It has been an interesting first month of the NFL season, featuring some players starting the season hot for fantasy football. To win your fantasy league, it is helping to think of players like the stock market. It can be important to “buy” a player when their value is low. On the flip side, identifying fantasy football sell-high candidates is very important as well.
Below, we have organized seven fantasy football sell-high candidates heading into Week 5 of the NFL season, including Alvin Kamara and De’Von Achane. By trading away the right fantasy football sell-high candidates, you may end the NFL season by hoisting your league’s trophy, championship belt or champ chain!
Fantasy Football Sell-High Trade Targets Week 5
Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane Fantasy Outlook
The Miami Dolphins offense has been strong to start the year, and the backfield and been relatively headache-free. Of course, that is about to change, as Jeff Wilson Jr. is poised to come off of IR and join the three-headed committee.
Entering last week, the Zero-RB truthers were talking smack because Raheem Mostert was as obvious of an RB1 start as there was. He finished with 5.5 PPR points. Instead, the value was with rookie De’Von Achane, who finished the week as the RB5. Now, add in another running back who has had a lot of success in this offense, and this committee is going to be truly unpredictable. I think Mostert and Achane are both very talented, but this backfield will be too competitive, and you don’t need the headaches.
Last season, Mostert was a “bust,” or outside the top 36 at RB, 47% of the time. Wilson was a bust 40% of the time. The chances you start the correct Dolphins RB are too low to feel good about, and both Mostert and Achane have value right now. That is why they are obvious fantasy football sell-high candidates.
Jerome Ford Fantasy Outlook
Jerome Ford is not a great running back. There was zero chance he was going to become a solid fantasy producer following Nick Chubb’s injury, which I told you. The Cleveland Browns needed a running back who was better in pass protection, which is a big reason why they signed Kareem Hunt. Unfortunately for Ford, Hunt is a more talented runner as well, which will likely present itself following the bye week. Pierre Strong Jr. is a more talented rusher as well, so he will steal carries as well.
If you can get Flex or RB3 value for Jerome Ford, you need to sell him before it’s too late. It’s tough to sell a player during their bye week, but he could be included in a package deal in order to upgrade a position for you.
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Alvin Kamara Fantasy Outlook
Alvin Kamara just came back and now we should trade him? Absolutely.
I admit that I wasn’t an Alvin Kamara fantasy football fan heading into this year. I haven’t been a fan for a bit, but there are reasons for that. First off, I don’t trust that he will find the end zone even five times this season. How could I?
Notably, Kamara has really struggled to run in the red zone. He isn’t great at falling forward or finding the soft spot in short-yardage situations. This led to the Saints signing Jamaal Williams for this season since he led the league in rushing touchdowns last year and is notably good in those situations. Taysom Hill is also a good short-yardage runner. Immediately, Kamara is the third option for running in the red zone. In terms of overall weapon, that’s where the Saints want to use their tight ends as well, with Juwan Johnson and Jimmy Graham. I say all of this to say that Kamara isn’t going to score many touchdowns. In fact, he could go under last season’s total of four.
In Kamara’s return last week, he ranked RB9 in PPR scoring due to his 13 receptions. I wouldn’t bank on all of those catches again. Kamara is a Flex, but you could sell him as an RB2 right now, making him a prime fantasy football sell-high candidate heading into NFL Week 5.
Puka Nacua Fantasy Outlook
We thought Puka Nacua was a fantasy football sell-high candidate a couple of weeks ago. Arguably, his value was at an all-time high then. However, his value is very high right now as well due to the recent Cooper Kupp injury update.
Kupp is eligible to return to the team this week. Kupp being on the field means Nacua isn’t the top receiving option. He would become the third-best offensive option, due to Kyren Williams’ performance and workload. However, there is a belief that Cooper Kupp will not play in Week 5.
This opens up another can of worms. Will Cooper Kupp even return? If so, for how long? Maybe Kupp will return and take on a smaller role due to how great Puka Nacua has been (WR4). I don’t have all of the answers. Nobody does. However, I do know that Puka Nacua fantasy football owners have found another reason to believe, and owners who don’t have him now have a reason to buy into the hype.
Kupp may play this week. He may play next week — who knows? I believe he returns soon, making Nacua a 5-7 target guy most weeks. His value right now is higher than that, so see if you can ship the rookie away for a premium.
Christian Watson Fantasy Outlook
Christian Watson finally made his season debut, and he scored a touchdown in limited snaps, so why would we be selling him? In fact, you can read many other analysts calling Watson a fantasy football buy-low candidate.
Yes, I hear the hype too, and that’s exactly why now is the time to sell. Well, if he scores against a bad Raiders defense on Monday Night Football, that would be the perfect time to sell, but it’s tough to assume he will score again, which brings me to my first point. We saw Watson’s insane touchdown stretch last season, which was the only time he was valuable. He returned last Thursday and scored again, which has made many flashback to that stretch last year. You don’t want to be chasing that high with Watson.
Also yes, I am a Green Bay Packers analyst and insider. There are connections to multiple people in the building, and there have been plenty of reports on Lombardi Sweep and “anonymous” reports quoted word-by-word from me on ESPN and other outlets (zero consent), so I do know what I am talking about with this team. Romeo Doubs is the WR1 right now. He’s more skilled than Watson, though Watson does have God-given athletic gifts. If Watson isn’t 100% healthy, those athletic gifts are gone, and he’s just a very raw receiver.
I say all of this to say there are going to be many stretches where Christian Watson disappears. Romeo Doubs has a better connection with Jordan Love and he is also more skilled. He is the receiver I would want to own in Green Bay. Sell high, Christian Watson fantasy football owners.
Sam LaPorta Fantasy Outlook
In the sad world that is fantasy football TEs, you can sell top talent at a premium. That is exactly why Sam LaPorta is a fantasy football sell-high candidate. I have been saying since this summer on Fantasy Football by Committee that LaPorta was going to be one of the favorite sell-high candidates, and everything is playing out as predicted.
LaPorta’s back half of the year looked tough on fantasy TEs in the preseason. While that has adjusted to the first month of play, it still isn’t the easiest. Combine this with the “rookie wall,” and we could see Sam LaPorta’s production dip as the season wraps up. He played a physical college season in Iowa, had to prepare for the draft, and then has been playing a ton of physical snaps for the Lions as well, so this “wall” looks very possible in a month or two.
Yes, I did say a month or two, so why would you sell Sam LaPorta now? Simply, we’re trying to sell while his stock is high. He’s the fantasy football TE2, which is probably the highest he’ll rank all season. Jameson Williams is also coming back this week, and he will take some percentage of the target share. I love Sam LaPorta’s talent and it’s tough to trade away someone playing very well at a position of scarcity. However, there is no doubt you could sell high right now.