Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Preview

2018 Stats (Rank)

Total Offense: 6,179 Yards (7th)
Offensive Touchdowns: 52 (4th)
Offensive Plays Per Game: 661 (5th)
Pass Attempts + Sacks: 662(4th)
Rush Attempts: 408 (17th)
Run/Pass Split: Run – 38% | Pass – 62%
Unaccounted for Targets: 8 (Seriously)
Unaccounted for Carries: 105

Projected Win Total

The Colts’ over/under currently sits at 9.5, after they went 10-6 last season. Indianapolis ended last year as one of the hottest teams in the league. With the bottom of the AFC South improving, sportsbooks have the Colts finishing about the same, with the team improving, but the competition becoming tougher as well.

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Strength of Schedule

SOS is measured by calculating the fantasy points allowed by each team’s opponents to determine who has the easiest and most difficult fantasy schedules (rank #1 has the easiest schedule).

QB: 4th
RB: 27th
WR: 13th
TE: 3rd

Passing Game

QB: Andrew Luck, Jacoby Brissett
WR: T.Y. Hilton, Deon Cain
WR: Devin Funchess, Zach Pascal
WR: Parris Campbell, Chester Rogers
TE: Eric Ebron, Jack Doyle, Mo Alie-Cox

Andrew Luck bounced back in a big way last season. He completed 70 percent of his passes over the final ten games and finished the season as QB4. Due to his improved receiving corps, Luck is being drafted as QB2.

This receiving corps is deep and talented, which makes it tough to fully predict for fantasy. There are just eight vacant targets from last season, but the Colts brought in Devin Funchess from Carolina and drafted Parris Campbell in the second round. Jack Doyle is also expected to be healthy, after missing ten games last season, and Mo Alie-Cox has been hyped up this offseason. As you can see, there are too many mouths to feed in Indy. T.Y. Hilton is the only player that is guaranteed targets, but he also is hyped up a lot, with an ADP of WR11. Funchess and Campbell are being drafted as WR52 and WR53 respectively, and there is no telling how these targets will shake out.

At tight end, Eric Ebron played like the player we all expected him to be out of college. However, he was touchdown dependent and only saw worthwhile targets with Doyle out. In the six games they played together, Ebron saw only 3.7 targets per game to Doyle’s 5.5. Without Doyle, Ebron saw 8.8 targets per game, so he essentially soaked up Doyle’s share. Ebron is currently being drafted high, at TE7, while Doyle is down at TE19.

Good luck at predicting where the targets land.

Running Game

RB: Marlon Mack, Nyheim Hynes, Spencer Ware
2018 OL Run Rank: 4th

Marlon Mack is a popular choice for fantasy breakout player of the year, after he finished as RB21 in 13 games last season. He is currently being drafted as RB17 in PPR, while receiving back Nyheim Hines is going as RB43. Hines caught 63 passes last season en route to a RB28 finish. As discussed above, there are too many mouths to feed in the passing game this season. But while Hines will likely see a drop in targets due to more competition, his targets are relatively safe, as a receiving threat out of the backfield. This means Hines is likely being overlooked, especially in PPR scoring.