Following a bunch of chaos ahead of UFC 279, including Khamzat Chimaev missing weight by 7.5 pounds, we have three new pairings on the main card. The main event of UFC 279 is now Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson.
This UFC betting preview for Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson will share the odds, picks, prediction, stats, start time, UFC best bets and stream for how to watch UFC 279 fights this weekend. But first, let’s take a look at this exciting UFC 279 signup offer at BetOnline Sportsbook.
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Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson Prediction and UFC 279 Start Time
UFC 279 — Welterweight Bout | Main Event
Nate Diaz (21-13-0, 4 KO, 13 Sub) vs. Tony “El Cucuy” Ferguson (26-7-0, 13 KO, 8 Sub)
Date: Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022
Start Time: This will be the final fight on the Main Card, which begins at 10 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Arena — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: ESPN+
How to Watch UFC 279 Tonight
If you are wondering how to watch UFC 279, it’s easy! The UFC 279 prelims and early prelims will be available to watch for free via ESPN+. Anyone who has an ESPN+ account is already good to go. If you do not have an ESPN+ account, you can click here to get it! Either purchase an ESPN+ account ($9.99) or buy the full Disney+ bundle ($13.99), which includes Disney+ and Hulu — a worthwhile investment.
The packed main card will be available via PPV here. With Nate Diaz being in possibly his final UFC fight ever, there’s no doubt that UFC 279 is a must-watch event on Saturday night.
Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson Odds & UFC Picks
UFC betting odds for UFC 279 are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
Rounds Fought:
4.5 — Over: (-130) | Under: (+100)
Method of Victory:
Nate Diaz
- KO/TKO or DQ: (+450)
- Submission: (+1200)
- Decision: (+350)
Tony Ferguson
- KO/TKO or DQ: (+235)
- Submission: (+1600)
- Decision: (+150)
CLICK HERE for more UFC betting props
Fighter Comparison
Nate Diaz | NAME | Tony Ferguson |
21-13-0 | RECORD | 26-7-0 |
USA | COUNTRY | USA |
6-1 | HEIGHT | 5-11 |
171 lbs | WEIGHT | 171 lbs |
76 in | REACH | 76.5 in |
38 in | LEG REACH | 40.5 in |
24% | KO WIN % | 50% |
57% | SUB WIN % | 31% |
19% | DEC WIN % | 19% |
Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson Betting Trends & Stats
– Nate Diaz lost to Leon Edwards, by unanimous decision, in his last fight on June 12, 2021.
– Tony Ferguson lost to Michael Chandler, by knockout, in his last fight on May, 2022.
– Diaz averages 4.51 significant strikes landed per minute with a 45% accuracy rate.
– Ferguson averages 5.12 significant strikes landed per minute with a 45% accuracy rate.
– Diaz averages 3.73 significant strikes absorbed per minute with a 52% defense rate.
– Ferguson averages 3.81 significant strikes absorbed per minute with a 58% defense rate.
– Diaz averages 1.10 takedowns per 15 minutes.
– Ferguson averages 0.41 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Stats via UFC.com
Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson Prediction + UFC Picks
UFC 279 Diaz-Ferguson prediction is from Tapology Fight Predictions.
Winner: Tony Ferguson (61%)
Method of Victory: Decision (70%)
UFC 279 Fight Card | Main Card
Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson — Main Event
Khamzat Chimaev vs Kevin Holland — Match 2
Li Jingliang vs Daniel Rodriguez — Match 3
Irene Aldana vs Macy Chiasson — Match 4
Johnny Walker vs Ion Cutelaba — Match 5
UFC 279 Fight Card | Prelims
Hakeem Dawodu vs Julian Erosa — Match 6
Jailton Almeida vs Anton Turkalj — Match 7
Denis Tiuliulin vs Jamie Pickett — Match 8
Jake Collier vs Chris Barnett — Match 9