Week 16 and the semifinals of the Fantasy Football Playoffs are here. Congratulations on being just two victories away from winning a championship! Hopefully, you managed to dodge the injuries that struck numerous key players last week. As far as fantasy football start ’em, sit ’em at the running back position is concerned, some of the notable injuries that transpired will give a boost to the backfield cohorts of those players. Heck, Jahmyr Gibbs may deliver fantasy championships singlehandedly now in the absence of David Montgomery.

Naturally, players like Gibbs, Saquon Barkley and Bijan Robinson will be started in lineups weekly without question in the Fantasy Football Playoffs. As has been the case all season, the focus of this column will be the RB2 and FLEX spots. To help you feel more confident in making some of the tough decisions you may be facing, be sure to check out our weekly fantasy football rankings and read on for our Week 16 RB fantasy football start ’em, sit ’em analysis.

Wide Receivers — Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit

Tight Ends — Week 16 Fantasy Football Start/Sit


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Fantasy Football Start ’em, Sit ’em: Week 16 RBs

Start: Brian Robinson Fantasy Outlook vs Eagles

Expert Consensus Ranking (ECR) Rank: 23

Even with Austin Ekeler as his sidekick for the better part of this season, Brian Robinson has been one of the most consistent and reliable RBs from a fantasy standpoint. Although he never truly had a “Boom” game during the regular season portion of the fantasy schedule, he was considered a “start” in 70% of his games. Again, that was with Ekeler in the lineup and Robinson battling injuries of his own. With the former now on IR, Robinson is the clear lead back in Washington. Just last week, he played a season-high 74% of the Commanders’ offensive snaps and set a season-high with 21 carries.

Given Robinson’s steady effort throughout the season, managers should feel confident in deploying him as an RB2 in Week 16 matchups. Of course, the drawback is the fact that the Commanders will be facing off against the Philadelphia Eagles. However, Robinson had 16 carries against this stout Philly run defense back in Week 11. He was able to average nearly four yards per and found the end zone in defeat. While it looks like another week where Robinson will fail to “Boom” relative to fantasy expectations, he should once again turn in starter-caliber production.



Start: Rhamondre Stevenson Fantasy Outlook vs Bills

ECR Rank: 24

It has been a rough year for the New England Patriots, especially on offense. By and large, Rhamondre Stevenson has been the steady and most consistent presence for the Pats on that side of the ball. Stevenson overcame the absence of a stable passing attack to provide a “Boom” or “Start” caliber of fantasy production in eight of a possible 12 games during the regular season. The other nice fallback when it comes to Stevenson is even on down weeks, he hasn’t necessarily killed your lineup. Last week served as an example. 9.5 PPR points was nothing crazy, but it also wasn’t necessarily a matchup-losing effort either.

When it comes to Stevenson’s fantasy football start ’em, sit ’em outlook in Week 16, he nestles in right on the threshold of RB2 territory. The Patriots will be playing the Buffalo Bills for the first time this season (yes, it is already Week 16) and Stevenson could have some real upside in this matchup. The Bills are somewhat quietly allowing the second-most PPR points to opposing RBs of any team in the league while giving up nearly 118 yards per game on the ground. Buffalo is undersized defensively, so a steady ground game is actually the best way to attack them. Provided that the Patriots don’t fall way behind early, Stevenson could be in line for a major workhorse role on Sunday.

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Sit: Tyrone Tracy Jr. Fantasy Outlook vs Falcons

ECR Rank: 27

For the second week in a row, Tyrone Tracy Jr. winds up on the negative side of the fantasy football start ’em, sit ’em spectrum. Last week, our analysis was largely due to the fact that he and the New York Giants were going up against an elite Baltimore run defense. This week, the matchup is only a small part of the story, as the Atlanta Falcons are only situated in the middle of the pack defensively against RBs. The decision to fade Tracy really comes down to an inability to trust anyone wearing a New York Giants jersey at this point in the season.

The Giants’ horrendous O-line saps the fantasy value out of all of their players. Tracy was able to overcome that for a time, but his yards per carry have been steadily on the decline in recent weeks. What’s more, the former Purdue Boilermaker has actually tallied no more than 10 rushing attempts in three of the last four games. Whether it’s been his inefficiency, game script or something else, the decline in carries is notable. Devin Singletary is also still lingering around and has even managed to vulture a couple of TDs. It’s a bad situation all around for the Giants, and it makes Tracy difficult to trust in the win-or-go-home environment that is the Fantasy Football Playoffs.

Sit: Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren Fantasy Outlook vs Ravens

ECR Rank: 31 and 29, respectively

Speaking of that rock-solid Baltimore Ravens run defense, they are once again putting the damper on a pair of respected fantasy RBs this week. Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren are both solid players and complement each other nicely out of the Pittsburgh Steelers’ backfield. Unfortunately, the fact that they split snaps and touches really works against them in a matchup against the Ravens where fantasy production isn’t easy for even workhorse running backs to muster.

In the first meeting between these AFC North Division rivals, Harris did manage to score 13.3 PPR points. However, he uncharacteristically had four receptions in that game, a stat that seems highly unlikely to be replicated in the rematch. Warren also had four catches and snuck into a double-digit PPR point total. Given that he tends to be the primary pass-catching back, it makes sense as to why he is actually ranked just ahead of Harris in the expert consensus this week.

No one has been able to run the ball between the tackles with a great deal of success against Baltimore’s league-leading run defense this season. Expecting the Steelers to do so is foolish with all that is riding on the line in the fantasy playoffs. Avoid starting Harris and Warren unless absolutely necessary this week.


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Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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