FlurrySports shares analysis and predictions for the latest NASCAR Cup Series Championship betting odds and futures picks to win the Cup Series Championship.
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The NASCAR Cup Series returns from its Easter break this weekend with seven races in the books and a long road still ahead. With no race to break down, it feels like an ideal time to check in on the championship futures market — assessing the current landscape and identifying price discrepancies before the odds tighten up.
Below, we break down the top picks and predictions in the NASCAR Cup Series Championship futures market, from clear-cut favorites to genuine long-shot value plays worth targeting now.
2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Betting Odds
With seven races complete, the NASCAR betting championship futures market is clearly reflecting early-season results. Look no further than betting favorite Tyler Reddick, who has won four of the first seven races and holds an 82-point lead in the standings. His odds have come down dramatically since the preseason as a result — the value on Reddick is essentially gone at this point.
Behind the points leader, the futures board is dominated by drivers from Hendrick Motorsports, Joe Gibbs Racing, and Team Penske. As these are the sport’s three most powerful organizations, that is not surprising. In all likelihood, the 2026 champion will come from one of those three stables.
The table that follows shares the latest odds to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship.
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NASCAR Championship betting odds are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
| Driver | Odds to Win | NASCAR Championship | 2026 |
| Tyler Reddick | +500 | Shane van Gisbergen | +7500 |
| Kyle Larson | +550 | Austin Cindric | +10000 |
| Denny Hamlin | +600 | Ryan Preece | +10000 |
| William Byron | +650 | Alex Bowman | +10000 |
| Chase Elliott | +700 | Daniel Suarez | +15000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +750 | Austin Dillon | +17500 |
| Christopher Bell | +800 | Erik Jones | +17500 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1000 | AJ Allmenendinger | +20000 |
| Joey Logano | +1500 | Michael McDowell | +20000 |
| Ross Chastain | +3000 | Zane Smith | +25000 |
| Kyle Busch | +3500 | John Hunter Nemechek | +25000 |
| Chris Buescher | +4000 | Noah Gragson | +35000 |
| Connor Zilisch | +4000 | Todd Gilliland | +35000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +5000 | Ty Dillon | +35000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +5000 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +50000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +6000 | Riley Herbst | +50000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +6000 | Cole Custer | +50000 |
| Josh Berry | +7500 | Cody Ware | +50000 |
NASCAR Cup Series Championship Betting Picks and Predictions
Denny Hamlin (+600)
The only resume item missing from Denny Hamlin’s Hall of Fame career is a Cup Series championship. Despite carrying a shoulder injury that will require surgery after the season, he has looked every bit a legitimate contender through the first seven races.
Hamlin overcame a pit road penalty to win at Las Vegas and should have added a second victory at Martinsville before a runner-up finish due to poor circumstantial timing. He sits third in the points standings with 444 laps led — nearly double any other driver in that category. His versatility across track types ensures he will be well-positioned when the points reset for The Chase.
Although a 6-1 price does not reflect a huge return, it would be more surprising to see Hamlin’s odds elongate much beyond this over the course of the season.
Ryan Blaney (+750)
Five top-10 finishes in seven races make it clear Ryan Blaney has had the speed early in the season. He also found victory lane at Phoenix — even if that result came with some adventure attached to it. Despite all of this, repeated pit crew mistakes have cost him positions throughout the year, including at Phoenix.
Blaney is currently priced as the sixth choice on the board, yet he sits second in the points standings. That gap between his market position and his actual standing is the buy-low opportunity.
The caveat here is that the pit crew situation needs to be resolved. Martinsville appeared to be a cleaner showing and marked a step in the right direction. Assuming that trend continues, Blaney’s current price relative to where he sits in the points makes him worth targeting.
Joey Logano (+1500)
At 15-1 odds, Joey Logano represents a compelling middle ground between the favorites and outright long shots. He is a three-time Cup Series champion with high-end equipment, the track record, and the experience to be a factor deep into the season.
Unfortunately, the No. 22 team has started the year off slower than expected. A disastrous run at Darlington coupled with a DNF at Phoenix are the primary culprit behind him sitting just 12th in the points standings.
Unlike some of the high-priced names above him on the board, Logano’s current odds leave meaningful room for compression if Team Penske finds its footing. A third-place run at Martinsville prior to the off week served as an excellent rebound from the Darlington disaster and evidence of positive momentum.
Ty Gibbs (+5000)
Ty Gibbs may still be waiting on his first career Cup Series win, but he has been the picture of a driver coming into his own in 2026. A fourth-place finish at Martinsville marked his fourth top-five in the last five races. He sits sixth in the points standings ahead of Bristol, and with Joe Gibbs Racing equipment underneath him, the speed he has shown is no fluke.
At 50-1, betting Gibbs to win the Cup Series championship might be the best number available on a driver with a realistic path to contention. It would be an upset, no question — but his odds are only going to shorten if his current form and trajectory hold.
NASCAR Championship Futures Bets to Avoid
Despite longer odds following rough early stretches, the following drivers remain poor investments at this stage of the season. Donating your hard-earned cash to the sportsbook is never advised!
Chase Briscoe (+1000)
Multiple DNFs have Chase Briscoe buried 21st in points. The speed has flashed at times, but his odds still reflect a functional JGR outfit rather than his actual points hole.
Ross Chastain (+3000)
Trackhouse Racing has lost the form it carried a few seasons ago. Ross Chastain sits 19th in points with limited signs of a turnaround.
Kyle Busch (+3500)
Things have gone sideways at Richard Childress Racing. Busch has yet to score a top-10 result and is 24th in points. At this rate, his offseason future with the team is a more compelling conversation than his championship chances.
Connor Zilisch (+4000)
There is no clear rationale for where Connor Zilisch’s futures price is set. Winning a championship as a Cup Series rookie would be remarkable under any circumstances, and his early-season performance has done nothing to suggest it is remotely in play.
Alex Bowman (+10000)
Even if NASCAR grants a medical waiver for his missed races due to vertigo, Alex Bowman will have all he can do just to make the top-16 by the end of the regular season.
Keep in mind that under the new format, a driver needs to be tracking toward a top-6 regular season finish to have a genuine shot at contending in The Chase. Like any of these NASCAR Cup Series Championship betting picks? Sign up through our BetUS Sportsbook promo link to get a welcome bonus, up to $3,625!
