It’s hard to believe that we are already one full week into the NBA Playoffs! Expect plenty more twists, turns and thrilling on-court action across Friday night’s tripleheader slate. While NBA betting picks can certainly be made on the game lines themselves, there are multiple unknowns and key injuries impacting all three of tonight’s matchups. Thus, bettors would be wise to consider including player props in their betting portfolio tonight as well. The following article offers three of the best NBA player prop bets for the April 22nd postseason action.
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Best NBA Betting Player Props for Tonight, 4/22
Bam Adebayo OVER 8.5 Rebounds (-115)
The Miami Heat may be up two games to none in the series, but center Bam Adebayo has been a disappointment in the playoffs thus far. After averaging a double-double during the regular season, Adebayo failed to even score in double figures in each of the first two games of the series. In Game 2, Adebayo played all of 24 minutes. He totaled just nine points and four rebounds during his limited playing time.
To say that Adebayo has underachieved in the playoffs so far relative to his typical production would be an understatement. The 24-year-old averaged 10.1 rebounds per game over the course of the full season. In Games 1 and 2 combined, Adebayo only totaled 10 boards. The fact that the Atlanta Hawks are set to again be without starting center Clint Capela tonight due to injury really opens the door for backing Adebayo in the NBA player props market.
Thanks to oddsmakers lowering his rebounding total to 8.5, bettors have the opportunity to “buy low” on the Heat big man as well. In reality, Adebayo’s ability to perform better on the glass could be vital to Miami’s chances of winning Game 3. There is no excuse for losing the rebound battle to a team that is playing without its best rebounder. We’ll back Adebayo to bounce back among tonight’s NBA betting picks.
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Zach LaVine OVER 4.5 Rebounds (-103)
Chicago Bulls wing Zach LaVine provided a major impact on the boards in Game 1 of the team’s NBA Playoffs series. Despite having a rough game from a shooting standpoint, LaVine compiled 10 rebounds in the loss. Game 2 saw him be much more proficient shooting the basketball, but he only finished with a single rebound. Given the high degree of variance LaVine has displayed in this category so far, it makes sense that the NBA player props total is set right in line with his season average ahead of Game 3.
Over the duration of the full NBA betting season, LaVine has averaged 4.6 rebounds per game. This all but matches the posted prop total for tonight’s game of 4.5. Thus, it is a bit curious as to why the odds are juiced quite heavily to the under across the NBA picks market. Sure, the Milwaukee Bucks ranked top-five this season in Rebound Rate. However, the defending champs will be forging ahead without Khris Middleton. How this disrupts their rhythm and continuity remains to be seen.
Looking at a recent sample size for LaVine, Game 1 marked only the second time in his last eight games played that he managed to exceed tonight’s NBA player props rebounding total. However, in four of the games where he came up short, he finished with exactly four rebounds. Thus, the probability of him securing five rebounds and going over his prop total is most certainly greater than that implied by current betting odds.
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Mikal Bridges UNDER 16.5 Points (-105)
With Devin Booker having already been ruled out for Game 3 (and probably beyond), the onus will be on other Phoenix Suns players to step up alongside Chris Paul offensively tonight. In the Suns’ Game 2 loss on Tuesday, Mikal Bridges was the only other player aside from Booker and Paul to score more than 11 points. A pair of three-pointers highlighted a 19-point effort for Bridges.
Tuesday’s scoring outburst combined with the loss of Booker has led to his NBA player props scoring total inflating to 16.5 ahead of Friday’s contest. Although the New Orleans Pelicans are far from a defensive juggernaut, the current NBA betting line is certainly lofty by Bridges’ standards. On the full season, the Philadelphia native only averaged 14.2 points per game.
Bridges’ shot attempts are prone to a certain degree of fluctuation on a game-by-game basis as well. Tuesday’s playoff loss marked only the second time in his last five games played that Bridges had ten field goal attempts or more. Furthermore, one cannot expect another 7-11 shooting performance when making NBA betting picks. As a 53.4% shooter on the year (and only 36.9% from beyond the arc), Bridges’ Game 2 conversion rate is simply not sustainable over the long haul.