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Georgia vs Alabama Prediction, Betting Odds and Trends for CFP National Championship Game

The final game of the college football season has arrived. In a rematch of the SEC Conference title game, the Georgia Bulldogs will face off with the Alabama Crimson Tide in the College Football Playoff National Championship Game on Monday night. While there continues to be plenty of grumbling about the current FBS playoff format, fans of the sport really can’t complain about this year’s title game matchup. Georgia and Alabama have clearly been the two best teams all season long. Will Nick Saban and the Tide continue their recent dominance in this rivalry? Or can Kirby Smart and the Dawgs exact some revenge? The college football betting odds have aligned with Georgia ahead of the 2022 CFP National Championship Game.

The following Georgia vs Alabama college football betting preview will give you the current odds, betting trends and picks for the CFP National Championship Game matchup. 

Georgia vs Alabama college football playoff prediction betting odds picks
Credit: Todd Kirkland/Getty Images

Georgia vs Alabama College Football National Championship Betting Preview

College Football Playoff National Championship Game
Georgia Bulldogs (13-1 SU, 9-5 ATS) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-1 SU, 8-6 ATS)
Date: Monday, Jan. 10, 2021
Time: 8 p.m. EST
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium — Indianapolis, IN
Coverage: ESPN

Georgia Bulldogs Preview

Kirby Smart and Georgia are certainly no strangers to having the college football betting public go against them. The vast majority of ATS bets were on Michigan for the Orange Bowl CFP Semifinal matchup. Any questions about how the Bulldogs would rebound after having their undefeated season ruined in the SEC Championship Game were answered immediately. The Dawgs raced out to a 14-0 lead after the first quarter and never looked back. The 34-11 blowout of the Big Ten champs helped set up another crack at Alabama with a national title on the line.

After making numerous mistakes in the SEC Championship Game, quarterback Stetson Bennett IV responded in a big way against Michigan. He picked the Wolverines’ stout defense apart, finishing with over 300 yards passing and a trio of touchdowns. Running back James Cook wound up as Georgia’s leading receiver in the playoff semifinal with 112 yards and tight end Brock Bowers remained a preferred target of Bennett’s. Star wideout George Pickens was abnormally quiet. He should play a much bigger role in the title game. While no UGA ball-carriers had a blockbuster individual game on the gourd, four players eclipsed 30 yards rushing. Zamir White and Cook will aim to find more success against Alabama on Monday night.

Of course, Georgia’s calling-card all season has been the defense. After having their weaknesses exposed by Alabama’s four-wide offensive looks in the SEC title game, the Bulldogs shut down a run-heavy Michigan offense in the Orange Bowl. Georgia’s front seven is chock full of NFL-caliber talent with no name looming larger than Nakobe Dean. The Dawgs continue to rank as the best scoring defense in FBS having allowed only 9.8 points per game on average this season.

Alabama Crimson Tide Preview

Nick Saban and Alabama had little difficulty taking care of the loveable Group of 5 underdog Cincinnati in their playoff semifinal matchup. A 27-6 victory was sparked by a massive advantage in size and strength along the line of scrimmage. This enabled the Tide to run the ball virtually at will against a Bearcats defense that has plenty of NFL talent in its own right. In fact, Alabama had so much success on the ground that Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Bryce Young finished the day with less than 200 yards passing. 

Needless to say, the offensive approach Alabama took in the Cotton Bowl was very different from the one they utilized in the first college football betting matchup against Georgia. After totaling only 55 rushing yards against the Dawgs in the SEC title game, Brian Robinson Jr. went off against Cincy. His 198 yards came on 25 carries, good for a 7.9 YPC average. While Ja’Corey Brooks and Slade Bolden joined Jameson Williams as the priority targets, the playoff semifinal didn’t necessarily give a great indication of how Alabama’s passing attack will fare without John Metchie. The Tide certainly won’t be able to run the ball at will against the Georgia defensive front as they did against Cincinnati.

Speaking of the battle in the trenches, Alabama’s offensive line put together a near-perfect performance in the SEC Championship Game. Will they be able to replicate that showing a second time? Defensively, the game plan for Saban figures to once again be to force Stetson Bennett to make plays. The Crimson Tide rank second only to Georgia in run defense this season. By taking away Georgia’s preferred offensive option, Alabama will aim to force Bennett into making more mistakes.


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Georgia vs Alabama Betting Odds and Prediction

College football betting odds for Georgia vs Alabama are taken from BetMGM Sportsbook.

Moneyline: UGA: (-145) | ALA: (+120)
Spread: UGA: -2.5 (-115) | ALA: +2.5 (-105)
Total: 52.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via Action Network: UGA: (40%) | ALA: (60%)

Georgia vs Alabama College Football Betting Trends

  • Seven of the Bulldogs’ last 10 games have gone under the total.
  • Bulldogs are only 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games against stout rushing defenses allowing less than 3.0 yards per carry.
  • Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as college football betting underdogs.
  • Nine of the last 10 Bulldogs vs Crimson Tide head-to-head matchups have gone over the total.
  • Crimson Tide are a perfect 7-0 straight up in their last seven head-to-head matchups against the Bulldogs.

Georgia vs Alabama Stats

  • Georgia is averaging 37.7 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 3 in the SEC).
  • Georgia is surrendering 9.8 PPG this season (No. 1 in the SEC).
  • Alabama is averaging 40.9 PPG this season (No. 1 in the SEC).
  • Alabama is surrendering 19.6 PPG this season (No. 3 in the SEC).

Georgia vs Alabama Prediction

This Georgia vs Alabama college football betting prediction uses NumberFire’s game projections. They give the Bulldogs a 61.4% chance to win this CFP National Championship Game matchup.


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