The Dayton Flyers and Nevada Wolfpack face off in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament. This Dayton Flyers team is not nearly as good as the Obi Toppin team from the COVID-19 year, but that does not mean that they are bad by any means. With them coming up short in the A10, they are looking for a big rebound. To do so, they will need to work through a strong Nevada Wolfpack team, who is looking for their first NCAA Tournament win since 2018.
Below, we will preview this NCAA Tournament college basketball game, giving a Dayton vs Nevada prediction and other March Madness expert picks. Which school will win and keep their hopes of winning the championship trophy alive?
Dayton vs Nevada Prediction and March Madness Expert Picks
2024 NCAA Tournament
No. 7 Dayton Flyers (24-7) vs. No. 10 Nevada Wolfpack (26-7)
Date: Thursday, March 21, 2024
Time: 4:30 PM EST
Venue: Delta Center — Salt Lake City, UT
Coverage: TBS
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Dayton vs Nevada March Madness Odds
All college basketball betting odds for Dayton vs Nevada can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.
Moneyline: DAY: (-105) | NEV: (-115)
Point Spread: DAY: +1 (-110) | NEV: -1 (-110)
Total: 136.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
KenPom Rankings | Bracketology
KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com
| Team | Rk | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT |
| Dayton | 32 | 118.6 (18) | 101.3 (87) | 64.2 (337) |
| Nevada | 36 | 115.5 (40) | 98.7 (36) | 66.6 (233) |
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Dayton vs Nevada College Basketball Trends
- Dayton is 10-2 in non-conference college basketball games this season.
- Nevada is 13-1 in non-conference college basketball games this season.
- The OVER is 18-12-1 in Kansas basketball games this season.
- The OVER is 15-17 in Samford basketball games this season.
- Dayton is 0-0 in NCAA Tournament games since 2019.
- Nevada is 0-1 in NCAA Tournament games since 2019.
Dayton vs Nevada Prediction | March Madness Expert Picks
As stated before, the Dayton Flyers are not a bad team by any means. A loss to Loyola at the end of the regular season and a loss to Duquesne in the A10 Tournament seemingly hurt Dayton’s ranking. The strength of this Flyers team is their three-point shooting. As a team, Dayton shoots 40.2% from the three-point line (third in the country). That comes on the back of three players who shoot over 38% from behind the arc. The top scorer on this team is DaRon Holmes II. Holmes scores 20.4 points on 54.5% shooting from the field and 38.5% from three. Add to that 8.4 RPG, and he is one of the best players in the country.
As for Nevada, they have won 10 out of their last 12 games. A loss to Colorado State in the Mountain West Tournament probably hurt their seeding here, but the Wolfpack are a dangerous 10-seed. In that 12-game stretch, they gave up 70 points just three times. With Steve Alford coaching them, the Wolfpack only allow opponents to score 67.1 PPG (49th in the country) and shoot 41.7% from the field (57th in the country).
With a flurry of great players on both teams, I think that this has sneaky potential for being the best game of the first round. It makes sense that Nevada is favored in this game, as they are the team that has been playing better basketball recently. With that being said, Dayton is no pushover. Nevada is going to have their hands full with Holmes. If they are able to somewhat limit Holmes, I think that Nevada will win this game, especially with inconsistent scoring from the rest of the team. This is another game where if you get more points for predicting an upset, you have to take Nevada. For our Dayton vs Nevada prediction, we are picking the Nevada Wolfpack to win and move on in the NCAA Tournament.
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