FlurrySports’ AI take on Zach Charbonnet for Week 10 fantasy football, using the rankings and data from the FlurrySports Playbook.
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Quick answer: Start Zach Charbonnet as an RB2 in Week 10. The FlurrySports Playbook ranks him RB18 in half-PPR and RB19 in PPR, slightly ahead of the FantasyPros consensus (RB20). He took over as Seattle’s lead rusher in Week 9, and now faces a Las Vegas defense that allows the 3rd-most fantasy points to running backs. He was also one of the NFL’s best touchdown scorers at the position last season. Jadarian Price will still take a share of the work, but the matchup, a run-friendly game script and his goal-line history make Charbonnet a confident start before Seattle’s Week 11 bye.
Zach Charbonnet’s 2026 Season So Far
Charbonnet opened 2026 on the PUP list while recovering from a torn ACL. He and rookie Jadarian Price both returned in Week 8, and Week 9 was the first look at how Seattle wants to split the backfield.
| Week | Opp | Snap % | Carries | Rush Yds | Targets | Rec | Rec Yds | PPR Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vs. CHI | 37% | 6 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5.9 |
| 9 | vs. ARI | 57% | 16 | 77 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9.6 |
The Week 9 split favored Charbonnet on the ground. Charbonnet had 16 carries for 77 rushing yards (4.8 YPC) compared to Price’s 9 for 24 yards (2.7 YPC). The rookie took the bulk of receiving work: 4 targets, 4 catches, and 54 receiving yards. Charbonnet was the lead back on the game’s first two drives, after which Price and Charbonnet alternated drives for the rest of the game.
The FlurrySports Playbook’s Advanced Rushing Data tool shows him running well in his first two games back:
- 4.5 yards per carry
- Just 9.1% of carries stuffed at or behind the line
- 18.7 rushing yards over expected
- 48 of his 100 yards after contact, with 3 broken tackles
Track his snap share week to week in the Playbook’s Snap Share tool. It jumped from 37% in Week 8 to 57% in Week 9.
Zach Charbonnet’s Touchdown Upside: Last Season and This Season
Charbonnet’s fantasy value has always come from touchdowns, and last season he was one of the best at the position. He finished 2025 with 12 rush touchdowns (5th) and 27 goal line carries (5th) on 184 carries, a touchdown about every 15 carries. Zach Charbonnet just became the first #Seahawks player since Marshawn Lynch, in the team’s last Super Bowl season of 2014, to have double digits in rushing touchdowns in a season.
He did it as Seattle’s goal-line back, even while sharing the backfield. His nose for the end zone has made him the more reliable fantasy option — he’s got eight rushing TDs through 12 games, while Walker’s scored only four.
The early signs this season point the same way. In a limited role, the Playbook’s Opportunity Index and Paydirt tools show:
- 2.5 red-zone looks per game, 24th among all running backs, despite playing under half the snaps
- 5 red-zone opportunities in two games: 3 carries and 2 targets
- 2 opportunities inside the 10
- 0 carries inside the 5 so far, which is the one piece missing
If the goal-line role he held last season comes back, Week 10 is the spot for it.
The Matchup: Raiders Run Defense Is a Smash Spot
Seattle visits Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Seahawks are 6.5-point favorites, and the game total has dropped from 43.5 to 40.5. The game is indoors, so weather isn’t a factor.
The Playbook’s Fantasy Points Against tool shows the Raiders struggling badly against running backs:
- 25.9 PPR points per game allowed to RBs, 3rd most in the NFL
- 30.4 PPR points per game to RBs over the last four weeks
- 131.7 rushing yards per game allowed to RBs on 25.2 carries, about 5.2 yards per carry
- 1.0 rushing touchdown per game allowed to the position
- The most red-zone trips allowed in the NFL, at 4.4 per game, with touchdowns on 67.5% of them
Outside analysts agree. The Raiders are among the easiest in the NFL against the run. They are dead last in YPC allowed (5.22), and 2nd to last in explosive rush rate allowed. They also allow easily the most yards before contact per attempt in the NFL, over 3 yards per attempt.
Game script should help too. Seattle’s defense is elite: per the Playbook’s Team Opportunities data, it allows the 3rd-fewest red-zone trips in the NFL and the 2nd-lowest third-down conversion rate. With Drew Lock at quarterback, the Seahawks are at -4% PROE or lower in each of his 3 full games, so the run-game volume should be strong here… especially in a very positive expected script (-6.5 favorites).
The Risks: What Could Go Wrong?
Jadarian Price. The rookie isn’t going away. In the 2 games since both he and Charbonnet have returned, the duo has split work nearly evenly, with Price accounting for 26 opportunities to Charbonnet’s 28. If Price gets hot, Seattle could lean his way.
A thin receiving role. Charbonnet has an average depth of target of just 0.2 yards and 3.8 yards per catch. He doesn’t add much in PPR.
