This SEC West showdown features a narrow three-point spread in favor of the road team. Here are the Auburn vs Ole Miss predictions and College Football picks for Week 8 in the NCAAF season.
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Odds courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook
Auburn vs Ole Miss Predictions
Picking against Auburn worked great last week, so why not do it again in about as similar a spot as it gets? Despite tumbling out of the AP Top-25 rankings, Auburn is once again laying points on the road as a short favorite at Ole Miss. The expert College Football picks for this game have already seen the line move drastically against the Tigers, down from the opening 6-point spread to the current line of -3.
The Tigers’ loss to South Carolina this past weekend marks the perfect example of a game in which the box score fails to tell the whole story. Despite Auburn dominating the game in terms of first downs and total yards, the Gamecocks were able to recover from a slow start and ultimately win by a full eight points. The primary reasons lie in a 50-yard advantage in terms of penalties and a +2-turnover margin. Auburn quarterback Bo Nix once again turned in a disappointing effort as his 272 passing yards were undermined by three interceptions. Perhaps unsurprisingly, Nix is starting to lose the confidence of some of his Auburn teammates.
New head coach Lane Kiffin has the Ole Miss offense flying high in his first year on the job. Quarterback Matt Corral has played brilliantly for the most part, minus a 6-interception game against Arkansas last week. I’ll consider that performance to be an anomaly given Corral had only thrown one interception all season prior to last Saturday. The running back tandem of Jerrion Ealy and Snoop Conner has been impressive as well. Unfortunately, the Rebels are forced to try and win by outscoring people as the defense is allowing an average of 47.0 points per game, ahead of only North Texas among teams that have begun their seasons at this juncture.
College Football Picks: Ole Miss +3
Ole Miss comes into this game at 1-3 and lost as slim road favorites in their own right against Arkansas. It’s worth noting that if not for an officiating blunder, Arkansas should’ve beaten Auburn as well. I have much more confidence in the Rebels offense than I do either unit of the Tigers. Points will be scored by both teams, but I will continue betting against Auburn until they give me a better reason not to. With the 3-point line shaded to Auburn, expect 3.5 to once again be in play at Bovada Sportsbook as the week rolls on.