FlurrySports’ AI take on Kirk Cousins for Week 10 fantasy football after his trade to the Vikings, using the rankings and data from the FlurrySports Playbook.
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Quick answer: Kirk Cousins is a QB2 in Week 10. Start him in superflex and two-QB leagues, but not in standard one-QB leagues. The FlurrySports Playbook ranks him QB20 in his first game back with Minnesota (consensus: QB19). He was putting up QB1 numbers in Las Vegas, but this week he gets five days to learn a new roster against a Green Bay defense that allows the 7th-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks, on the road at Lambeau Field. The bigger fantasy winners from the trade are Justin Jefferson and the Vikings’ pass catchers.
The Kirk Cousins Trade: Back to Minnesota
The Vikings are acquiring Kirk Cousins from the Las Vegas Raiders in exchange for a 2027 third-round draft pick. The trade brings Cousins, 38, back to the club he played for from 2018 to 2023 and reunites him with head coach Kevin O’Connell, who was in charge for Cousins’ final two years as a Viking.
Minnesota needed a quarterback. Kyler Murray remains week to week with a hamstring injury, and Carson Wentz, who went 6-for-23 and threw two interceptions in Monday’s loss to the Bills, is limited with an ankle injury.
The decision was partly up to Cousins. Las Vegas gave Cousins the chance to decide whether he’d like to leave the organization and head back to Minnesota or stay with the club he had started the first nine games of the 2026 season for. A big reason he decided to head to the Vikings was head coach Kevin O’Connell.
Kirk Cousins Fantasy Start or Sit Week 10: Packers Matchup and Our Best Pick
Will Kirk Cousins start in Week 10?
Yes, Kirk Cousins will start for the Vikings in Week 10. General manager Nolan Teasley was direct: “we also didn’t acquire Kirk to not play.” Packers coach Matt LaFleur is planning on it too: “He’ll be starting,” LaFleur told reporters Wednesday. “I’m fairly confident of that.”
The short turnaround matters less than usual because Cousins already knows the system. “Kevin knows what I don’t do well. Kevin knows what I can handle. Kevin knows what I can’t handle,” Cousins said Wednesday after arriving at Vikings headquarters. “And I think that helps.”
Kirk Cousins’ 2026 Season in Las Vegas
Cousins was one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in football with the Raiders. Former Raiders quarterback Kirk Cousins passed for 2,340 yards and 20 touchdowns this season before Las Vegas traded him to Minnesota on Tuesday. That’s 260 passing yards and 2.2 touchdowns per game.
The FlurrySports Playbook’s Snap Share tool shows how steady he was:
| Week | Snap % | PPR Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 13.8 |
| 2 | 100% | 20.2 |
| 3 | 100% | 22.2 |
| 4 | 100% | 22.6 |
| 5 | 83% | 13.7 |
| 6 | 100% | 18.5 |
| 7 | 100% | 20.4 |
| 8 | 100% | 28.2 |
| 9 | 100% | 12.6 |
That’s 19.1 fantasy points per game, with 15+ points in six of nine starts.
He even added rushing touchdowns. The Playbook’s Paydirt tool shows 2 rushing TDs on quarterback sneaks, with 3 opportunities inside the 5 (6th among QBs). He doesn’t run for yardage, though: the Playbook’s Advanced Rushing Data tool has him at 7 rushing yards on 22 carries.
The weak spot is turnovers. Through his first four games, he had 4 interceptions from 144 attempts, 2.8%. That is 38th of 48 NFL quarterbacks, the bottom 23%.
The Matchup: A Tough Packers Defense at Lambeau
Minnesota visits Green Bay at Lambeau Field on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Packers are 3-point favorites, and the game total is 42.5 (opened at 41.5). The Playbook’s NFL Weather forecast calls for 45 degrees, sunny skies and 2 mph winds, ideal for mid-November in Green Bay.
The Playbook’s Fantasy Points Against tool shows the Packers are a tough draw:
- 13.4 fantasy points per game allowed to QBs, 26th in the NFL (7th fewest)
- 231.9 passing yards per game and 1.4 passing touchdowns per game allowed
- 12 rushing yards per game allowed to quarterbacks
- Just 14.6 points per game to QBs over the last four weeks
There’s one opening. Green Bay’s defense allows 65.8 plays per game, 2nd most in the NFL, and the Packers’ offense throws on 64.7% of its plays, the highest rate in the league. If Green Bay builds a lead, Minnesota will have to throw.
Minnesota’s offense brings real limits. Per the Playbook’s Team Opportunities data, the Vikings run just 55.9 plays per game (31st) and reach the red zone 2.3 times per game, the fewest in the NFL. Some of that is the quarterback play Cousins is replacing. Some of it is a defense-first team that allows the lowest red-zone touchdown rate in the league (30%) and doesn’t need to take chances.
Who Benefits: Justin Jefferson and the Vikings’ Pass Catchers
The biggest fantasy impact of the trade may be on Cousins’ receivers. Cousins arriving in Minnesota gives an instant boost to their passing attack. Justin Jefferson becomes a viable WR1 option, Jordan Addison can be used in the flex, and Kirk Cousins remains a starter. Cousins and Jefferson were one of the NFL’s most productive quarterback-receiver pairs during his first stint in Minnesota, and T.J. Hockenson gets back the quarterback he had his best seasons with. Yahoo Sports
The Risks: What Could Go Wrong?