Goal-line work. He hasn’t had a carry inside the 5 in his two games back. Last season he was Seattle’s goal-line back with 12 rushing TDs, but this year’s offense converts just 51.7% of its red-zone trips into touchdowns, 25th in the NFL.
The ACL. He’s only two games into his return. Seattle could manage his snaps, especially with a bye right after this game.
Zach Charbonnet Player Picks: Our Best Pick
Here are the five Zach Charbonnet picks available this week, with the side the FlurrySports Playbook data supports:
| Pick | Line | Our Side | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 9.5 | Lower | Highest |
| Longest Rush | 15.5 | Higher | Strong |
| Touchdowns | 0.5 | Higher | Lean |
| Receptions | 1.5 | Lower | Lean |
| Rushing Yards | 65.5 | Higher | Coin flip |
Our Pick: Zach Charbonnet Lower 9.5 Receiving Yards
This is the pick the data backs most clearly:
- He’s finished under 9.5 receiving yards in both games since returning, with 6 yards in Week 8 and 9 in Week 9.
- His average depth of target is 0.2 yards, and he’s averaging 2.5 yards per target, 99th among running backs in the Playbook’s Opportunity Index.
- Price has the downfield receiving role. He had 4 catches for 54 yards in Week 9, while Charbonnet had 1 for 9.
- He wasn’t a big receiver last season either. Over his last 10 games of 2025, he averaged 8.7 receiving yards per game.
- With Seattle favored by 6.5, the Seahawks should run the ball, not throw to their backs.
Why the others go the way they do:
- Longest rush (15.5): Higher. The Raiders are second-to-last in explosive runs allowed, and Charbonnet already has a 17-yard run with about 14 carries projected. It only takes one.
- Touchdowns (0.5): Higher lean. He scored 12 rushing TDs on 27 goal-line carries last season, about one every 15 carries, which puts him close to 60% in this spot. He’s already averaging 2.5 red-zone looks per game this year, and Las Vegas allows a rushing TD per game to backs. It’s a lean, not stronger, because he hasn’t had a carry inside the 5 since returning and Price could take some short-yardage work.
- Receptions (1.5): Lower lean. He has 1 catch on 2 targets in Week 9, with Price handling more of the passing-down work.
- Rushing yards (65.5): Coin flip. The matchup is ideal: the Raiders allow 131.7 rushing yards per game to backs. He’d need about 14 carries at his 4.5 average, though, and the split with Price makes that close to 50-50.
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Rest-of-Season Outlook: Hold Him Through the Bye
Seattle has a bye in Week 11, so you’ll need a replacement next week. After that, the Playbook’s Strength of Schedule tool shows a mixed slate:
| Week | Opponent | RB Pts Allowed Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | at LV | 3rd |
| 11 | BYE | – |
| 12 | at SF | 23rd |
| 13 | vs. DAL | 5th |
| 14 | vs. NYG | 28th |
| 15 | at PHI | 18th |
| 16 | vs. LA | 29th |
| 17 | at CAR | 2nd |
(Rank 1 = the defense that allows the most points to RBs.)
Dallas in Week 13 and Carolina in Week 17 are the standout matchups, and Week 17 is fantasy championship week in most leagues. Weeks 14 and 16 are tough. A back with his touchdown history can still score in a tough matchup.
His trade value is climbing. In the Playbook’s Trade Value Chart, Charbonnet rose 1.9 points this week to 24.6, making him the RB28 and No. 59 overall. A big game against the Raiders could push that higher. Check what he’d bring in a deal with our Trade Calculator.
Zach Charbonnet Fantasy Week 10 FAQ
Should I start Zach Charbonnet in Week 10?
Yes, as an RB2. The FlurrySports Playbook ranks him RB18 in half-PPR, and the Raiders allow the 3rd-most fantasy points to running backs.
How many touchdowns did Zach Charbonnet score last season?
He scored 12 rushing touchdowns in 2025, 5th among running backs, on 27 goal-line carries. That made him the first Seahawks player with double-digit rushing touchdowns since Marshawn Lynch in 2014.
Who is the Seahawks’ lead running back?
Charbonnet led Seattle with 16 carries in Week 9, but rookie Jadarian Price still handles a big share of the work, especially as a receiver.
Is Zach Charbonnet healthy?
Yes. He’s played two games since returning from a torn ACL, and his snap share rose from 37% to 57%.
When is the Seahawks’ bye week?
Week 11. Week 10 against the Raiders is Seattle’s last game before the bye.
Final Verdict: Should I Start or Sit Zach Charbonnet in Week 10?
Charbonnet looks like Seattle’s lead rusher again. He gets the best matchup a running back can ask for, a Raiders defense that’s last in yards per carry allowed, with a game script built for the run. Add in his 12-touchdown season from a year ago and the red-zone looks he’s already getting, and the scoring upside is real. Start Zach Charbonnet as an RB2 in Week 10.
