FlurrySports gives picks and NASCAR betting odds for the Cracker Barrel 400 at Nashville Superspeedway.
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NASCAR’s Memorial Day weekend of remembrance may be in the rearview, but the 2026 season will continue to honor the life and legacy of Kyle Busch from here on out. The sport simply will never be the same without his presence. It’s a sad reality that many are still trying to come to terms with.
As for the on-track racing, the next stop on the schedule is Nashville Superspeedway, a relatively new track as far as the Cup Series in concerned. The top circuit in NASCAR competed here for the first time just five years ago. While that does produce a decent sampling of statistics to base our handicapping efforts off of, it’s clearly reduced compared to most other tracks.
The other tricky element to this week’s NASCAR betting outlook is that Nashville presents drivers with a unique test. It is one of only three concrete surfaces on the schedule, and differs significantly from Bristol and Dover when it comes to lap length and banking. Modest emphasis can be placed on results from those two venues, but the main focal points should be Nashville-specific data and overarching 2026 form.
Below, we break down the NASCAR betting odds to win the Cracker Barrel 400 — including our picks from favorites to long shots worth a closer look.
Cracker Barrel 400 NASCAR Race at Nashville Superspeedway
Cracker Barrel 400
Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
Start Time: 7 p.m. EST
Coverage: Amazon Prime Video
Distance: 400 miles (300 laps)
Stages: Three (90 laps, 95 laps, 115 laps)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Ryan Blaney
Cracker Barrel 400 NASCAR Betting Odds to Win
Since Nashville Superspeedway became a fixture on the Cup Series schedule in 2021, a different driver has gone to victory lane in each of the five races contested. Hendrick Motorsports notched the first two wins with Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott, respectively. Ross Chastain won here in 2023, and the last two years have seen Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney of Team Penske hoist the trophy.
As for this year’s race, none of the past Nashville winners are the top choice on the odds board. Including the All-Star Race, this marks the third consecutive week that Denny Hamlin has opened as the NASCAR betting favorite.
Behind Hamlin, Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell and defending race winner Blaney all check in at 6-1 odds. Larson rounds out the group of five drivers with outright price points less than 10-1.
Among the other former Nashville winners, Chastain is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers this week. Given the trajectory of the 2026 season for Trackhouse Racing overall, it’s tough to rationalize a bet on the No. 1 car at +1200. Meanwhile, 2024 winner Logano is situated as a relative long shot at 28-1.
The table below lists the latest pre-qualifying odds for the full field.
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Cracker Barrel 400 betting odds are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
| Driver | Odds to Win | Cracker Barrel 400 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +400 | Ryan Preece | +6600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +600 | Zane Smith | +6600 |
| Christopher Bell | +600 | Daniel Suarez | +7500 |
| Ryan Blaney | +600 | Josh Berry | +7500 |
| Kyle Larson | +800 | Connor Zilisch | +10000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1200 | Shane van Gisbergen | +10000 |
| Ross Chastain | +1200 | Austin Dillon | +12500 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1400 | Michael McDowell | +15000 |
| William Byron | +1400 | AJ Allmendinger | +15000 |
| Chase Elliott | +1400 | Austin Hill | +20000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2200 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +25000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +2500 | Chad Finchum | +25000 |
| Joey Logano | +2800 | Noah Gragson | +25000 |
| Chris Buescher | +3000 | John Hunter Nemechek | +40000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +3300 | Riley Herbst | +40000 |
| Austin Cindric | +5000 | Todd Gilliland | +40000 |
| Corey Heim | +6000 | Ty Dillon | +50000 |
| Alex Bowman | +6000 | Cole Custer | +50000 |
| Erik Jones | +6000 | Cody Ware | +50000 |
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions: Who Will Win the Cracker Barrel 400 at Nashville Superspeedway?
Favorite: Denny Hamlin (+400)
Denny Hamlin has done everything at Nashville Superspeedway except win. In the four Next Gen races at the track specifically, no driver has been more dominant from a statistical standpoint. His average driver rating of 124.15 over that span is nearly 20 points better than anyone else in the field. He leads all drivers in average laps led (86), average running position (4th), and average finish (6th). Two of those four starts resulted in third-place finishes.
The winless streak at Nashville is the one blemish on an otherwise compelling track record, and NASCAR betting oddsmakers are clearly not holding it against him — Hamlin opens as the favorite for the third consecutive week. His 2026 season has been quietly excellent despite carrying just one points-paying win. He’s probably left at least two other victories on the table this year.
The most encouraging sign heading into Sunday may be what happened two weeks ago at Dover. Hamlin dominated the NASCAR All-Star Race on the steeply banked concrete at Dover. Nashville’s banking is considerably more modest, but no two tracks on the schedule share more DNA in terms of racing surface and lap length. Nobody appears to navigate concrete better than the No. 11 right now. The Nashville breakthrough feels overdue.
Value Pick: Ty Gibbs (+1400)
Three previous Cup Series starts at Nashville have produced finishes of 14th, 23rd, and 31st for Ty Gibbs. On paper, that’s not a profile that screams value pick. However, the 2026 version of Gibbs is hardly comparable to the driver who posted those results.
In his third full season at NASCAR’s top level, Gibbs has seemingly figured it out. No driver has been more consistent than the No. 54 this year — six top-five finishes and nine top-10s in 13 races. Only Hamlin and Reddick are on par or better with those numbers. He may not bring the fastest car every weekend, but he is right in the mix at the front of the field with a regularity that his Nashville track record simply doesn’t reflect.
The concrete surface angle adds further credence to the case. Gibbs scored his first career Cup Series win at Bristol earlier this spring, and his average practice speed at Nashville ranks sixth among all drivers across the four Next Gen era races at the track.
At 14-1, NASCAR betting oddsmakers appear to be pricing somewhere between the Gibbs of old and the driver currently contending for wins on a weekly basis. Compared to the other drivers clustered in this range, backing a Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota based on everything 2026 has shown us is the preferred play.
Long Shot Hopeful: Joey Logano (+2800)
When the driver who is only two-years removed from winning this very race is available at 28-1, it’s worth a closer look regardless of current form. Joey Logano has endured a disastrous 2026 season by his and Team Penske’s standards, but last weekend offered a glimmer of hope. The No. 22 team stayed the course throughout the elongated Coca-Cola 600 and secured a much-needed top-10 finish — modest by Logano’s career standards, but meaningful given the context of the season.
Meanwhile, his Nashville-specific case is hard to ignore. Logano followed up his 2024 victory here with a fourth-place finish last year. He ranks fourth in average finish (8.25) and fifth in average running position (11.75) across the four Next Gen era races at the track, and has placed inside the top 10 in four of five Cup Series starts here overall. He also posted a seventh-place finish at Bristol earlier this season on a comparable concrete surface.
Nashville’s concrete layout and modest banking set it apart from the standard 1.5-mile asphalt intermediates where Penske has struggled most in 2026. The organization has won the last two Nashville races. There is very little from this season to suggest Logano should be anything other than a fade — but at 28-1 given his pedigree at this specific track, the NASCAR betting price is simply too good to ignore.
