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Brandon Woodruff MLB betting trends Braves vs Brewers prediction starting pitchers

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Braves vs Brewers Prediction, Trends, Starting Pitchers and Betting Odds for MLB Playoffs NLDS Game 2

Henry John by Henry John
March 29, 2023
in Betting, MLB
0
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The MLB Postseason continues on Saturday with National League Division Series action. The early game features Game 2 between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers. Friday’s series-opener yielded a pitching duel quite like the one that many MLB betting trends suggested we would see. The Brewers emerged as the victors and will look to hold serve on their home field in Game 2 before the series shifts to the ATL. The oddsmakers have dubbed the home team as a short favorite ahead of Saturday’s Braves vs Brewers Game 2 showdown.

This MLB betting preview for Braves vs Brewers NLDS Game 2 includes game info, projected starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for this series-opening matchup.

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Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview and Prediction | MLB Playoffs Game 2

NLDS Game 2 (MIL leads series 1-0)
Atlanta Braves (88-73, 46-35 Away) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (95-67, 45-36 Home)
Date: Saturday, Oct. 9, 2021
Time: 5 p.m. EST
Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, WI
Coverage: TBS

Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers

Braves: Max Fried (14-7, 3.04 ERA)
Brewers: Brandon Woodruff (9-10, 2.56 ERA)

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Braves’ loss in Game 1 of this NLDS series was no fault of starting pitcher Charlie Morton. The veteran picked up right where he left off in last year’s postseason with the Tampa Bay Rays, striking out nine and allowing just two runs over six innings. Unfortunately, the star-studded Braves lineup failed to score two runs over the course of the full game. Morton took a hard-luck loss as a result. Joc Pederson accounted for all of Atlanta’s offense with a pinch-hit home run in the 8th inning. That knock was one of just four hits that the Braves managed in Game 1. The majority of tickets are on the Braves ahead of Saturday’s Game 2 despite the fact that they are once again MLB betting underdogs.

Drawing the Game 2 start for Brian Snitker’s club is Max Fried. He was one of the most consistent components of Atlanta’s pitching staff during the regular season. Fried compiled a 14-7 record to go with a 3.04 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 158 strikeouts. The final two months saw Fried be particularly sharp. He pitched at least six innings in all 11 of his starts in August and September. Fried allowed no more than four runs in any of those outings and the Braves emerged victorious in ten of them. The southpaw even threw two complete-game shutouts, including one on the road against the San Diego Padres just two weeks ago.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

While the Brewers had all they could do to scratch out two runs against Charlie Morton, their own starter was even better in Game 1. Corbin Burnes fanned six Atlanta batters and only allowed two hits over six shutout innings to earn the win. While Milwaukee only led 2-1 going into the ninth inning, closer Josh Hader is pretty much automatic in save situations. Pitching has been the strength of Craig Counsell’s club all season long. That certainly continued in Game 1. A two-run homer by Rowdy Tellez in the 7th inning provided all of the Brewers’ offense in the series-opening victory.

Drawing the start for the MLB betting favorites in Game 2 will be Brandon Woodruff. Statistically, he had a terrific season, finishing with a 2.56 ERA, 211 strikeouts and an extremely impressive 0.96 WHIP. The one outlier to that line is Woodruff’s final win-loss record of 9-10. He faltered a bit during the final three months of the regular season. The Brewers only won four of the 14 games that Woodruff started from July-September. However, it’s really hard to pin the blame on him in the majority of those defeats. He received next to no run support in the vast majority of those outings. The Brewers scored two runs or less in eight of those games. Another one was decided in extra innings well after Woodruff had been removed from the game. All told, his win-loss record is a bit deceiving. The Braves did get to him in a late-July matchup though. Woodruff surrendered three runs on eight hits in 5.1 innings on that occasion.

Brandon Woodruff MLB betting trends Braves vs Brewers prediction starting pitchers
Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Braves vs Brewers MLB Betting Odds

MLB betting odds for Braves vs Brewers are taken from BetMGM Sportsbook.

Moneyline: ATL: (+105) | MIL: (-125)
Run Line:
ATL: +1.5 (-200) | MIL: -1.5 (+165)
Total:
7 — Over: (-125) | Under: (+105)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages
via Action Network: ATL: (66%) | MIL: (34%)

Braves vs Brewers MLB Betting Trends

  • Braves are 7-2 SU in their last nine road games.
  • The total has gone under in six of the Braves’ last eight games.
  • Five of the Brewers’ last eight games have gone over the total.
  • Brewers are just 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
  • 15 of the Brewers’ last 21 games played in October have gone under the total.

Signup for BetMGM Sportsbook today for a risk-free bet up to $1,000!


Braves vs Brewers Stats

  • Atlanta is averaging 4.88 runs per game (RPG) this season (T-No. 7 in the MLB).
  • Atlanta is surrendering 4.06 RPG this season (No. 7 in the MLB).
  • Milwaukee is averaging 4.54 RPG this season (No. 12 in the MLB).
  • Milwaukee is surrendering 3.83 RPG this season (No. 3 in the MLB).

Braves vs Brewers Weather Report

Note: This game will be played indoors.

Braves vs Brewers Prediction

The Braves vs Brewers MLB betting prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Milwaukee a 54.8% chance to win Game 2 of this NLDS matchup.


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Tags: Atlanta BravesBrandon WoodruffCharlie MortonCorbin BurnesJoc PedersonMax FriedMilwaukee BrewersMLBMLB BettingMLB PlayoffsRowdy TellezSports Betting
Henry John

Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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