Dawson Knox is Being Overvalued in Fantasy Football 2022

With your fantasy football draft right around the corner, smart fantasy managers are already doing their research. Among the most complicated position group in fantasy football are tight ends. Due to a lack of depth at the position, many fantasy owners are drafting the proven talent at the position too early. As of now, the Dawson Knox fantasy football average draft position (ADP) shows he is going too early in drafts.

The Dawson Knox fantasy football ADP is taken from Fantasy Football Calculator for 12-team PPR leagues. Let’s take a look at why he is a bit overvalued right now.

Other Overvalued TEs: Darren Waller & Pat Freiermuth

Dawson Knox Fantasy Football Outlook

Knox’s Fantasy ADP: 7.09

Dawson Knox led all tight ends in receiving touchdowns last year. However, many people are looking at him as a sleeper this year. I am on the opposite side of that train.

Close to one-third of the Dawson Knox fantasy football points came solely from touchdowns. He only caught 49 passes. The good news for Knox is that he plays for a Super Bowl contender. The bad news is that he is not a focal point on the Bills. A big argument for tight ends is that they are the safety blanket over the middle. The Bills don’t need that because Josh Allen runs. While the red zone seems to be the place for Knox to succeed, Allen (often doing his best Cam Newton impression) is a vulture.

Outside of the scheme, the Bills added O.J. Howard in the offseason. Howard seems to fit more as a receiver in the NFL, as opposed to a blocker. The Bills also added Jamison Crowder in the offseason to replace Cole Beasley. Another addition to the offense comes in the form of drafting Khalil Shakir. While none of these players scream superstar, it is obvious that the Bills are revamping their offense to make that Super Bowl push.

Players currently being drafted behind Knox are Russell Wilson, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Tom Brady and Rashod Bateman. Both receivers are number one options on their teams and Wilson and Brady have the weapons needed to succeed once again. There are better options at the end of the seventh round in a fantasy football draft than Knox. Fantasy managers should heed their expectations on Knox, as more mouths need to be fed in this offense, compared to last year.

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