The NASCAR Cup Series will end its season this weekend at Phoenix Raceway. Joey Logano, Tyler Reddick, Ryan Blaney and William Byron will all fight for the right to the Bill France Cup. The highest finisher of those four drivers will be crowned the champion.
The 2024 season has provided some great racing and some historical finishes this season. Will we have one more in the plans this Sunday? Below is our official 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship prediction and odds.
Phoenix Raceway Track Facts
Opened: 1988 (Also the year of the first NASCAR Cup Series race at Phoenix)
Races held at the Track: 56
Most Wins: Kevin Harvick (9)
Most Starts: Kevin Harvick (42)
NASCAR Cup Series Championship Start Time
Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
Time: 3 PM ET
Channel: NBC
NASCAR Cup Series Championship Prediction and Odds
Odds provided by BetUS Sportsbook.
Ryan Blaney #12 (+190)
The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Champion has returned to defend his crown. Ryan Blaney started the season a little slow like the other Ford camp, staying within the top 10 until back-to-back DNFs at Darlington and Charlotte. In the following race, Blaney was in line to win until he ran out of gas on the final lap. Two weeks later he would collect the checkered flag dominating at Iowa. Blaney added one more win before the playoffs and entered with the sixth seed.
Blaney safely advanced into the Round of 12 and then the Round of 8. In the Round of 8, a 32nd-place finish put Blaney in must-win territory. At Homestead-Miami, he had the lead entering the final corner, but made the wrong choice and had to settle for second. At Martinsville, he had a late race charge to win the race and clinch his way into the Championship 4. Can the reigning Champion get his second consecutive championship?
Joey Logano #22 (+300)
Joey Logano will make his sixth appearance in the Championship 4. Logano did not have the best start, as through six races he was 22nd in the points. He would gain enough points to put him into the playoffs until the first Kansas race where he fell back to 17th. Logano clinched his spot into the playoffs with a 5-overtime win at Nashville. That would be his only win in the regular season.
At the first playoff race at Atlanta, Logano would earn his second win and clinch a spot in the Round of 12. In the Round of 12, Kansas he didn’t have a good race, Talladega he got wrecked late and at the Charlotte Roval he didn’t get enough points to advance. That would be until Alex Bowman got disqualified so Logano would have enough points. Then, Logano immediately took full advantage of that and won the first race of the Round of 8 at Las Vegas. Logano was the first one to clinch his spot. Can Even Year Logano get his third NASCAR Cup Series Championship and further his Hall of Fame status?
William Byron #24 (+250)
The only Chevrolet to make the Championship 4 is the driver of the 24. William Byron got here through a little controversy, but he is here nonetheless. Byron started the season by winning the biggest race of the year, the Daytona 500. Byron went on to win two more of the first eight races. Byron hasn’t won a race since, heading into the playoffs as the fifth seed. Round of 16 he was below average, but had enough to advance. In Round 12, he did not have a finish worse than third, which was easily enough to put him into Round 8.
In the Round of 8, Byron started with a fourth at Las Vegas and a sixth at Homestead-Miami. Going into Martinsville, he needed not in the playoffs to win or to gain points on Bell. Byron was able to finish sixth and Bell ended up getting penalized for riding the wall to help Byron get his spot into the Championship 4. That is not without controversy though. Austin Dillon and Ross Chastain became a blockade for the 24 so no one could pass him. Byron was one point to the good when the blockade started. Will Byron make the most of this and capture Hendrick Motorsports first Cup Championship since 2021?
Tyler Reddick #45 (+310)
The Michael Jordan-owned car got his way into the Championship 4. Tyler Reddick had a quiet first quarter of the season, as he found himself as high as fifth and fell to as low as tenth. At Talladega, Reddick was able to avoid the last lap crash and “steal one” to clinch his spot into the Playoffs. He would have a car capable of winning races, but something would go wrong and things would not go his way. He finished with a shot at winning the race within the last 10 laps in four of the next 13 races. He found victory lane again when the Series made it to Michigan to help him take the lead in the points standings. Reddick survived a Daytona race and then sickness at Darlington almost cost him the Regular Season Championship, but he was able to beat out Kyle Larson by one point. That one point helped him to 15 extra playoff points instead of 12.
Reddick didn’t have a good Round of 16, as he finished 20th or worse in two of the three races, but it was enough to advance. In the Round of 12, bad moves at Kansas and Talladega put Reddick below the cutline. Reddick won stage 1 at the Charlotte ROVAL to help out his chances, but in stage 2 he made contact with another driver and needed repairs. Reddick’s crew was able to get the car fixed and Reddick was able to make a drive to put him into the Round of 8.
In the first race at Las Vegas, Reddick won the stage and then flipped his car in stage 2 and he couldn’t finish the race putting him below the cutline again. At Homestead-Miami, Crew Chief Billy Scott made one of the biggest calls of the season leaving Reddick out until he had to pit. Reddick pit and then the next lap a caution came out. Reddick took over the lead and won, clinching his Championship 4 spot after passing Ryan Blaney and Denny Hamlin on the final lap. Can the 23XI driver get the Championship with the future unclear due to the lawsuit?
NASCAR Cup Series Championship Prediction
Even Year Logano will strike again, as Joey Logano wins his third championship (tying five other drivers for the fifth-most) and Team Penske wins their third consecutive drivers championship.
