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Chris Buescher Daytona 500 odds picks predictions race props NASCAR betting 2025

Daytona 500 NASCAR Betting Odds, Picks and Props 2025

Henry John by Henry John
February 16, 2025
in Betting, NASCAR
0
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Racing fans, we are so back! The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season begins in earnest on Sunday afternoon with the 67th running of the Daytona 500. Just one week after the NFL’s Super Bowl, we now get the race commonly referred to as “The Super Bowl of Stock Car Racing.” Lots has changed in the Cup Series this offseason with numerous drivers and even charters changing teams. What remains the same is that the NASCAR season will begin with its most prestigious race. If you are wondering how the Daytona 500 odds stack up and are looking for some NASCAR betting picks and race props for the season opener, you’ve come to the right place!

Let’s dive into the Daytona 500 betting odds to win the “Great American Race.” In addition, we share some of the best NASCAR betting picks and props for Sunday’s action at Daytona International Speedway.

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Daytona 500 NASCAR Race Info

67th Running of the Daytona 500
Date: Sunday, Feb. 16, 2025
Start Time: 1:30 p.m. EST
Coverage: FOX
Distance: 500 miles
Stages: Three (Laps 1-65; 66-130; 131-200)
Pole Sitter: Chase Briscoe
Defending Champion: William Byron

When all is said and done, @DAYTONA has the final word. #DAYTONA500 pic.twitter.com/MluK7nVk8L

— NASCAR (@NASCAR) February 12, 2025

Daytona 500 NASCAR Betting Odds

The table below lists the outright odds to win the 2025 Daytona 500. NASCAR betting odds for the top 30 drivers are included.

Daytona 500 outright betting odds are taken from Fanatics Sportsbook.

DriverOdds to WinDaytona 500
Kyle Busch+900Ty Gibbs+3500
Ryan Blaney+1100Josh Berry+3500
Denny Hamlin+1100Martin Truex Jr.+3500
Chase Elliott+1100Michael McDowell+4000
Bubba Wallace+1100Austin Dillon+4000
Kyle Larson+1200Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+4500
Joey Logano+1200Noah Gragson+4500
Brad Keselowski+1400Jimmie Johnson+5500
William Byron+1700Justin Haley+6000
Austin Cindric+2000Daniel Suarez+6000
Christopher Bell+2200Ty Dillon+7000
Ross Chastain+2500AJ Allmendinger+7000
Justin Allgaier+2500Corey LaJoie+7000
Chris Buescher+2500Cole Custer+8000
Tyler Reddick+2800Riley Herbst+8000
Ryan Preece+2800Shane van Gisbergen+9000
Chase Briscoe+2800Carson Hocevar+9000
Todd Gilliland+3000Zane Smith+9000
Erik Jones+3000John Hunter Nemechek+10000
Alex Bowman+3000Helio Castroneves+10000

Daytona 500 NASCAR Picks and Predictions

Race Winner: Chris Buescher (+2500)

One of the things that makes the Daytona 500 unique compared to many other NASCAR races is that it’s wide open. The nature of superspeedway racing gives any and all drivers who take the green flag on Sunday a shot. Oftentimes, races at Daytona come down to survival. While avoiding “The Big One” is key, there is also an element of skill when it comes to having success in this discipline.

As far as the Daytona 500 odds and betting are concerned, there is plenty of value on the board this year. As usual, even the so-called favorites largely carry 10-1 odds or better to win given the unpredictability of Superspeedway racing. Daytona also affords the opportunity to bet on drivers with longer odds and feel really good about it. That’s what we are doing by taking Chris Buescher as our pick to win.

Of drivers who have run each of the last six races at Daytona International Speedway, only three have posted a better average finish than Buescher’s mark of 12.7. His average driver rating of 90.5 over those six starts ranks second only to Joey Logano. Widen that range out to the last ten races and Buescher’s average finish actually improves to 12.2. He has quietly been one of the best drivers here and finally got a win to show for it in the 2023 Coke Zero Sugar 400.

