FlurrySports gives predictions and NASCAR betting odds for the Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway.
The NASCAR world will hold its annual throwback celebration this weekend at one of the most iconic tracks on the circuit. Considering that Darlington Raceway opened over 75 years ago, it’s the perfect place to honor the history of the sport.
Sunday’s Goodyear 400 marks the first of two races the Cup Series will run at “The Track Too Tough to Tame” this season. Darlington has not been fully resurfaced since 2008, making tire preservation a key factor when evaluating NASCAR betting picks this week.
Add in the fact that the track features two completely different corners, and there’s a reason it’s considered one of the most difficult tests drivers and teams face all year.
Below, we break down the NASCAR betting odds to win the Goodyear 400, including our top picks and predictions from favorites to long shots with a chance.
Goodyear 400 NASCAR Race at Darlington Raceway
Goodyear 400
Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
Start Time: 3 p.m. EST
Coverage: FS1
Distance: 400.24 miles (293 laps)
Stages: Three (90 laps, 95 laps, 108 laps)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Denny Hamlin
Goodyear 400 NASCAR Betting Odds to Win
Due to its demanding nature, Darlington Raceway is a track where driver handicapping is critical. While the top teams are typically those battling for wins here, it’s not uncommon to see drivers with longer odds get the job done.
Simply put, if a driver excels in tire and equipment management, they have a legitimate shot to pull off an upset this weekend, especially if their car has the speed to match.
A pair of Joe Gibbs Racing drivers swept the two Darlington races a year ago. 2025 spring winner Denny Hamlin (+500) enters as a co-favorite alongside Kyle Larson. Meanwhile, teammate Chase Briscoe, winner of the last two Southern 500s, sits just behind in them on the board.
While no driver in the field can match Hamlin’s track record at Darlington, Tyler Reddick isn’t far off. With three runner-up finishes and two additional top-five results over the last eight races here, it’s no surprise to see him among the most respected names in the NASCAR betting odds.
The table below lists the latest pre-qualifying odds for the full field heading into the weekend.
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Goodyear 400 outright betting odds are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
| Driver | Odds | Goodyear 400 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +500 | Erik Jones | +5000 |
| Kyle Larson | +500 | Austin Cindric | +6600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +600 | Josh Berry | +8000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +600 | Justin Allgaier | +10000 |
| William Byron | +800 | Connor Zilish | +10000 |
| Christopher Bell | +800 | John Hunter Nemechek | +10000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1000 | AJ Allmendinger | +12500 |
| Chase Elliott | +1800 | Zane Smith | +15000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2000 | Daniel Suarez | +25000 |
| Joey Logano | +2200 | Michael McDowell | +25000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2200 | Austin Dillon | +30000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +2500 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +30000 |
| Ross Chastain | +2800 | Shane van Gisbergen | +30000 |
| Chris Buescher | +2800 | Noah Gragson | +30000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +3500 | Todd Gilliland | +30000 |
| Kyle Busch | +4000 | Riley Herbst | +50000 |
| Ryan Preece | +5000 | Cole Custer | +50000 |
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions: Who Will Win the Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway?
Favorite: Chase Briscoe (+600)
It would be fascinating to see where Chase Briscoe’s odds to win the Goodyear 400 might sit had he not rallied from a pit road penalty to finish eighth at Las Vegas last week. As it stands, his 6-1 odds reflect recent success at Darlington more than the early-season misfortune that has defined his 2026 campaign.
And misfortune is the right word. Crashing out at Daytona is understandable, but a broken transaxle at COTA and a cut tire at Phoenix were far less predictable, costing him what were shaping up to be strong results.
Despite those setbacks, the speed has been there. Briscoe showed that at Las Vegas, working his way back onto the lead lap before slicing through the field to secure a top-10 finish.
If that same speed carries over to Darlington, he should once again be a factor. Briscoe has won each of the last two Southern 500s with different teams and manufacturers, and he added a fifth-place finish in the 2024 spring race. His 338 laps led over the last six Darlington races rank second only to Kyle Larson.
With continued questions surrounding Chevrolet’s new body, Briscoe also aligns with a broader betting approach that leans toward Toyota this weekend.
Value Pick: William Byron (+800)
Given how the NASCAR betting odds are positioned this week, an 8-1 price on William Byron stands out as a strong value relative to other top contenders. We’ll gladly take a bit of extra return on a driver fully capable of winning the Goodyear 400.
Over the last six Cup Series races at Darlington, Byron leads all drivers with an average driver rating of 107.6. His average finish of 10.7 during that span ranks fourth among active drivers and includes a win in the spring of 2023.
While some drivers have historically fared better in the longer, 500-mile fall race, the opposite has been true for Byron. The No. 24 team has finished first, sixth, and second in the last three editions of the 400-mile Darlington race.
There are still some concerns surrounding Chevrolet overall, but Hendrick Motorsports appeared to have a better handle on the new body than the rest of the manufacturer last week. Byron is also somewhat underrated when it comes to tire and equipment management, a skillset that should have him firmly in the mix on Sunday.
Long Shot Hopeful: Chris Buescher (+2800)
Mike Joy, the longtime voice of NASCAR on FOX, often refers to Chris Buescher as a “grinder.” Few tracks reward that kind of approach more than Darlington.
And the results back it up. Buescher has recorded top-10 finishes in seven of the last ten Cup Series races at the track, including finishes of sixth or better in three of the last five.
From an organizational standpoint, RFK Racing also showed encouraging speed last week at Las Vegas. It’s worth noting that Brad Keselowski delivered a Darlington victory for the team just two years ago, reinforcing their ability to compete here.
At 28-1 odds, Buescher is firmly worth a look. He may not dominate early, but he has a way of quietly positioning himself near the front when it matters most.
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