Five days of practice. Cousins knows O’Connell’s offense, but timing with receivers takes reps. Expect a conservative game plan.
Interceptions. He was in the bottom quarter of the league in interception rate with Las Vegas, and new-team miscommunication only adds risk.
A tough defense on the road. Green Bay has allowed the 7th-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks.
No rushing floor. His 7 rushing yards on 22 carries mean his fantasy points have to come from passing, plus the occasional sneak touchdown.
Low play volume. Minnesota runs fewer plays than all but one team in the NFL.
Kirk Cousins NFL DFS Picks: Our Best Pick
Here are the five Kirk Cousins picks available this week on SmackTok, with the side the FlurrySports Playbook data supports:
| Pick | Line | Our Side | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 0.5 | Higher | Highest |
| Completions | 21.5 | Higher | Lean |
| Passing Yards | 231.5 | Higher | Lean |
| Passing Touchdowns | 1.5 | Lower | Lean |
| Rushing Yards | 0.5 | Lower | Coin flip |
Our Pick: Kirk Cousins Higher 0.5 Interceptions
This is the pick the data backs most clearly. Cousins needs to throw just one interception:
- His 2.8% interception rate ranked 38th of 48 quarterbacks to start the season.
- He threw an interception in 4 of the 7 Raiders games we have full logs for, including a 2-interception season opener.
- He’s averaging over 30 pass attempts per game. At his interception rate, that works out to roughly a 60% chance he throws at least one.
- This is his first game with a new set of receivers on five days of practice. Miscommunication on timing routes is when interceptions happen.
- Green Bay is favored, and the Packers’ pass-heavy offense could force Minnesota to throw from behind.
Why the others go the way they do:
- Completions (21.5): Higher lean. Cousins averaged 23 completions per game with Las Vegas, and Green Bay’s defense faces the 2nd-most plays per game. Minnesota’s low play count keeps it a lean.
- Passing yards (231.5): Higher lean. He topped 231.5 in 6 of the 7 Raiders games we have full logs for, but Green Bay allows almost exactly that (231.9 per game) and has been tough on quarterbacks. Jefferson’s return to Cousins’ side tips it slightly higher.
- Passing touchdowns (1.5): Lower lean. Cousins threw 2.2 touchdowns per game in Las Vegas, but Green Bay allows just 1.4. Minnesota also reaches the red zone less than any team in the NFL, which caps the scoring chances.
- Rushing yards (0.5): Coin flip. He has 7 rushing yards on 22 carries this season, mostly sneaks and kneel-downs, and he’s finished with zero or negative rushing yards in several games. One scramble flips it higher.
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Rest-of-Season Outlook: The Schedule Gets Better
Green Bay is one of Cousins’ tougher matchups. The Vikings already had their Week 6 bye, so there are no more off weeks. The Playbook’s Strength of Schedule tool shows a QB schedule that improves late:
| Week | Opponent | QB Pts Allowed Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | at GB | 26th |
| 11 | at SF | 24th |
| 12 | vs. ATL | 18th |
| 13 | vs. CAR | 20th |
| 14 | at NE | 16th |
| 15 | vs. DET | 1st |
| 16 | vs. WAS | 6th |
| 17 | at NYJ | 15th |
(Rank 1 = the defense that allows the most points to QBs.)
The fantasy playoffs are the payoff: Detroit allows the most fantasy points to quarterbacks in the NFL, and Washington ranks 6th, both at home in Weeks 15 and 16. If he’s on your waiver wire in a superflex league, he’s worth a stash for that stretch.
In the Playbook’s Trade Value Chart, Cousins sits at QB14 with a value of 3.9. Test a superflex deal in our Trade Calculator.
Kirk Cousins Fantasy Week 10 FAQ
Was Kirk Cousins traded to the Vikings?
Yes. Minnesota acquired Cousins from the Las Vegas Raiders on Nov. 10 for a 2027 third-round pick. It reunites him with head coach Kevin O’Connell, who coached him in Minnesota in 2022 and 2023.
Is Kirk Cousins starting in Week 10?
He’s expected to. Kevin O’Connell hasn’t officially named him the starter, but said a Cousins start is what the team is working toward, and Packers coach Matt LaFleur said he expects Cousins to play.
Should I start Kirk Cousins in Week 10?
In superflex and two-QB leagues, yes. In one-QB leagues, he’s a QB2. The FlurrySports Playbook ranks him QB20, and Green Bay allows the 7th-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks.
How did Kirk Cousins play with the Raiders?
He threw for 2,340 yards and 20 touchdowns in nine starts and averaged 19.1 fantasy points per game.
Does the Kirk Cousins trade help Justin Jefferson?
Yes. Cousins and Jefferson were one of the NFL’s most productive duos during Cousins’ first run in Minnesota, and he’s a major upgrade over the quarterback play Jefferson has had this season.
Final Verdict: Should I Start or Sit Kirk Cousins in Week 10?
Cousins was producing like a QB1 in Las Vegas, and he’s back in an offense he knows. Week 10 is still a tough spot: five days of prep, a road game at Lambeau, and a Packers defense that’s held quarterbacks in check all season.
Start Kirk Cousins in superflex leagues, but keep him on the bench in one-QB leagues this week. His schedule, including Detroit and Washington in the fantasy playoffs, makes him worth holding.
