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Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction, Odds and College Basketball Betting Picks

Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction, Odds and College Basketball Betting Picks

Trevor Land by Trevor Land
January 7, 2025
in Betting, College Basketball, NCAA
0
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The Pittsburgh Panthers are taking on the Duke Blue Devils at Cameron Indoor Stadium today in what could be a statement victory for Pittsburgh. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting picks, odds, betting trends and Haslametrics, then give our Pittsburgh vs Duke prediction for the game tonight. 

Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction | College Basketball Game Tonight

Pittsburgh Panthers (12-2, 3-0 ACC) vs. No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (12-2, 4-0 ACC)
Date: Tuesday, January 7, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium — Durham, NC
Coverage: ESPN

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Pittsburgh vs Duke College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Pittsburgh vs Duke can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: PITT: (+662) | DUKE: (-1048)
Point Spread: PITT: +13.5 (-111) | DUKE: -13.5 (-110)
Total:  143.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

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Haslametrics Rankings

Haslametrics Rankings are from Haslametrics.com

TeamRankPaceOffensive EffDefensive EffMomentum
Pittsburgh2467.31 (196th)121.43 (21st)96.01 (37th)-0.96 (248th)
Duke365.57 (278th)125.16 (6th)83.36 (2nd)1.66 (80th)

According to Haslametrics’ All-Play Estimates and automated game preview, the Duke Blue Devils are projected to take care of the Pittsburgh Panthers 76 to 62.

Pittsburgh vs Duke College Basketball Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh is 2-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last five road games.
  • The OVER is 4-1 in Pittsburgh’s last five games.
  • Duke is 3-2 ATS over their last five games.
  • The UNDER is 3-2 for Duke in their last five games.

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Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction, Odds and College Basketball Betting Picks

Pittsburgh Preview | College Basketball Betting Picks

Since a rough three-game stretch that saw the Panthers lose two of three, including a 90-57 drubbing by Mississippi State, Pittsburgh is 5-0 and looking to make a surprise run for the ACC. While they certainly haven’t played the toughest competition on paper, they’ve played some solid opponents in Wisconsin and West Virginia.

The Panthers are led by guards Ishmael Leggett and Jaland Lowe. The pair both average over 17 points per game and lead a team that shoots the ball well from the free throw line and from the field as a whole. The one issue for Pittsburgh so far this season has been their ability to shoot the ball from deep, making under 36% from downtown.

That issue has unfortunately been the story of the season for Pittsburgh. In their biggest win of the year, a 86-62 beatdown of now #21 West Virginia, the Panthers hit 37% of their shots from deep. In two of their more disappointing losses, a six-point home loss to Wisconsin and a 33-point loss to #14 Mississippi State, the Panthers shot just 21% and 30% respectively from behind the arc.

Duke Preview | College Basketball Betting Picks

Outside of Duke’s two losses this season to #6 Kentucky and #11 Kansas, Duke has only played in one game that has been decided by less than 11 points. Simply put, this team is an absolute juggernaut. Their one major pitfall early on was maturity but that seems to not be an issue anymore.

Duke has been tested multiple times this season and many have already forgotten a six-point home win over #2 Auburn. Cooper Flagg has been everything that was advertised and more. On top of him, Kon Knueppel and Tyrese Proctor also average over 10 points per game. What has been the biggest difference this year has been their defense.

Duke has always been a good defensive team, but for the first time since the 2017-18 season, Duke ranks in the top five defensively. That 2017-18 team most notably was one overtime period away from making the Final Four that season as well. If Duke can keep up their elite defense, they could easily be playing into April.

Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction | College Basketball Betting Picks

In the current era of basketball, many teams rely on the three-point shot falling to win games. Few teams rely on their shots falling more than Pittsburgh. If they can hit threes at Cameron today, Duke is officially on upset watch. If they fire up enough bricks to build a house, Duke will run them out of the building.

All the signs point to Duke being able to lock down Pittsburgh tonight. They certainly know how reliant the Panthers are on the deep ball and Cameron will definitely be rocking as well. It will be hard for Pittsburgh to get into a rhythm so if they don’t start out hot, this game could get ugly quick. With the sting of a loss at home to Pittsburgh still fresh on the mind of Duke, expect them to not just win, but look to embarrass Pittsburgh.

Our college basketball betting Pittsburgh vs Duke prediction tonight will be DUKE -13.5 at BetUS. 

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Duke an 88.9% chance to win.

Bet: DUKE -13.5

Top-25 College Basketball Games Today

Here are the ranked top-25 college basketball games today!

  • Georgetown vs (7) Marquette
  • (1) Tennessee vs (8) Florida
  • (6) Kentucky vs Georgia
  • Arizona vs (21) West Virginia
  • Utah vs (3) Iowa State
  • (2) Auburn vs Texas
  • (14) Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt
  • (24) Michigan vs (22) UCLA
  • (25) Utah State vs San Jose State


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Tags: College BasketballCollege Basketball BettingDuke Blue DevilsNCAAPittsburgh PanthersSports Betting
Trevor Land

Trevor Land

Fantasy sports addict. Bucks in 6.

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