Anyone can win by playing Super Bowl Squares. This is a big reason why it is becoming more and more popular every season. However, that doesn’t mean there isn’t a best Super Bowl Squares strategy or most likely numbers to choose from to give you a better shot at winning.
Below, we will briefly code what Super Bowl Squares is, but if you would like a more detailed explanation, check out our article about how to play Super Bowl Squares. Let’s get into the strategy and numbers!
- How to Play Super Bowl Squares
- Printable Super Bowl Squares Template 2024
- How to Bet On Super Bowl 2024
What is Super Bowl Squares?
Super Bowl Squares is a 10×10 grid, with the columns representing one team and the rows representing the other. At the end of each quarter, the last digit of each team’s score determines the square that will be paid out the established amount. For example, if the Chiefs are winning 13-7, the square that has Chiefs 3 and 49ers 7 would pay out.
Some pools and sportsbooks only take into account the final score when determining Super Bowl Squares winners. However, we suggest having smaller prizes for the first three quarters as well!
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Super Bowl Squares Strategy 2024
If you are participating in a group that lets you pick or bid for the square you want, that’s where our Super Bowl Squares strategy comes in handy.
First, let’s take a look at the scores from the past 15 Super Bowls. I chose this timeframe since 15 is a good number and it also includes relevant games in what I consider to be this era of NFL football. For clarity, the oldest Super Bowl we are looking at is the Pittsburgh Steelers narrowly defeating the Arizona Cardinals in that crazy Super Bowl XLIII matchup.
The scores from each quarter are ordered by the teams that won first. So 1W is the first quarter from the team that won, then 1L is the first quarter from the team that lost.
Super Bowl Quarter Breakdowns
| 1W | 1L | 2W | 2L | 3W | 3L | 4W | 4L | |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 27 | 23 |
| 2010 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 31 | 17 |
| 2011 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 21 | 17 | 31 | 25 |
| 2012 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 17 |
| 2013 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 34 | 31 |
| 2014 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 36 | 8 | 43 | 8 |
| 2015 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 24 | 28 | 24 |
| 2016 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 24 | 10 |
| 2017 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 28 |
| 2018 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 29 | 26 | 41 | 33 |
| 2019 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| 2020 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 31 | 20 |
| 2021 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 6 | 31 | 9 | 31 | 9 |
| 2022 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 20 |
| 2023 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 21 | 27 | 38 | 35 |
Super Bowl Digit Percentages By Quarter
Now, let’s break this down further. The following table displays how often each final digit showed up in each quarter for both the winning and losing teams.
| 1W | 1L | 2W | 2L | 3W | 3L | 4W | 4L | |
| 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 6.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 6.7 |
| 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.3 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 33.3 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 13.3 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| 4 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 20.0 | 6.7 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.3 |
| 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 13.3 | 26.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 7 | 33.3 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 6.7 | 13.3 |
| 8 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.3 |
| 9 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 13.3 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 6.7 |
| 0 | 33.3 | 60.0 | 6.7 | 46.7 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 20.0 |
I know, I’m throwing a lot of numbers at you. Apologies, but more will be coming. I’ll make things a little easier to digest by listing some of the main takeaways from this data, helping you to develop your own Super Bowl Squares strategy.
Takeaways
– Zeroes are the way to go in the first quarter. One-third of winning teams and 60% of losing teams had a zero as their last digit at the end of the first quarter, whether their score was zero or 10.
– If you were to pick the best digit to have in the first half, it’s zero. However, zeroes are more unlikely in the second half of Super Bowl games.
– The best digits to have in the second half of the Super Bowl are one, three and seven.
– The most common digit of the Super Bowl winner is one.
– The Super Bowl winner has had the digit of one or three for five of the past six years.
– Stay away from any squares with the numbers two, five and nine. They occur so little that they are not worth your time.
Number Pairing Super Bowl Squares Strategy
Now, knowing the probability each number shows up is extremely useful. However, you must apply this data and also correctly match up two digits.
Let’s discuss which number pairings have been the most common over the past 15 Super Bowls and which quarter that pair occurred.
| Digits | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | |
| 7-3 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1-7 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 3-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
As you can see, there haven’t been many repeats over the past 15 Super Bowls. That is why Super Bowl Squares has gained so much popularity, since many view it as truly random outcomes, giving everyone an equal chance to win.
However, we know nothing in life is truly equal and fair.
Which Super Bowl Squares Numbers Should I Pick?
One-third of first quarters over the past 15 years have resulted in the 0-0 box winning. While it won’t give you the larger payday of the final score, if your pool plays by those rules, it gives you the highest chance at a profit. The probability also rises the more recent we get. Four of the past nine Super Bowls have had a 0-0 first quarter. One of the Super Bowls that didn’t have a 0-0 first actually had 0-0 in the second and third quarters.
This means 55.6% of the past nine Super Bowls have had a 0-0 quarter show up at least once. So, make sure you get the 0-0 square.
Another great set of numbers is Winner 7, Loser 3. Three of the past four Super Bowls have had a first quarter with this set of numbers. Four of the past 15 Super Bowl first quarters have featured these numbers, and we also have had a final score with these as well, showing you have a chance at a big payday.
Speaking of a big payday, let’s talk about the numbers for the final score, which is also the numbers you would be betting at a sportsbook. We have seen 40% of the past 15 Super Bowl winners finish with a 1 for their final score. The most common digit for the loser is split between 0 and 3.
For our Super Bowl Squares pick here, we will go 1-3, with the 1 coming from the winner. We will be updating the Super Bowl odds all week long to help you pick which team will win. If you chose to bet $10 on it at Caesars Sportsbook, you would win $550!
Best of luck and make that money!
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