RFK Racing has seen a drastic rise in performance in each of the last two seasons since Brad Keselowski joined the team as a driver-owner. Buescher has found victory lane numerous times and figures to have plenty of help from a Ford contingent that is always strong on the superspeedways. He placed third in his Duel race on Thursday and will start sixth on the Daytona 500 grid, proving that he has the goods to contend.

Daytona 500 NASCAR Betting Picks and Race Props

Top 10 Finish: Chase Briscoe (+110 at Fanatics)

Chase Briscoe couldn’t have asked for a much better start to his tenure with Joe Gibbs Racing thus far. Upon taking over as the driver of the No. 19 Toyota, Briscoe promptly went out and earned the pole position for the Daytona 500 by pacing the field in qualifying. The fact that this is the first-ever Daytona 500 pole for Toyota makes the feat all the more impressive. Despite this, he is getting very little respect when it comes to the Daytona 500 betting odds and props markets. Despite his pole position, Briscoe can be found at a plus-price to simply place in the top 10 on Sunday.

CHASE BRISCOE WINS THE POLE FOR THE #DAYTONA500!!! pic.twitter.com/ExQ6UJ2bb8

— Joe Gibbs Racing (@JoeGibbsRacing) February 13, 2025

Admittedly, Briscoe’s previous results at Daytona have been quite modest. However, he did finish tenth in the 500 just last year and also placed third in “The Great American Race” back in 2022. Of course, there are also concerns that he could encounter hiccups in his first points race with JGR. Despite the concerns, the value on this top-10 finish prop at DraftKings cannot be ignored. Briscoe is priced as high as -120 to place in the top 10 at other shops.

Group G Winner: AJ Allmendinger (+320 at Caesars)

Veteran AJ Allmendinger returns to running full-time in the NASCAR Cup Series for Kaulig Racing this season. Allmendinger may be most known for his skills on road courses, but he has proven to be a sneaky good super speedway racer as well over the years. Look no further than his sixth-place finishes in the Daytona 500 in each of the last two years as proof of what he is capable of at “The World Center of Racing”. One can’t help but find the +320 price on him to win this four-driver group matchup appealing as a result.

Joining Allmendinger in Group G are Ryan Preece (+190), Justin Haley (+225) and Riley Herbst (+350). Preece would have to get the nod here as the biggest perceived threat to our Daytona 500 props selection given that he now drives for RFK Racing and has been a solid super speedway racer over the years. However, one would have to go back to 2021 to find the last time he finished better than 23rd in any Cup Series race at Daytona.

While Haley also has a knack for running well at the superspeedways, I’m willing to fade him a bit on Sunday given that it is his first race driving for Spire Motorsports. As for Herbst, he is rightfully priced as the long shot here as a Cup Series rookie. Allmendinger ran sixth in his Duel race on Thursday and has the edge in veteran survival experience over each of his Group G cohorts.

Winning Manufacturer: Toyota (+275 at BetUS)

Now, you may be thinking, why are we throwing out a Daytona 500 race props selection of Toyota to be the winning manufacturer when we picked a Ford driver to win? Well, it really comes down to the odds and the perceived value of the prices available. Toyota is always the third choice among the manufacturers at the superspeedways simply due to having the fewest horses in the race. However, that number has been steadily rising over the last couple of years.

There will be a total of 11 Toyotas in the field of 41 cars for Sunday’s Daytona 500. Yes, that falls short of their Chevrolet and Ford counterparts, but it is certainly more than the five or six cars that the manufacturer has has had in recent years. Furthermore, drivers like Denny Hamlin (three Daytona 500 wins to his name), Christopher Bell, Bubba Wallace and Tyler Reddick all have proven track records of success on superspeedways. Add in the threat of someone like Briscoe or Erik Jones surprising and there’s enough meat on the bone to feel good about the +275 price point for one of our NASCAR betting picks.


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Tags: AJ AllmendingerChase BriscoeChris BuescherDaytona 500Daytona International SpeedwayNASCARNASCAR BettingNASCAR Cup SeriesSports Betting
Henry John

Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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