If you are unaware of what NFL survivor picks are, the basic concept is you make NFL picks throughout the season, but you can only pick a team once. Once you lose, you’re knocked out, so choose your Week 7 NFL Survivor Pool picks wisely.
If you are new to reading my survivor articles, what I do is outline my “lock of the week,” my “value of the week” and my “high-risk, high-reward pick.”
The lock of the week details what team I think has the best chance of winning their matchup. This would most likely be a good team that plays a bad team. The lock is also the official pick for NFL Survivor Pools, meaning we will not reuse a “lock.” My value pick of the week details a mid-tier team that has a good matchup. And finally, my high-risk, high-reward pick details a bad team that has a good matchup. It may be worth it to look at the NFL betting odds for these games and place some bets as well.
Teams Used:
- Baltimore Ravens
- Buffalo Bills
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Detroit Lions
- Miami Dolphins
Week 7 NFL Survivor Pool Picks
Lock of the Week | Best Pick for NFL Survivor Pool Week 7
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
This is not a great week for Week 7 NFL survivor pool picks. Looking at the board, I would want to take the Buffalo Bills. But since I have already used them this season, I think the pick has to be the Seattle Seahawks. Now, if you have the Bills available here, I would much rather you pick them than Seattle, but once again, I do not have them available to me.
The Seahawks come into the week as 7.5-point favorites over their division rival, Arizona Cardinals. After starting the season hot, Arizona’s lack of talent has brought the team back down to earth. The Cardinals have lost three games in a row and have to travel north to one of the toughest places to play in the league. Seattle is on a bounce-back week here too after dropping a very winnable game against the Cincinnati Bengals last week. In that game, the Seahawks went just 1-5 in red zone opportunities, something that is bound to change against a worse defense this week.
The Cardinals had trouble running the ball last week without James Conner and I think that continues this week, as Seattle has given up just 396 yards on the ground this season, good for fourth in the NFL. If Arizona cannot get its run game going, Seattle can sit on the pass and I do not think that Josh Dobbs is near good enough to beat a team with his arm.
On the flip side, Seattle should be able to get Ken Walker going in this game. The Cardinals have given up 800 yards on the ground this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL this season. Getting Walker going should in turn set up play action for Geno Smith and allow both Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf to get behind the defense.
Lock of the Week: Seattle Seahawks
Value Pick of the Week | Week 7 NFL Survivor Pool Picks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been a little bit of a surprise this season. While yes, they only mustered six points against the Lions last week, throughout the year, they have taken care of teams that are worse than them. A big part of why Tampa got smoked by the Lions was due to drops all over the place. The Bucs’ front seven is good enough to slow down Bijan Robinson and with names like Lavonte David, Vita Vea and Shaquille Barrett, I would imagine that if Bijan can’t get going, Desmond Ridder will not be able to get going either.
This game could end up going a long way in determining who comes out on top of the NFC South and the more that I look at it, the more I think that Tampa is just the better team. With Ridder just giving the ball away at this point, I think that Tampa’s defense has a real chance to capitalize on turnovers here and win on the defensive side of the ball. While neither of these teams is the greatest of all time or anything, I think Tampa’s defense alone gives them the advantage in this game.
Value pick of the Week: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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High Risk, High Reward Pick of the Week | Week 7 NFL Survivor Pool Picks
Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos
In a matchup that means absolutely nothing this week, I am taking the Green Bay Packers to beat the Denver Broncos. The Broncos have been downright awful on defense and I think that it has been fairly obvious that Sean Payton is just outwardly tanking right now. He is looking to build his own team and that comes at the expense of losing a number of games this year. I think that the Packers can capitalize on this as they are really looking for a bounce-back game.
It seems likely that Aaron Jones will play this week and, if that is the case, he should see a big number of carries early. Jones is still one of the best runners in the league’s history, based on yards per carry. The Broncos have given up 1,034 yards on the ground this year, which ranks dead last in the NFL. If Matt LaFleur is smart, both Jones and A.J. Dillon see a heavy workload this week, which could end up benefiting guys like Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs off of play action. Luke Musgrave should be the x-factor in this game though, as no one on the Broncos has the ability to run the seam with the Oregon State alum. In terms of talent, Green Bay probably has a little bit more and should be able to exploit one team that is outwardly tanking.
High Risk, High Reward Pick of the Week: Green Bay Packers
