FlurrySports gives predictions and NASCAR betting odds for the Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
The NASCAR Cup Series returns to action this weekend with the first intermediate oval race of the 2026 season. Las Vegas Motor Speedway will host the Pennzoil 400, an annual staple of NASCAR’s early-season schedule.
After a chaotic start to the year from a track-type perspective, last week’s race at Phoenix provided the first glimpse of how teams stacked up on a traditional flat oval. With Las Vegas being one of several 1.5-mile tracks on the circuit, this weekend’s race could offer an even clearer indication of what to expect moving forward.
Below, we break down the NASCAR betting odds to win the Pennzoil 400, including our top picks and predictions from favorites to long shots with a chance.
Pennzoil 400 NASCAR Race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Pennzoil 400
Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
Start Time: 4 p.m. EST
Coverage: FS1
Distance: 400.5 miles (267 laps)
Stages: Three (80 laps, 80 laps, 107 laps)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Josh Berry
Pennzoil 400 NASCAR Betting Odds to Win
By and large, the top-tier teams typically find their way to the front at Las Vegas. However, last year’s Pennzoil 400 delivered a bit of a surprise when Josh Berry ran away with the victory. The win marked Berry’s first career NASCAR Cup Series triumph and the first non-superspeedway victory for Wood Brothers Racing since 2017.
The NASCAR betting odds for the Pennzoil 400 are showing some respect for Berry on the heels of last year’s win. Still, Kyle Larson (+500) enters the weekend as the clear pre-qualifying favorite at a track where his numbers are second to none.
Larson owns three wins and three additional runner-up finishes in the last 10 Cup Series races at Las Vegas. His average finish of 7.4 is more than three spots better than any other driver in Sunday’s field.
A pair of Joe Gibbs Racing drivers are viewed as Larson’s top challengers in the betting odds ahead of qualifying this week. Denny Hamlin, the most recent Las Vegas winner, and Christopher Bell both open at 6-1 odds.
The table below lists the latest pre-qualifying odds for the full field heading into the weekend.
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Pennzoil 400 outright betting odds are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
| Driver | Odds to Win | Race Name | 2026 |
| Kyle Larson | +500 | Kyle Busch | +6600 |
| Denny Hamlin | +600 | Connor Zilish | +6600 |
| Christopher Bell | +600 | Austin Cindric | +6600 |
| William Byron | +800 | Brad Keselowski | +6600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +800 | Daniel Suarez | +6600 |
| Ryan Blaney | +900 | Erik Jones | +12500 |
| Chase Briscoe | +900 | AJ Allmendinger | +12500 |
| Chase Elliott | +1200 | Michael McDowell | +20000 |
| Joey Logano | +1400 | Noah Gragson | +20000 |
| Ross Chastain | +1600 | Shane van Gisbergen | +25000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2000 | John Hunter Nemechek | +25000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2800 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +25000 |
| Josh Berry | +2800 | Austin Dillon | +25000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +3500 | Zane Smith | +30000 |
| Alex Bowman | +3500 | Todd Gilliland | +30000 |
| Chris Buescher | +4000 | Ty Dillon | +50000 |
| Ryan Preece | +5000 | Riley Herbst | +50000 |
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions: Who Will Win the Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway?
Favorite: Tyler Reddick (+800)
It might feel like a slightly contrarian NASCAR betting approach to include Tyler Reddick in an outright winner portfolio for the Pennzoil 400. After all, his season-opening winning streak came to an end last week at Phoenix, which could cool some of the public enthusiasm that followed his hot start.
In reality, Reddick’s stats at Las Vegas stack up well against the best drivers in the NASCAR Cup Series. In his last 10 starts here, he owns a 13.0 average finish with six top-10 results, including a runner-up finish in this race two years ago.
Narrowing the sample size to the last six races, Reddick’s average driver rating of 98.6 ranks fourth among active drivers at Las Vegas.
One of the bigger storylines early in the season has been the overall strength of 23XI Racing, even beyond Reddick’s recent winning streak. Combined with his track history, that momentum makes Reddick a compelling outright play as he pursues his fourth win of the year.
Value Pick: Ross Chastain (+1600)
One cannot help but be slightly cautious when it comes to backing Chevrolet drivers with Pennzoil 400 NASCAR betting picks. The manufacturer introduced a new body for the 2026 season, and the Chevy teams largely struggled with pace last week.
Because of that, it’s easier to justify a longer-odds play like Ross Chastain rather than investing in a Chevy driver like Kyle Larson, who is priced near the top of the betting board. While no one can match Larson’s recent Las Vegas numbers, Chastain has been strong here in his own right.
Dating back to 2022, Chastain has piloted the No. 1 car to a top-five finish in five of eight races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. His 9.3 average finish over his last six starts here trails only Larson’s ridiculous 4.3 mark among active drivers.
With Chastain showing better pace than most of the Chevrolets last week, a small outright play at 16-1 makes plenty of sense.
Long Shot Hopeful: Ryan Preece (+5000)
Sunday’s Pennzoil 400 will mark Ryan Preece’s third start at Las Vegas, driving for RFK Racing. Last year, he quietly posted finishes of third and ninth here in the No. 60 Ford Mustang.
Although he never led a lap in those races, the fact that Preece worked his way toward the front cannot be overlooked. Teammates Brad Keselowski and Chris Buescher also ran well in both Las Vegas races last year, highlighting the strength of the RFK setup at this track.
Preece is a long shot in the NASCAR betting odds for good reason. However, if Chevrolet teams struggle with setup again this weekend, that could help open the door for a Ford driver like Preece to gain valuable track position early.
