The Eastern Conference Finals continue on Monday evening with a Game 4 matchup between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. Despite being without Jimmy Butler in the second half of Game 3, the Heat managed to hang on and reclaim home court advantage in this series. With the Celtics now facing a 2-1 series deficit, NBA betting odds have favored them quite heavily to win a crucial Game 4 on their home floor. Bettors who may not wish to tangle with the sizeable point spread for tonight’s game can find some terrific alternative NBA picks via the props market. The NBA The following article offers three of the best NBA player prop bets for the May 23rd Heat vs Celtics Game 4 matchup.
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Best NBA Betting Player Props for Heat vs Celtics Tonight, 5/23
All NBA betting player props odds are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook
Victor Oladipo O/U 10.5 Points
The identity of the Miami Heat is on the defensive end of the floor. Although he missed the vast majority of the regular season, it seems safe to say that Victor Oladipo has bought into that identity. His play defensively on Saturday night was a pleasure to watch. Four steals helped the Heat hang on for a massive road win to retake the lead in the Eastern Conference Finals. Oladipo now has seven thefts on the series in total. Unfortunately, his impact as a scorer on the other end of the floor has been much less consistent.
While Oladipo did provide 14 points in Game 2, he only managed to score five points apiece in Games 1 and 3. In the conference finals to date, he has shot just 5-21 from the field. Combine Oladipo’s shooting woes with the fact that he typically has failed to play more than 20-25 minutes per game in these playoffs and there is a real case to be made for betting under his NBA picks total today.
Oladipo did average 12.4 points per game while playing less than 22 minutes on the season. However, regular-season basketball is a whole lot different from the Eastern Conference Finals in terms of defensive intensity. The fact that the Celtics thrive on defense themselves and rank second in defensive efficiency only furthers the argument against Oladipo surpassing the NBA player props line of 10.5 points.
NBA Player Props Prediction: Victor Oladipo UNDER 10.5 Points (-109)
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Jayson Tatum O/U 6.5 Rebounds
The Celtics had a major scare late in Saturday’s game when Jayson Tatum had to go to the locker room with an apparent shoulder injury. It ultimately proved to be no more than a stinger. Boston’s best player was able to return to the game down the stretch and is considered probable to play in tonight’s critical Game 4. Tatum had by far his worst game of this series to date on Saturday. He only scored ten points and also finished with a half-dozen rebounds. Relative to his season average of 8.0 boards per game, that total was quite underwhelming.
What the poor showing has done is cause an adjustment in the NBA player props market regarding Tatum’s rebound total ahead of Game 4. Despite the fact that the posted line of 6.5 boards is 1.5 rebounds below his season average, bettors can currently find plus-money odds on the over across much of the NBA betting picks market. While Tatum has only exceeded this prop total three times in the last seven games, he has provided at least six rebounds in six of those contests. That level of consistency adds further appeal to go along with the profitable odds.
Considering how the Celtics were dominated by Bam Adebayo inside on Saturday, one has to imagine they will hit the glass with more intensity this evening. As the best player on the team, Tatum will undoubtedly play a part in this. With the status of Robert Williams still in jeopardy, players like Tatum could have even more onus to make an impact on the boards.
NBA Player Props Prediction: Jayson Tatum OVER 6.5 Rebounds (+117)
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Marcus Smart O/U 4.5 Rebounds
Among the numerous players who had to exit Game 3 due to injuries was Celtics point guard, Marcus Smart. The newly-crowned NBA Hustle Award winner rolled his ankle badly but did manage to rejoin the contest and even hit a three-pointer after the fact. Smart already missed Game 1 of these Eastern Conference Finals with an unrelated injury. There is a real possibility that he doesn’t play or is limited in Monday night’s critical Game 4.
Knowing that Smart will be playing on a bum ankle if he does suit up, it’s hard to pass up the chance to bet the under on 4.5 rebounds. From a statistical standpoint, the former Oklahoma State Cowboy turned plenty of heads in Game 2 of this series when he fell a single rebound shy of posting a triple-double. However, on the full season, such performances on the glass have been few and far between. Smart has only averaged 3.8 boards per game on the year. While he has finished with no fewer than four rebounds in each of his last five games played, Smart has actually only exceeded the NBA player props total three times in his last eight contests.
It’s also worth pointing out that the Heat match the Celtics as a top-10 team in terms of Rebound Rate. Betting on Smart to surpass his per-game rebounding average by over a full rebound would be tough on a normal night. Throw in his ankle injury and a difficult rebounding opponent and under on this NBA picks total is the way to go.
NBA Player Props Prediction: Marcus Smart UNDER 4.5 Rebounds (-159)
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