This week’s Thursday Night Football game pits a pair of one-win clubs against one another, as the New York Giants take on the Philadelphia Eagles in the “City of Brotherly Love.” Despite their poor records, this NFC East battle carries major postseason implications for both teams. All four teams in the division sit below .500 and all are separated by a single game in the standings. The NFL odds and expert NFL picks are in favor of the home team for this contest.
While it may not be the prettiest football on Thursday night, it should be a fun one to watch. This betting preview contains the NFL odds, key betting trends, prop bets and best NFL picks for Giants vs Eagles on Thursday Night Football.
NFL Odds, NFL Picks and NFL Props | Giants vs Eagles
Giants vs Eagles Game Info
New York Giants (4-1, 0-3 Away) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (1-4-1, 0-2-1 Home)
Date: Thursday, Oct. 22, 2020
Time: 8:20 p.m. EST
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field — Philadelphia, PA
Coverage: FOX, NFL Network
Attendance: Up to 7,500 fans will be allowed to attend
Giants vs Eagles NFL Odds
All odds courtesy of MyBookie Sportsbook
Opening Lines: Eagles -5.5; O/U 45
Moneyline: NYG: (-+180) | PHI: (-220)
Spread: NYG: +4.5 (-110) | PHI -4.5 (-110)
Total: 43.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Giants vs Eagles Overview
As incompetent as both teams have looked at various times this season, everything remains out in front of both the Giants and Eagles in terms of their postseason destinies heading into Thursday’s contest. The Giants come in fresh off their first win of the season last week and will look to bring their divisional record to 2-1 with a win over Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Eagles are the only winless team in division play, yet are still favored by the NFL odds in this game. ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) predicted a 28% chance that the eventual NFC East champion has 6 or fewer wins. It even offered a .06% chance that the 2020 NFC East champ could finish with only 4 wins. How crazy is that?
New York’s first win of the season over the Washington Football Team last week wasn’t perfect, but it got the job done. Daniel Jones was far from spectacular with just 112 yards passing and yet another interception, but he did pile up 74 yards rushing to lead the team. His 49-yard sprint in the second quarter to set up a score was in fact the longest Giants rushing play of the season. The Giants defense played opportunistic football, forcing a pair of turnovers including a scoop and score by Tae Crowder. Despite having significant deficits in total yards, first downs, and time of possession, New York’s underrated defensive front managed to get the job done in key situations.
After earning their first win over the 49ers, the Eagles have been up against it, with matchups against two of the best teams in the NFL in the Steelers and Ravens the last two weeks. To Philadelphia’s credit, they were able to mount a rally in both contests to at least make things interesting. Carson Wentz avoided turning the ball over against Baltimore. Now, he will look to improve his completion percentage going forward. With so many unfamiliar names at the wide receiver position, that may be a task easier said than done. His rapport with Travis Fulgham has been a pleasant surprise though. The Eagles rank 12th in adjusted defensive efficiency against the run (Football Outsiders). This leads one to believe the Giants could be very one-dimensional, offensively, and struggle to cover the NFL odds as an underdog on Thursday night.
Giants vs Eagles Betting Trends
- Giants 2020 Betting Trends: 3-3 ATS; 2-4 to the Over
- Eagles 2020 Betting Trends: 2-4 ATS; 4-2 to the Over
- The Eagles are 7-0 straight up in their last seven head-to-head meetings against the Giants.
- The Eagles are 11-1 straight up and 7-5 ATS in their last 12 head-to-head meetings against the Giants.
- The total has gone over in seven of the last nine head-to-head meetings between the Giants and Eagles.
Giants vs Eagles Stats
- New York has averaged 16.8 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 31 in the NFL)
- New York has surrendered 25.3 PPG this season (No. 16 in the NFL)
- Philadelphia has averaged 23.5 PPG this season (No. 22 in the NFL)
- Philadelphia has surrendered 29.2 PPG this season (No. 23 in the NFL)
Monkey Knife Fight NFL Props
Monkey Knife Fight is a DFS site unlike DraftKings or FanDuel. Instead, the contests feature props to play, with varying multipliers for each contest. Unlike the aforementioned sites, you are only competing with yourself on MKF, and you do not need to worry about annoying salary caps.
Monkey Knife Fight has several great NFL props for the entire Week 7 slate. Here is one of my favorites for the Chiefs vs Bills game.
One of the great things about Monkey Knife Fight NFL props is the ability to isolate sharp opinions within a specific game. That surrounds the running backs for me in this game. The Giants have proven inept at running the football this season. Daniel Jones is both the team’s leading rusher outright and the owner of the longest New York run of the season, a 49-yarder in last week’s win. The Eagles are a strong team defensively against the run, and I expect Devonta Freeman to struggle mightily on Thursday. On the flip side, I think Boston Scott’s ability to produce both as the lead back and as a receiver will lift him over the mark of 12.5 Fantasy points. I’ll even bet on the NFL odds that he scores a touchdown.
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Giants vs Eagles NFL Picks and NFL Odds
After the Eagles opened as 5.5-point favorites, we saw this line get bet down quickly earlier in the week when news broke that Philadelphia would be without both running back Miles Sanders and tight end Zach Ertz for this contest. Those are perhaps the biggest names on an eternally lengthy Eagles injury report.
Given the NFL odds line movement in favor of the Giants, I have come to look at this as a buy-low opportunity on Philadelphia. Yes, a pair of Eagles offensive stars will be unavailable, but the losses may not be quite as significant as originally projected. Boston Scott is plenty capable of handling the backfield duties. The Eagles could also get Dallas Goedert back at tight end, just in time to fill the void left by Ertz.
On the other side of the ball, it’s hard to envision the Giants offensive line standing much of a chance against Fletcher Cox and the rest of the Eagles defensive front. Forcing the Giants to be one-dimensional means forcing the ball into Daniel Jones’ hands. As we all know by now, that typically leads to turnovers. In a game that the Eagles absolutely have to win, in terms of the NFC East outlook, Philly should be able to win by at least a touchdown.
Pick: Eagles -4.5 (-110 at MyBookie Sportsbook)
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