The Purdue Boilermakers and Gonzaga Bulldogs will face off in the Sweet 16 of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament. Purdue continued its dominance in the second round of March Madness, dominating Utah State, 106-67. Gonzaga used a big second half to take care of business against a depleted Kansas team, pulling away to an 89-68 win. With the Bulldogs posing the first “true” threat to the Boilermakers, it could be difficult to make a Purdue vs Gonzaga prediction. 

Below, we will preview this Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament college basketball game, providing data, trends and analysis. Which school will win and keep their hopes of winning the championship trophy alive?

Purdue vs Gonzaga Prediction and Sweet 16 March Madness Picks

2024 NCAA Tournament – Sweet 16
No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (31-4) vs. No. 5 Gonzaga Bulldogs (27-7)
Date: Friday, March 29, 2024
Time: 7:39 PM EST
Venue: Little Caesars Arena — Detroit, MI
Coverage: TBS/TruTV

Watch the NCAA Tournament on Paramount+

Purdue vs Gonzaga March Madness Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Purdue vs Gonzaga can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: PUR: (-241) | GONZ: (+195)
Point Spread: PUR: -5.5 (-110) | GONZ: +5.5 (-110)
Total: 154.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com

TeamRkAdjOAdjDAdjT
Purdue3125.8 (3)95.3 (15)67.5 (174)
Gonzaga12122.3 (7)98.6 (42)69.2 (86)
  • Purdue is 14-1 in non-conference college basketball games.
  • Gonzaga is 13-5 in non-conference college basketball games. 
  • Purdue is 16-15-2 against the spread this year. 
  • Gonzaga is 15-16 against the spread this year. 
  • Purdue is seeking their second Elite Eight appearance since 2000.
  • Gonzaga is seeking their third Elite Eight appearance in the last four years.

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Purdue vs Gonzaga Prediction | March Madness Sweet 16 Picks

This is more than just a chance at a spot in the Elite Eight for Purdue. This game represents a chance for Purdue to finally expel their past NCAA Tournament demons. This team has won two games, but neither of those were against teams that were viewed as anything short of a rug for them to wipe their metaphorical shoes on. This is the first game where Purdue is favored by less than double digits and it will be interesting to see how this game is officiated. Simply put, if Zach Edey can get to the free throw line and put the Bulldogs in foul trouble, the Boilermakers shouldn’t have much trouble.

For Gonzaga, this game represents a chance for them to show the country they are still not to be messed with. After a “down” season this year, Gonzaga has won their first two tournament games by a combined 42 points. The story of the tournament for the Bulldogs has been their lethal shooting from deep as they have shot 47 and 53% from deep so far. If they can continue to move the ball around and knock down shots behind the perimeter, Purdue will be in for a dogfight.

For as good as Gonzaga has looked, they have not faced a team like Purdue yet. Although their shooting has been incredible and coach Mark Few will likely coach laps around Matt Painter, as long as Edey continues to draw fouls at such a high rate without getting in foul trouble himself, there is little Gonzaga can do. For our Sweet 16 Purdue vs Gonzaga prediction, we are picking the Purdue Boilermakers to win and move on in the NCAA Tournament.

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NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Schedule

Thursday, March 28th

Arizona vs Clemson (7:09 PM EST)

UConn vs San Diego State (7:39 PM)

North Carolina vs Alabama (9:39 PM)

Iowa State vs Illinois (10:09 PM)

Friday, March 29th

Marquette vs NC State (7:09 PM EST)

Purdue vs Gonzaga (7:39 PM)

Houston vs Duke (9:39 PM)

Tennessee vs Creighton (10:09 PM)


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1/2 Gurley Guys Todd Gurley Fan Club. Fantasy sports addict. Former Writer for Frednare Sports and Macro Sports. Graduated from UW-Platteville in 2019. Bucks in 6.

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