After falling behind in the 2022 World Series, the Houston Astros took down the Philadelphia Phillies to even the series at one game apiece. As the Astros vs Phillies series shifts back to Philadelphia, will the magic at Citizens Bank Park continue or will the Astros put the pressure back on the Phillies and take a 2-1 lead?
This MLB betting preview for the World Series Astros vs Phillies Game 3 includes game info, starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for tonight’s postseason matchup.
Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction | World Series Game 3
World Series Game 3 (Series tied 1-1)
Houston Astros (106-56, 51-30 Away) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (87-75, 47-34 Home)
Date: Monday, Oct. 31, 2022
Time: 8:03 p.m. EST
Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, PA
Coverage: FOX
Astros vs Phillies Starting Pitchers
Astros: Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA)
Phillies: Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA)
Houston Astros Preview
After blowing a five-run lead in Game 1, some wondered how the Astros would respond in Game 2. Once again Houston scored early and again built a five-run lead. This time the Astros would not be denied as they held the Phillies to just two runs. Framber Valdez was brilliant, giving up just four hits over 6 1/3 innings of work. The bullpen only gave up two hits throughout the rest of the game and always felt in control.
The hitting was better for Houston although they once again stalled out a bit after they caused some early damage. Houston has to be thrilled that Jose Altuve has his hitting back as he had three hits in Game 2. Although Yordan Alvarez struggled again overall, he was at least able to get on base a few times. This offense isn’t as good as its been in years past but that may not be a problem if the pitching staff can keep the Phillies in check again.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Phillies offense was thwarted by some great Houston pitching in Game 2. Although some have pointed to possible foreign substance usage by Valdez as a reason the Phillies struggled, the bullpen did a great job of shutting them down too. When an offense can only muster up six hits, they’re almost certain to be in trouble, especially against a team like the Astros.
Zack Wheeler was roughed up early but settled down as the game progressed. While it was too little too late, it’s a good sign for him if he sees the mound again this series. The bullpen did their job as they didn’t allow any additional damage in the final three innings. The pitching staff has struggled with giving up big innings in both games. Outside of those big mistakes, they’ve been solid. If they can simply limit the amount of problem innings they give up, they should be able to be more competitive in Game 3.
Astros vs Phillies Odds | MLB Playoffs Predictions
MLB betting odds for Astros vs Phillies are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook.
Moneyline: HOU: (-132) | PHI: (+122)
Run Line: HOU: -1.5 (+129) | PHI: +1.5 (-149)
Total: 8 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
Public (Spread) Betting via Action Network: HOU: (71%) | PHI: (29%)
Astros vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends
- The over is 7-2 in Philadelphia’s last nine games.
- Philadelphia is 7-2 straight up in their last nine games.
- Philadelphia is 3-5 straight up in their last eight games against Houston.
- The under is 5-3 in Houston’s last eight games.
- Houston is 10-1 straight up in their last 11 games.
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Astros vs Phillies Stats
- Philadelphia is averaging 4.61 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 7 in the MLB).
- Philadelphia is surrendering 4.23 RPG this season (No. 15 in the MLB).
- Houston is averaging 4.55 RPG this season (No. 8 in the MLB).
- Houston is surrendering 3.20 RPG this season (No. 2 in the MLB).
Astros vs Phillies MLB Weather Report
Status: Showers
Temperature: 61℉
Humidity: 84%
Precipitation: 54%
Wind: 4 MPH (blowing out to left)
Astros vs Phillies Prediction | World Series Game 3
The Astros vs Phillies prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Houston a 54.8% chance to win Game 3 of this World Series MLB Playoffs matchup.