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Josh Hader milwaukee brewers playoff roster MLB betting odds trends Braves vs Brewers starting pitchers prediction

Credit: Adam Hunger/Getty Images

Braves vs Brewers Prediction, Trends, Starting Pitchers and Betting Odds for MLB Playoffs NLDS Game 1

Henry John by Henry John
October 8, 2021
in Betting, MLB
0
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The 2021 National League Division Series action kicks off on Friday with Game 1 between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers. Each team was the champion of their respective division and will now look to earn a shot at one of the two best teams in baseball. From talented lineups to dominant pitching, this series has a little bit of everything. It very well could take a full five games to decide who advances to the NLCS. The MLB betting odds are in favor of the home team for today’s Braves vs Brewers Game 1 showdown.

This MLB betting preview for Braves vs Brewers NLDS Game 1 includes game info, projected starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for this series-opening matchup.

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Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview and Prediction | MLB Playoffs Game 1

NLDS Game 1
Atlanta Braves (88-73, 46-35 Away) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (95-67, 45-36 Home)
Date: Friday, Oct. 8, 2021
Time: 4:30 p.m. EST
Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, WI
Coverage: TBS

Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers

Braves: Charlie Morton (14-6, 3.34 ERA)
Brewers: Corbin Burnes (11-5, 2.43 ERA)

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Braves certainly faced their fair share of adversity on the road to winning the NL East Division. The team started off very slow, with several pitching injuries hindering their success. Then, just as the rotation and bullpen were rounding into form midseason, Atlanta lost superstar Ronald Acuna Jr. for the year to a torn ACL. Nonetheless, Brian Snitker’s squad soldiered on. Reigning NL MVP Freddie Freeman shook off a rough start to turn in MVP-caliber numbers again this season. Austin Riley also enjoyed a breakout year. Despite the Acuna injury, the Braves were still active at the trade deadline, acquiring sluggers Adam Duvall and Jorge Soler to bolster the lineup.

#Braves 3B Austin Riley's season:

.303/.367/.531
.898 OPS
132 OPS+
33 doubles
33 homers
107 RBI
91 runs
313 TB
52 BB/168 K
.379 wOBA
135 wRC+
4.1 fWAR
6.1 bWAR

He went from a player needing to establish himself in February to a player receiving MVP consideration by October. pic.twitter.com/CtoSeyzjqP

— Grant McAuley (@grantmcauley) October 4, 2021

One of the mainstays in a Braves rotation that had several moving parts this season was veteran Charlie Morton. Atlanta actually dropped six of the first eight games he started after signing as a free agent in the offseason. The veteran right-hander settled in nicely after that and went on to win 14 games on the year. Morton certainly got plenty of postseason experience last season as a member of the AL Pennant-winning Tampa Bay Rays. He’ll look to shut down a Brewers team that he has faced just once this season in Friday’s MLB betting matchup. Morton allowed just three hits and two runs to Milwaukee over six innings back in that August start. He was a hard-luck loser in a game that had a  2-1 final score.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Brewers wound up running away with the NL Central Division title this season thanks to arguably the best pitching staff in all of baseball. Considering the stable of arms they have at their disposal, it’s no surprise to see Milwaukee tabbed as the MLB betting favorites ahead of this NLDS series. Ace Corbin Burnes will start things off for the Brewers on the mound in Friday’s Game 1. His numbers on the season include 234 total strikeouts, a 2.43 ERA and a 0.940 WHIP. Burnes remained involved in a tight NL Cy Young Award all season long. That being said, the righthander did get roughed up by the Braves back in his lone appearance against them this season. Burnes surrendered nine hits and five runs while lasting just four innings.

Devin Williams punched a wall following the Brewers’ NL Central celebration on Sunday and fractured his pitching hand.

He will need surgery and will likely miss the entire playoffs pic.twitter.com/yz2dhzHuH5

— B/R Walk-Off (@BRWalkoff) September 29, 2021

Of course, the Brewers also have an electric bullpen lined up behind their top-notch rotation. Milwaukee’s pen did suffer a blow right before the postseason as setup man Devin Williams was lost for the rest of the year to a broken hand. If the Brewers have a lead going into the later innings, manager Craig Counsell has closer Josh Hader at his disposal. Hader is almost automatic when it comes to shutting the door on opponents. Former MVP Christian Yelich headlines a Brewers lineup that also includes Kolten Wong, Willy Adames and Lorenzo Cain.

Josh Hader milwaukee brewers playoff roster MLB betting odds trends Braves vs Brewers starting pitchers prediction
Credit: Adam Hunger/Getty Images

Braves vs Brewers MLB Betting Odds

MLB betting odds for Braves vs Brewers are taken from BetMGM Sportsbook.

Moneyline: ATL: (+135) | MIL: (-160)
Run Line:
ATL: +1.5 (-160) | MIL: -1.5 (+135)
Total:
7 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages
via Action Network: ATL: (51%) | MIL: (49%)

Braves vs Brewers MLB Betting Trends

  • Braves are 7-1 SU in their last eight road games.
  • The total has gone under in five of the Braves’ last seven games.
  • Five of the Brewers’ last seven games have gone over the total.
  • Brewers are just 1-5 SU in their last six games.
  • 14 of the Brewers’ last 20 games played in October have gone under the total.

Signup for BetMGM Sportsbook today for a risk-free bet up to $1,000!


Braves vs Brewers Stats

  • Atlanta is averaging 4.91 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 7 in the MLB).
  • Atlanta is surrendering 4.07 RPG this season (No. 7 in the MLB).
  • Milwaukee is averaging 4.56 RPG this season (No. 12 in the MLB).
  • Milwaukee is surrendering 3.85 RPG this season (No. 3 in the MLB).

Braves vs Brewers Weather Report

Note: This game will be played indoors.

Braves vs Brewers Prediction

The Braves vs Brewers MLB betting prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Milwaukee a 54.8% chance to win Game 1 of this NLDS matchup.


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Tags: Adam DuvallAtlanta BravesAustin RileyCharlie MortonChristian YelichCorbin BurnesDevin WilliamsFreddie FreemanJosh HaderKolten WongLorenzo CainMilwaukee BrewersMLBMLB BettingMLB PlayoffsRonald Acuna Jr.Sports BettingWilly Adames
Henry John

Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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