2018 Stats (Rank)
Total Offense: 5,502 Yards (21st)
Offensive Touchdowns: 44 (13th)
Offensive Plays Per Game: 63.3 (15th)
Pass Attempts + Sacks: 545 (27th)
Rush Attempts: 468 (6th)
Run/Pass Split: Run – 45% | Pass – 55%
Unaccounted for Targets: 68
Unaccounted for Carries: 261
Projected Win Total
The Bears’ over/under currently sits at 9.5, after they went 12-4 last season. Chicago’s talent essentially looks the same as last season, but the rest of the NFC North will be much tougher than last season. The drop in projected win total is in response to this.
Strength of Schedule
SOS is measured by calculating the fantasy points allowed by each team’s opponents to determine who has the easiest and most difficult fantasy schedules (rank #1 has the easiest schedule).
The Bears passing attack, led by Mitchell Trubisky, isn’t very dangerous. However, Matt Nagy will get the most out of his players. Trubisky is going as QB18, with not much upside due to their commitment to the run. Allen Robinson finished as the Bears’ top receiver last season, at WR40. Taylor Gabriel was just behind, at WR41. They are currently going as WR31 and 84, respectively. Second-year receiver Anthony Miller showed flashes of potential last season, which has him at an ADP of WR55. Trey Burton finished as TE8 last season, but is going as TE13 late in drafts.
Despite having a bottom-five offensive line, the Bears committed to the run, rushing for the sixth-most times last season. There are 261 carries up for grabs, and rookie David Montgomery comes in and is expected to fill the lead back role. Currently going as RB24, Montgomery should get a large share of the early down work. Change-of-pace back Tarik Cohen will also do plenty of damage in space for Chicago. Cohen is going as RB26, after finishing as RB11 last season. He attempted just 99 rushes last season, and while his role won’t change much, the rushing attempts will likely increase a little.
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