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Todd Gurley clyde edwards-helaire injury duke johnson

Credit: John Bazemore/AP Photo

Todd Gurley Fantasy Outlook Concerning Despite No Injury Designation

Henry John by Henry John
December 12, 2020
in Fantasy Football, Fantasy, NFL
0
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The Atlanta Falcons offense has been struggling in recent weeks, thanks to a combination of both injuries and tough matchups. The team received positive news this week, when running back Todd Gurley was removed from the injury report. Despite carrying no designation into the weekend, Todd Gurley fantasy owners are wise to proceed with caution when setting their lineups.

Todd Gurley Fantasy
Credit: John Bazemore/AP Photo

Todd Gurley Fantasy Update

Many fantasy analysts warned Gurley fantasy owners of a drop-off in production following the Falcons’ Week 10 bye. Those sentiments have proven true over the last three weeks. Gurley garnered only eight carries and one reception in each of Atlanta’s two games against the stout New Orleans Saints’ defense. Such a limited volume is not a recipe for fantasy success.

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Like the lack of touches, Gurley’s 43 total yards in the two games was easily his lowest output of the season. In each of Atlanta’s first nine contests, Gurley’s lowest yardage total in any game stood at 46.

On top of the lack of volume, Gurley has been battling injuries since the Falcons’ bye week. He missed the Falcons’ Week 12 game against the Raiders entirely and was reportedly still battling a knee injury during practice this week. Despite not carrying an injury designation into Sunday, it’s certainly fair to speculate about whether Gurley will be 100%.

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Fantasy Outlook for the Falcons Backfield

Should Gurley fantasy owners trust the star running back with so much at stake in the fantasy playoffs? Aside from Gurley’s own injury and volume problems of late, concerns about his fantasy value are also impacted by the Falcons giving Ito Smith and Brian Hill increased opportunity last week.

Most PPR points by a RB during the fantasy playoffs (Weeks 14-16) all-time.

1. Todd Gurley (2017) – 123.1
2. LaDainian Tomlinson (2003) – 115.0
3. Jamaal Charles (2013) – 114.7
4. Marshall Faulk (2001) – 112.2
5. Marshall Faulk (2000) – 106.8

2017 Gurley is the playoff GOAT.

— Dalton Kates (@Dalton_Kates) December 11, 2020

Third-year pro Smith matched Gurley with eight carries in last week’s loss. Furthermore, Smith was on the field for a slightly higher percentage of Atlanta’s offensive snaps. Hill was also involved, earning five carries a week after he assumed 13 in the win over the Raiders. Smith and Hill split touches pretty evenly in Week 12, when Gurley was sidelined. However, Smith finished with 12 carries and four receptions while Hill had 13 carries.

The fact that the Falcons are utilizing both reserve backs makes the situation very murky for Gurley fantasy owners. Unfortunately, his usage could very well continue to be undercut going forward.

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Tags: Atlanta FalconsBrian HillFantasy FootballFantasy Football AdviceFantasy PlayoffsIto SmithNFLTodd Gurley
Henry John

Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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