race at Kentucky Speedway, Brad Keselowski leads all drivers with three victories. However, his last win came back in 2016. Both Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. won the event twice in Kentucky. Busch’s most recent win was in 2015 while Truex went back-to-back in 2017 and ’18.


🏎 Check out our latest NASCAR Cup Series power rankings ahead of this weekend’s action at Atlanta!


Cole Custer stunned the field by winning last year’s Quaker State 400 as a NASCAR betting underdog. The victory clinched him a spot in the playoffs and also buoyed Custer to Rookie of the Year honors.

Joe Gibbs Racing and Team Penske each won this race three times at Kentucky. However, neither team has won since 2016. The only other team to score multiple race wins was now-defunct Furniture Row Racing. Chip Ganassi Racing and Stewart-Haas Racing were the victorious teams in the last two years.

In the ten years which this race was run at Kentucky Speedway, Toyota topped all other manufacturers by winning it five times. Three came courtesy of Joe Gibbs Racing while the other two came by way of Martin Truex Jr. and Furniture Row Racing.

Atlanta Motor Speedway Driver Statistics

Now that we have considered the Quaker State 400 race stats and trends from the past decade at Kentucky Speedway, it’s time to turn our attention to the track that will host this weekend’s edition. The following section contains NASCAR betting driver statistics specific to recent races at Atlanta Motor Speedway. By combining the race and track stats together, one figures to develop a solid handicap for Sunday’s race!

Average Finish at Atlanta Motor Speedway

Note: Data is taken from the ten most recent Atlanta races

RankDriverStartsBest FinishAverage Finish
1Michael McDowell10111.0
2Denny Hamlin10113.5
3Bubba Wallace8215.1
4Kyle Larson9615.8
5Austin Dillon10116.1
6Ryan Newman10516.2
7Christopher Bell31316.7
8Alex Bowman7717.9
9Ross Chastain6718.2
10Joey Logano10418.3
11Corey LaJoie9618.7
T-12Aric Almirola9418.9
T-12Matt DiBenedetto10718.9
14Ricky Stenhouse Jr.10119.0
15Chris Buescher10319.2

Average Driver Rating at Atlanta Motor Speedway

Note: Data is taken from the four most recent Atlanta races

RankDriverStartsCar NumberAverage Driver Rating
1Joey Logano72293.1
2Denny Hamlin71192.1
3Ricky Stenhouse Jr.74787.2
4Kyle Busch71886.3
5Chase Elliott7985.6
6Ryan Blaney71283.8
7Alex Bowman74883.2
8Kevin Harvick7482.8
9Austin Dillon7382.6
10Michael McDowell73482.0
11Christopher Bell32081.4
12William Byron72478.7
13Bubba Wallace72376.9
14Kyle Larson6576.1
15Brad Keselowski7275.2

What About Atlanta’s Quaker State 400 Stats?

Young NASCAR betting enthusiasts and motorsports fans might not know that the Quaker State 400 actually used to be run at Atlanta Motor Speedway. The only caveat was that it was always a 500-mile race up until NASCAR moved it to Kentucky Speedway in 2010. So while we have to go back a full decade to find any actual race stats from its prior stint in Georgia, the numbers do exist!

Kurt Busch NASCAR betting Cup Series trends Quaker State 400 Atlanta Motor Speedway
Credit: Stephen A. Arce/Action Sports Photography Inc

Of course, there are also a whole lot of new faces in the NASCAR Cup Series that weren’t around back in 2010. One driver who was, however, is Kurt Busch. The elder Busch brother claimed each of the last two editions of this race at Atlanta Motor Speedway in 2009 and 2010. He drove to back-to-back victories in a Team Penske Dodge in what was known then as the Kobalt Tools 500. Add in Brad Keselowski’s three Quaker State 400 wins at Kentucky and the No. 2 car has won this race five times in the last 12 years. Now THAT is a NASCAR betting fun fact!

Then there’s Kurt’s younger brother, Kyle Busch, who won the same race in 2008 driving the same Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota that he operates today. Add in his two wins at Kentucky and Kyle has also won this race on three occasions. But when it comes to wins in this race back in the Atlanta days, Kurt Busch is the only active driver with multiple victories. Chevrolet leads all manufacturers in race wins at Atlanta with 17 followed by Ford with 13. Kyle Busch’s 2008 victory was the only one for what was still a new Toyota NASCAR Cup Series venture at the time.


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